-Caveat Lector-

washingtonpost.com
GAO Triples Estimates of Gulf War Fallout

By Spencer S. Hsu
Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, June 3, 2003; Page A21

Congressional researchers recommended yesterday that Congress ask the Pentagon
to triple the number of U.S. troops presumed to be exposed to chemical fallout
from the demolition of an Iraqi weapons depot in March 1991 to 350,000, or
roughly half of U.S. forces that served in the Persian Gulf War.

The recommendation by the General Accounting Office, Congress's audit arm, came
after analysts concluded that the Defense Department's narrower estimates were
based on flawed science. The analysts said the military arbitrarily
underestimated the height of plumes produced by demolition of a sarin gas
stockpile at Khamisiyah, lacked accurate data about the weather and relied on
simulations in a Utah desert that did not correlate to conditions in Iraq.

The GAO report was prepared for the House Government Reform subcommittee on
national security, emerging threats and international relations and for Sen.
Robert C. Byrd Jr. (D-W.Va.). The panel heard testimony yesterday about the
science of toxic plume modeling.

Subcommittee Chairman Christopher Shays (R-Conn.) said he believed the
recommendation would be taken up by an advisory task force scheduled to meet
July 16.

The Pentagon had not seen the report and had no immediate comment, said Anna
Johnson-Winegar, deputy assistant secretary of defense for chemical and
biological defense.

The Pentagon has increased estimates before of the number of soldiers "presumed
exposed" from Khamisiyah from zero to 400 in 1996 and 100,000 in 1997.

© 2003 The Washington Post Company

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