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----- Original Message ----- 
From: NY Transfer News 
Sent: Saturday, September 22, 2001 2:52 AM
Subject:  Afghanistan: Catastrophe in the Making


Via NY Transfer News * All the News That Doesn't Fit


AN INSIDER'S GUIDE TO AFGHANISTAN: 
A CATASTROPHE IN THE MAKING 

by Simon Wollers

Havana, Sept 21 (NY Transfer)--Last night's "friend or foe" speech by
US President George W Bush has been likened in the US media to
Roosevelt's address to the nation after the attack on Pearl Harbor.
The you-are-either-with-us-or-against-us language went down very well
in his country and Bush is riding dangerously high on waves that
could any day come crashing down upon the people of Afghanistan.

Chris Buckley is a program officer for Christian Aid in Afghanistan.
He has just left Kabul and reports that he is full of dread as to
what may happen if the US war machine attempts retaliation there for
the events of last week.

Because of the current threat, says Buckley, aid organizations have
been forced to pull out their foreign workers -- fearing either that
they may be caught in the expected raids, or that they would be
attacked as westerners after the NATO bombers have flown away. The
effects of this withdrawal, he adds, could be infinitely more tragic
and devastating than the worst that a wounded United States may now
throw at this long-suffering country.

There are four million Afghanis in refugee camps in Pakistan and Iran
-- both of which have closed their borders fearful of a massive
stream of more refugees. Nearly six million more -- representing a
full quarter of the population -- risk starvation after the nation's
harsh winter sets in come mid-October.

The current fear has spread to such a degree that thousands have been
fleeing toward the closed borders making their situation even more
desperate because their government -- even if it chose to do so -- is
unable to feed so many displaced people and there are no longer any
international aid agencies available to do the job. So, just the
threat of US retaliation has driven a huge number of people further
toward the abyss.

The major focus of the media frenzy on Afghanistan right now is the
fear inspired by the brutal war with Russia and the religious fervor
of the muhajedeen -- as well as the current Taliban regime, which
does not win any prizes for humanitarian government. The nation is
being demonized along with the Taliban and Osama bin Laden, and soon
the notion will be -- just as with Iraqis and Serbs -- that the only
good Afghan is a dead one.

Chris Buckley says the real Afghanistan is one where 85 per cent of
the population are subsistence farmers. Most Afghans don't have
newspapers, television sets or radios due to government edicts, and
many will therefore not have heard of the World Trade Center or the
Pentagon, let alone that a group of terrorists have attacked them.
There isn't even a postal service.

Many Afghans have the dreadful choice of waiting in their villages
for death by starvation, as there will be no food distribution due to
suspended service by even the World Food Program, or risking death by
malnutrition and disease in the refugee camps along the borders. With
these borders now closed, adds Buckley, there is no longer any income
to be made working in Pakistan or Iran. With three years of drought
and a US-sponsored ban on opium farming imposed by the Taliban, which
Washington bankrolled without any consideration for the socio-economic 
consequences of an impoverished people, the future looks bleak indeed.

So George W Bush held back and supposedly made what is being termed a
"restrained" speech, but his thoughtless bellicose actions beforehand
seem to have already doomed a huge number of Afghan civilians to
death.

Havana, Cuba
November 21, 2001

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