-Caveat Lector-

From
http://inq.philly.com/content/inquirer/2001/08/30/opinion/TRIFKOVIC30.htm?t
emplate=aprint.htm

}}>Begin
Thursday, August 30, 2001
Options on Macedonia
By Srdja Trifkovic
On the eve of the War in Kosovo, I wrote in the Times of London that NATO
support of ethnic Albanian separatists in Kosovo would unleash a chain
reaction whose first victim would be Macedonia, because "once KLA
veterans acting as policemen start to patrol Kosovo, the rising expectations
of Macedonia's Albanians will be impossible to contain."
"Nonsense," a U.S. State Department official snapped at a conference in
Washington a few days later. "The problem in Kosovo is Milosevic. In
Macedonia the Albanians don't need to make trouble because their rights are
respected." The issue was that of "human rights," he said, not nationalism:
the notion of Greater Albania was a Serb paranoid invention.
Two and a half years, one bombing, and $100 billion later we know the score.
The same pattern of NATO blunders is continuing. To correct it, we need to
recognize that no institutional arrangements short of ethnic partition will
assuage Albanian separatism.
There is nothing remarkable, or inherently reprehensible, about such
behavior: Premodern nations and tribes have been at it since time
immemorial. The Albanians differ only in that they have perfected the art of
using foreigners - sultans, kaisers, duces, führers, and most recently the
Clinton administration - to get the job done for them. Indeed, the mess in the
Balkans is likely to be Clinton's most enduring legacy.
The Bush administration now faces three alternatives. All of them are
unpleasant, although not equally so.
Becoming a truly honest broker and acting robustly to disarm the KLA (or
whatever label it chooses to use in Macedonia today, or Montenegro or
Greece tomorrow) is a nonstarter. Truly disarming the KLA, not merely
collecting an arbitrarily determined and suspiciously low number of easily
replaceable weapons, would mean American casualties, leading to a hasty
withdrawal of the U.S. contingent - with or without prior agreement with our
European allies - and the loss of credibility that this administration would
never allow. It knows that the only reason that ethnic Albanians still tolerate
NATO's presence in Kosovo, now that it is no longer needed to defeat the
Serbs, is that it has not seriously attempted to declaw the KLA.
The present course - pretending to restrain the KLA while effectively appeasing it - 
is the worst of all options. The deployment of 3,500 NATO troops, supposedly for 30 
days so the KLA may hand in its weapons to them, is
a stopgap measure divorced from any meaningful strategy. It will also bring an 
all-around loss of American credibility (with the Macedonians this has already 
happened) and no gain. Ethnic Albanians will continue to use Ko
sovo as their safe haven for hit-and-run attacks against Macedonians, with NATO either 
reduced to passive observers or forced into an open-ended mission creep, and with 
American diplomacy permanently stuck in a deadend no
t of this administration's making.
The third option, least odious by far, is to disengage. During last year's campaign, 
candidate Bush and his aides - notably Condoleezza Rice, Dick Cheney and others - 
claimed that it was time to turn over the task of poli
cing the Balkans to the Europeans. Since the United States has intervened needlessly 
and harmfully in the Balkans for the last decade, the task of sorting out the mess 
should be left to our NATO allies, if they are keen t
o stay. Bush should call Jacques Chirac and Gerhard Schroeder and give
them the glad tidings: The hour of Europe has come. If your Eurocorps is to
have any meaning, gentlemen, it is now - in the hills around Tetovo, on the
road from Skopje to Kumanovo, and inside Kosovo - that its worth may be
proven.
Perhaps the Europeans will have the sense to decline this gift. Ultimately the
Albanians may even have to face their long-abused neighbors without foreign
cover. That will present them with an unexpected problem, but its resolution
is unworthy of the bones of a single Pomeranian grenadier or Texas Ranger.
Srdja Trifkovic ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) is director of the Center for
International Studies at the Rockford Institute (www.rockfordinstitute.org) in
Rockford, Ill.
© Philadelphia Newspapers Inc.

End<{{
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