Could well be...
Right now the Novamente design is a little too big to be a comfortable one-man
job even for a genius, but it's off only by a factor of 5 or so, which makes it
very plausible that a one-man-sized AGI design exists
and even NM with all its complexities could plausibly be completed to
clever-toddler-dom by a team of me plus one awesome programmer with 3-7 years
of total focus
ben
-----Original Message-----
From: Eliezer S. Yudkowsky
Date: 6/12/05 9:38 am
To: agi@v2.listbox.com
Subj: Re: [agi] estimated cost of Seed AI
Alexander E. Richter wrote:
> At 20:54 11.06.05 -0400, you wrote:
>
>>What is the estimated cost of Seed AI?
>>Dan
>
>
> one person
> 10 hours/day
> IQ 180+
> very good memory ("photographic" memory)
> high frustration-tolerance
> 1000-2000 $/month (To keep mind free from waste and unnecessary thought)
>
> hardware
> 5000 $/year
>
> it will take 5-10 years (starting now)
> it will take 1-7 years (someone working on it already)
>
> Imho, its more like the development of H1-H4 sea clocks (John Harrison)
>
> cu Alex
More or less "me too".
--
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
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