-Caveat Lector-

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Date sent:              Mon, 4 Oct 1999 10:36:18 -0400

The DLC Update                 Monday, October 4, 1999
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Discuss the Idea of the Week at the DLC Idea Exchange at
http://www.dlc.org/idea/discussion.htm
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***Idea of the Week: Third Way CAFE***

Back during the energy crisis of the 1970s, Congress directed the
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to tell Detroit and foreign
automakers doing business in the United States to make their cars more
fuel efficient. The idea was to get gas guzzlers off the road and cut U.S.
demand for foreign oil. Neither objective has been met.

The EPA developed the standards of 27.5 miles per gallon (mpg) for cars
and 20.6 mpg for light trucks. They called them "corporate average fuel
economy standards" or CAFE, because the standards were averaged over an
automaker's entire fleet.

Unfortunately, the CAFE standards are not working as they were intended,
in part because of the recent American craze for Sports Utility Vehicles
(SUVs) and pick-up trucks, both subject to the lower 20.6 mpg standard,
and both producing more pollution than regular cars.

Another flaw with CAFE is that standards are averaged over too many types
and models of cars with very different costs of increasing fuel
efficiency. A manufacturer of many big and some small cars could have a
hard time achieving the standard, but a maker of only small cars wouldn't
have any problem at all, even if the former produced a more fuel efficient
small car than the latter. The standard wouldn't necessarily encourage
either manufacturer to build a more fuel-efficient small car.

There are two simple ways to fix CAFE.  The first is to abandon the "A" in
CAFE, throwing out fleet averages and setting standards by specific
classes of vehicles.  But an even more important reform would be to
institute tradable "credits" for fuel efficiency, similar to the tradable
emissions allowances that helped reduce acid rain. Makers of more fuel
efficient vehicles could sell credits to competitors who couldn't make the
grade.  All manufacturers would have a continuous economic incentive to
innovate and improve fuel efficiency.

Taking the "A" for average out of CAFE, and instituting tradable fuel
efficiency credits, represent a Third Way on CAFE that could help get
Congress out of a current gridlock on this subject, as reflected in last
week's close Senate vote against lifting a congressional ban on tougher
standards.   With OPEC back in the price-fixing business for oil and with
the roads clogged with SUVs and light trucks, it's time to act, but in a
way that gives carmakers credit for their willingness to make a better
buggy.

***A Third Way Toward Universal Health Coverage***

Three weeks ago, Vice President Al Gore announced a plan to regain the
lost momentum toward universal access to health insurance, based on a dual
strategy of rewarding states for implementation of the Child Health
Insurance Program (CHIP), and a refundable tax credit to help adults buy
health insurance in private markets.

This week, Gore's challenger for the Democratic presidential nomination,
former Senator Bill Bradley, announced his long-awaited plan for universal
health coverage, which actually replaces both Medicaid and CHIP with a
system of premium subsidies and tax credits for the purchase of private
health insurance by the poor and the uninsured.

It's striking that both candidates have embraced the central element of
health care reform that the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) has
promoted for years: universal private health insurance bought through
purchasing alliances with government subsidizing premiums through the tax
system for those in need. Both candidates have also decisively broken with
the old liberal alternatives of expanding government-provided or
-controlled health coverage, or creating a Canadian-style nationalized
insurance system.

Gore deserves extra credit for proposing an incremental plan that could
actually be adopted in the near future without endangering fiscal
discipline.  Bradley deserves extra credit for embracing PPI's
longstanding proposal to let uninsured individuals buy into the Federal
Employee Health Benefit Plan (FEHBP) the best current model for a health
system in which insurers compete for business on the basis of both cost
and quality--and for his willingness to get rid of the bureaucratic
structure of programs like Medicaid and CHIP.

Both candidates have essentially adopted a New Democrat approach to
universal health coverage. And both offer an implicit challenge to
Republican front-runner George W. Bush, who has said nothing on the
subject, and whose own state of Texas has been slow to take advantage of
existing federal incentives to cover uninsured children.

If this is an example of the policy debate that both Gore and Bradley say
they want to undertake during the 2000 nominating process, then more power
to them.

***The Leisure Class Fight for the Little Guy***

As Al Gore and Bill Bradley laid out competing New Democrat paths to
universal health coverage, they--and we--were verbally scorched by a
potential candidate who says we need a "real Democrat" in the race who
will "fight for the little guy."

According to actor-director Warren Beatty, in a speech to the Americans
for Democratic Action, that means enacting a Canadian-style health
insurance system, stopping the globalization of the economy (though
presumably not stopping trade in motion pictures), "massively" reducing
defense spending, repealing welfare reform, redistributing wealth to the
poor, publicly financing political campaigns, and proudly reclaiming the
mantle of "tax-and-spend Democrats."  The drift of the Democratic party
away from this agenda, he suggested, was due in part to the evil influence
of the DLC, which he called "Democrats for the Leisure Class".

To be sure, nobody knows more about the leisure class than Warren Beatty.
But the big star does not have a clue about the views of the "little guy."

Many "little guys" helped elect a Republican Congress in 1994 in part
because they thought the Clinton Administration was drifting toward
government- controlled health care.  "Little guys" aren't noticeably upset
with the current economy.  "Little guys" support welfare reform as much if
not more than other segments of the population.  "Little guys" absolutely
hate proposals to take their tax dollars to finance political campaigns,
and "little guys" were abandoning the Democratic party by the millions
when it was perceived as the party of "tax and spend."

You gotta admire Beatty's sheer chutzpah in striking a populist pose
before an audience of Hollywood celebrity plutocrats at that well-known
working man's hangout, the Beverly Hilton.  But it makes you wonder: Is he
a real Democrat, or a surreal Democrat?

***"Stop Thief!" Cried the Burglar***

The game of one-upmanship between the two parties in claiming to "save
Social Security" took a decidedly deceitful turn this week as
congressional Republicans struggled like Houdini to escape the budgetary
lock box they have so eagerly constructed for themselves.  Recognizing
that they cannot fund current-year appropriations without borrowing from
the Social Security surplus, despite a variety of laughable accounting
gimmicks that don't count spending as spending, Republicans decided to
make a preemptive strike, blaming their own inability to keep their word
on the President and Democrats.

Standing under a banner reading "Stop Robbing Social Security," House
Minority Whip Tom DeLay (R-TX) announced a "Stop the Raid" television ad
campaign targeted to closely contested congressional districts.  The ads
will depict Republicans as manfully struggling to hold down spending and
keep Social Security surpluses off-limits against dastardly Democratic
efforts to loot seniors and pump up government.

Within hours of the DeLay announcement, the Congressional Budget Office
released estimates that the Republicans' own spending plans required
dipping into the Social Security surplus to the tune of $18 billion.

Congressional Republicans are the ones who insisted on making the "Social
Security lock box" a partisan issue this year.  They are the ones who have
refused to admit their own spending plans exceed the budget "caps" which
they have publicly embraced and privately deplored.  By seeking to shift
responsibility for their own fiscal ineptitude to Democrats, congressional
Republicans are in danger of turning a series of little fibs into a big
lie.


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