http://in.reuters.com/article/businessNews/idINIndia-41341120090727?feedType=RSS&feedName=businessNews

Broadcasters see relief from subscription
Mon Jul 27, 2009 2:54pm IST
By Bijoy Koyitty and Swati Pandey

MUMBAI (Reuters) - India's broadcasting firms are set to benefit from
a lucky shift to a subscription-based model as they slug it out with
media peers for a shrinking advertising pie in a highly competitive
market, industry watchers said.

Also, increased competition among direct-to-home operators and the
proposed entry of more players provide broadcasters new revenue
opportunities without incremental cost, they added.

Zee Entertainment saw subscription revenue from domestic DTH rise 88
percent in April-June from a year ago while advertising revenue fell
29 percent. New Delhi Television saw DTH revenue rise by a quarter in
the period.

DTH "will help in offsetting the impact of the slowdown in advertising
revenue," NDTV, which runs and operates English news channels NDTV
Profit and NDTV 24X7 said in an e-mail response to Reuters.

Broadcasters took a hit in earnings since late last year as the global
economic slowdown prompted key advertisers - retail, real estate and
auto - to cut expenditure.

Indian general elections, which took place in April and May, and the
popular Twenty 20 cricket series also saw general entertainment
channels scrambling for advertisements.

However, broadcasters, who started seriously exploiting opportunities
in subscription model since 2006, are predicting an exponential growth
in revenue from DTH, which has a mere 10 percent share in India.

"As we expect a significant jump in this share in the coming years,
more players are entering the DTH market," said KR Choksey analyst
Rohit Maheshwari.

The total number of DTH subscribers in India is expected to cross 20
million by 2010 from over 13 million in March 2009, estimates Neha
Gupta, senior analyst at Gartner.

Besides the existing players such as Sun Direct, Tata Sky, Dish TV,
Reliance Communications' Big TV and Airtel DTH of Bharti Airtel Ltd,
Videocon has also expressed interest in entering the DTH market.


SHIFT IN REVENUE MODEL

Under-reporting of subscribers by cable operators has been hurting
broadcasters, whereas DTH has no such constraints, thus helping
generate a larger share of revenue from subscription, Salil Kapoor,
chief operating officer, Dish TV, said.

"Over the next few years, our business model would undergo a shift in
favour of a subscription-led model, as is the case globally," said
Subhash Chandra, Chairman, Zee Entertainment after it announced its
quarterly results this month.

The share of subscription revenue is expected to surge to nearly 55
percent by 2015 from just 23 percent in 2007, data compiled by
Mumbai-based Canara Robeco Asset Management showed.

Analysts said they expect the broadcasting sector to outperform the
broader media segment on larger traction from subscription, but were
skeptical on whether subscription would outdo advertising.

"We do agree that subscription revenue would form a substantial
revenue contributory, although overshadowing advertisement revenue
would take a bit of time," said Ram Patnaik, an analyst with Religare
Capital Markets Ltd.


(For more news on Reuters Money click in.reuters.com/money)

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