You are right, I didn't notice that.

I am doing the 8 transformations of move SEQUENCES, which is not quite
the same as transforming and adjusting the positions themselves which
would be a more powerful way to do this.  

Doing sequences was easier with a quick and dirty script.  

Of course this should not change the conclusion.  

- Don




On Mon, 2008-09-29 at 21:46 +0100, Matthew Woodcraft wrote:
> Don Dailey wrote:
> > After converting all the game to a canonical representation, I
> > discovered that Leela always plays the  first 4 moves the equivalent of
> > this:
> >
> >   C3 D4 C4 D3  - all 784 games started like this or the equivalent
> >
> >
> > After this, BLACK varied significantly:
> >
> >                   BLACK WINS/GAMES         PERCENTAGE
> >                   -----------------     -------------
> >   C3 D4 C4 D3 C2    0 out of    6 =     0.000 percent
> >   C3 D4 C4 D3 C5    1 out of    4 =    25.000 percent
> >   C3 D4 C4 D3 D2  103 out of  428 =    24.065 percent
> >   C3 D4 C4 D3 D5   82 out of  339 =    24.189 percent
> >   C3 D4 C4 D3 E3    0 out of    4 =     0.000 percent
> >   C3 D4 C4 D3 E4    0 out of    2 =     0.000 percent
> >   C3 D4 C4 D3 E5    0 out of    1 =     0.000 percent
> >
> > In this sequence, the only statistically interesting moves are D2 and
> > D5 for black, because these 2 choice constitute the vast majority of
> > the games. (It might be slightly more interesting if other moves showed
> > black doing well, but in the minor lines of play black is losing.)  The
> > 2 "good" moves appear to be approximately equal in value ... however,
> > let's check that out.
> 
> They ought to be equal in value, because they're equivalent moves under
> reflection.
> 
> -M-
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