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Single Currency


Euro Continues to Crash


Trichet will save the euro like he did Credit Lyonnais!

THE euro crashed to new lows against the pound and the dollar yesterday,
deepening the crisis of confidence in the single currency. This prompted
fresh warnings that the high level of sterling was crippling British
industry, but Tony Blair ruled out intervention to reduce its value.

At the close in London, the euro was valued at 57.08p, down from 58.12p
overnight and a launch value of 71p. It closed at 89.18 cents against the
dollar, down from 90.77 cents overnight and a launch value of $1.20. It was
the first time the euro had fallen below 90 cents, an important benchmark for
the currency, since its launch last year.

While the continuing fall means that British holidaymakers on the Continent
will get more foreign money for their pound, the price of British exports has
risen by 20 per cent in euroland. If, as expected, the Bank of England's
Monetary Policy Committee raises interest rates today by a quarter point to
6.25 per cent, the pound could rise still higher against the euro.

Investors who fell for the hype surrounding the euro's launch want to cut
their losses. Paul Meggyesi, of Deutsche Bank in London, said: "It has been a
one-way trend for an awfully long time and investors have now decided to
throw in the towel."

The fall in the euro has wrong-footed Gordon Brown, the Chancellor, who last
May announced plans to sell more than half the country's reserves of gold and
instructed the Bank of England to reinvest 40 per cent of the proceeds in
euros. Mr Brown described the controversial plan as a sensible move aimed at
diversifying the reserves.

However, the euro's weakness has led to a direct loss of £34 million. Despite
some offsetting gains on dollars and yen, the overall loss is still £26
million.

Yesterday's collapse in the euro sent the pound to 14-year highs against the
mark and the franc. It closed at Dm3.43 and at Ff11.49. Michael Heseltine
called for Government action to prevent manufacturing industry being wiped
out by the strength of sterling.

The former deputy prime minister, who announced last week that he would be
standing down as a Tory MP, urged Mr Blair to put an end to the uncertainty
over the Government's intentions on the single currency. He claimed that
industry was facing "carnage" as a result of the current strength of sterling
against the euro.

At a press conference organised by the Britain in Europe campaign, he said Mr
Blair could stem the rise in the pound by making clear that it was the
Government's intention to join the euro - and at a lower exchange rate rather
than sterling's present "unrealistically" high value. Failure to act could
bring problems similar to those threatening companies such as Rover at
Longbridge and Ford at Dagenham. But Mr Blair told MPs at Question Time that
"the worst thing we could do" would be to try to devalue sterling
artificially.

The renewed slide in the euro coincided with the European Commission decision
to recommend Greece for membership of the eurozone from Jan 1 next year. The
announcement was greeted frostily by the European Central Bank, which said
that Greece needed to do more to reduce its debts and bring inflation under
control.

The prospect of Greek membership had little direct impact on sentiment, but
analysts said that it would create a new source of tension within the
eurozone. They noted that European economists were already trading
accusations about which government was to blame for the euro's dismal
performance.

The latest downward lurch in the euro follows news at the end of last week
that Jean-Claude Trichet, the governor of the Bank of France, is to be
investigated for his role in the scandal surrounding Credit Lyonnais, the
French state-owned bank. M Trichet, 57, who sits on the board of the European
Central Bank, was the French government candidate for president and has been
lined up to succeed Wim Duisenberg when he steps down.

The Trichet affair has added to concerns about the ability of the Central
Bank to manage the new currency. Analysts said that sentiment on the euro was
now so negative that all news was seen as bad news. They also expressed
dismay at the failure of politicians to recognise the seriousness of the
problem.

Jim O'Neill, chief currency economist and a partner at Goldman Sachs, said:
"Investors are fed up with all those preposterous statements about the euro
having potential to appreciate in the long term. If they want people to
believe their statements they should back them up with action."
* In a letter published in The Daily Telegraph today, 14 Tory Euro-MPs
express concern at reports that Britain's biggest companies could be forced
to list their shares in euros rather than sterling after the merger of the
London and Frankfurt stock exchanges.
The London Telegraph, May 4, 2000
-----
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Om, Shalom, Salaam.
Em Hotep, Peace Be,
All My Relations.
Omnia Bona Bonis,
Adieu, Adios, Aloha.
Amen.
Roads End

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