1. BBC-Was US set to attack Afghanistan anyway?
2. Averting Bioterrorism Begins with US Reforms



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http://www.ctvnews.com/content/sitesections/1/810529.asp
http://www.slip.net/~knabb/PS/gulfwar.htm
http://www.theonion.com/onion3412/enemytryouts.html
http://www.consortiumnews.com/Print/091701a.html
http://www.iht.com/articles/33456.html
http://www.securityfocus.com/news/257

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BBC-Was US set to attack Afghanistan anyway?

Via NY Transfer News * All the News That Doesn't Fit

source - Peter Bell <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

BBC Report:

Was the US Set to Attack Afghanistan Anyway?

[The same issues covered by the Guardian reports of Sept. 21 and
Sept 22 were reported by the BBC on September 19th (see below).

Up until now, the 9-11 attack has been presented as having come
from al-Qaida, a non-state actor.

Someone in the spook community has decided to show the BBC and the
Guardian reporters evidence of US prior planning to attack Afghanistan
and forcibly submitting them to UN authority. Which could then give
the *Afghan nation* a reason to bomb us.

Which, in turn, would remove the nagging little problem of "how do
we rationalize attacking Afghanistan and battling the Taliban,
since our target (bin Laden and his al-Qaida) is essentially a
transnational corporation with a branch office in Afghanistan?"

So, while this leak in a sense provides a rationale for the 9-11
attack -- and if true, absolutely quashes the "unprovoked" aspect
of the official spin on it -- it also escalates the strike on the
US from the status of a roque terrorist attack to a state action,
and makes it easier to kick the chocks out from under the tires on
the bombers and get 'em airborne.

Niaz Naik, the major source of this story, is a former foreign
minister of Pakistan and should be viewed as an employee of the
Pakistani government. Elements of what he says -- but by no means
everything -- are backed up by others.

The Pakistanis are about to let the US use their airspace against
Afghanistan.  Surely it is to their advantage to present the conflict
between bin Laden and the US as being a larger one, between
Afghanistan and the US.

They may well see no other way at all to sell their position to
their people -- and the US has to see huge advantages in doing the
same thing, since we're about to do a lot of "collateral damage."

The threats made at the "track two" meeting in July are not part
of a war on the Taliban; the US allegedly delivered a warning that
there would be an aggressive strike against bin Laden himself.
This may, in fact, have pushed bin Laden the non-state actor to
accelerate plans he'd been working on, or may merely have firmed
his resolve to carry them out.

By mid-July, the Taliban could reasonably have expected that
satellite surveillance would back up their claims to have largely
met the requirements for State Department certification of their
cooperation with the US war on drugs.

Because of large stockpiles of opium in Afghanistan, both the
Taliban and the opposition Northern Allince failed in March, 2001
to satisfy the State Department in March 2001, althogh the Taliban's
curtailment of new opium production was acknowledged.

http://usinfo.state.gov/topical/global/drugs/01030205.htm

However, in June 2001 the UN Drug Control Program
http://www.undcp.org/newsletter_2001-06-30_1_page002.html verified
that cultivation had ended, and that the Taliban had eradicated
the Afghan poppy crop for 2001.

The Taliban would have been in a bad position in terms of humanitarian
aid beyond promised rewards for drug eradication, though, as the
destruction of the World Heritage Site at Bamiyan was clearly
something far, far stupider to do than they dreamt of ahead of
time.

They have apparently been asking for some time for the US to bring
its evidence against bin Laden to court in Afghanistan or another
Muslim country; I'm sure they were expecting US support for the
opposition Northern Alliance to wane as a quid pro quo for the
poppy eradication, but instead were presented with little in the
way of aid, repeated demands for bin Laden, and little willingness
in the international community to assist a government so hell-bent
on oppressing women and so willing to ignore world opinion on
Bamiyan.

In short, it's possible that these meetings did not go at all the
way they expected them to, but rather than representing a new
declaration of war -- as Naik implies -- the comments could have
been made at a very tense meeting that the Taliban expected to go
relatively well, because of their efforts at drug eradication and
their quite urgent need for assistance in feeding their people.

Okay, on to the "Secret Plan."  Crucial here is the allegation of
when this was all being timed and when the Taliban were told whatever
they were told, or have been told.  And, of course, the motives of
the leakers. The two articles published by the Guardian, and the
statement of "war" in the leading paragraphs in the first, invite
the reader to jump to the wrong conclusion: that the US had
essentially quietly declared it was ready to become an open
participant in the civil war at the meeting in July.

This then escalates the dispute to state actions and responses,
and makes The Crusade more palatable to a Brit Left audience, for
whom the Guardian is writing.

The Guardian also describes the plan to overthrow the Taliban and
install the 86-year-old former King as something of an innovation.
On the contrary, it's actually a return to the tired old ops of
the 1950s (i.e., the 1953 overthrow of Mohammed Mossadegh in Iran
and the re-imposition of the Shah) which served the CIA so well,
and which are viewed with tremendous nostalgia in the Agency. Hardly
a new idea.

In addition, the *cable* from the US asking the UK for opinions on
this plan appears to have been cut yesterday, well after the 9-11
attack, although according to Naik, this plan was discussed way
back in July at the meeting he describes.

In sum, I'm very suspicious of the motives for this stuff being
handed out to English reporters.  They have an agenda -- the Brits
have never liked the Afghans (see Kipling, for instance!) and they
are mortally offended by the Taliban (as, granted, am I: for example,
their treatment of women and disrespect for the cultural patrimony
they were entrusted with. Their explanations for their actions
sound perverse -- like claiming the attack on the Buddhist sculpture
at Bamiyan was justified by *Hindu* misdeeds in India).

I'm also suspicious of the reason for the Pakistani diplomat being
so very voluble.  I don't think he gave that interview before being
extensively coached by professionals -- probably a professional PR
team from State.  -Peter]

*

BBC Online - 19 September 2001 05:56

http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/world/south_asia/newsid_1550000/1550366.stm

A former Pakistani diplomat has told the BBC that the US was planning
military action against Osama Bin Laden and the Taleban even before
last week's attacks.

Niaz Naik, a former Pakistani Foreign Secretary, was told by senior
American officials in mid-July that military action against
Afghanistan would go ahead by the middle of October.

Mr Naik said US officials told him of the plan at a UN-sponsored
international contact group on Afghanistan which took place in
Berlin.

Mr Naik told the BBC that at the meeting the US representatives
told him that unless Bin Laden was handed over swiftly America
would take military action to kill or capture both Bin Laden and
the Taleban leader, Mullah Omar.

The wider objective, according to Mr Naik, would be to topple the
Taleban regime and install a transitional government of moderate
Afghans in its place -- possibly under the leadership of the former
Afghan King Zahir Shah.

Mr Naik was told that Washington would launch its operation from
bases in Tajikistan, where American advisers were already in place.

He was told that Uzbekistan would also participate in the operation
and that 17,000 Russian troops were on standby.

Mr Naik was told that if the military action went ahead it would
take place before the snows started falling in Afghanistan, by the
middle of October at the latest.

He said that he was in no doubt that after the World Trade Center
bombings this pre-existing US plan had been built upon and would
be implemented within two or three weeks.

And he said it was doubtful that Washington would drop its plan
even if Bin Laden were to be surrendered immediately by the Taleban.

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Averting Bioterrorism Begins with US Reforms

by Edward Hammond
21 September 2001

The author is Director of the US office of the Sunshine Project, an
international non-profit organization dedicated to biological weapons
control. Online at www.sunshine-project.org. Copyleft 2001. This paper may
be freely reproduced and redistributed in its entirety.

The United States feels an imminent threat of biological or chemical
terrorist attack. How do our own policies relate to the rise of this
frightening situation? Why has our government been throwing away so many
opportunities to work with other nations to control weapons of mass
destruction? This paper, for the US peace movement and non-profit
activists, explains the key avoidable factors that have led to this
predicament, and suggests what US policy changes can be made to help us
find a peaceful way out.

Shaken and angered by cruel terrorist attacks, the United States has
announced a war on terrorism. Although no legal declaration has been made,
US leaders are emphatic that they are not using the word in a figurative
sense. This time, war really means war. Our nation's goals include not only
capturing the attacks' perpetrators Òdead or aliveÓ and ending
state-sponsored terrorism (although none is yet proven); but ridding the
globe of the threat posed by terrorist use of biological and chemical
weapons.

The latter is certainly a noble goal, although many thoughtful citizens and
peaceniks (including the author) oppose the US's military methods. The
killing power of biological and chemical weapons is unfathomable. There is
no defense but to avoid it happening in the first place. In 1983, the US
Army estimated that one thousand kilograms (2200 lbs.) of sarin nerve gas
aerosolized over an urban area on a clear, calm night would kill 3,000 -
8,000 people, an attack in terms of human lives roughly proportionate to
that on the World Trade Center. One tenth of the amount of anthrax spores -
one hundred kilograms - distributed under similar conditions would be
likely to result in the death of one to three million people, an
unimaginable toll two hundred to six hundred times that in New York.

Once Upon a Time

There was a time when the US arguably could muster sufficient credibility
to lead a campaign to eliminate chemical and biological weapons. In 1973,
President Nixon renounced biological weapons and mostly dismembered the US
bioweapons apparatus. It wasn't an altruistic move so much as a way to
discourage poorer countries from developing offensive biological warfare
capabilities that could rival nuclear weapons in killing power. All without
making a Manhattan Project-sized investment in science and infrastructure.

Not produced in large quantities for so long that many are actually leaking
their deadly contents, old stocks of chemical weapons began to be
incinerated at the end of the Cold War (the process continues today).
Russian inspectors were even allowed to enter and examine US facilities
that they thought might be producing biological weapons. The US ratified
the Chemical Weapons Convention, and was in talks with other nations to
develop a UN system to verify global compliance with the Biological Weapons
Convention. In short, we were cooperative and did not seem to be
threatening the world with chemical and biological warfare.

The Present

Sadly, it is no longer the case that the US can lead the world against
chemical and biological weapons. Our leaders have sacrificed our progress
in bungled attempts to address policy problems of the present. The US may
have the military muscle to stamp out the current generation of active
terrorists; but does not possess the moral authority to spearhead a crusade
against weapons of mass destruction. Certainly not nukes. Vice President
Cheney refuses to rule out dropping the bomb on terrorists. Chemical and
biological weapons? Our actions and policy are even worse.

There has always been a shadier side to the US renunciation of chemical and
biological weapons. For example: Cuban accusations of biological attack
with agricultural pests (unproven; but stridently alleged and not without
evidence), enemies convinced that the US maintains offensive biological
weapons (incorrect as alleged; but some biodefense research walks a
razor-thin line), and refusal to accept responsibility for the horrendous
human and environmental effects of Agent Orange, the latter most recently,
shamefully repeated by Bill Clinton in Hanoi itself.

Some problems Ð like Agent Orange Ð are ongoing moral failures. Others, as
troubling as they are, remain unproven, pertain to events dating from years
ago, or were sufficiently ambiguous (at least in terms of the public's
knowledge), to shield the US from many critics. For problems like the Cuban
allegations, it will take years for the truth to be known with certainty,
if ever. They have damaged; but in themselves did not destroy US ability to
lead the struggle against biological and chemical weapons. At least until
now.

The fact that the US maintains what is far and away the largest biological
weapons defense program in the world doesn't help either. Even the greatest
experts disagree on which specific activities are offensive and which can
be classified as defensive. The tendency among governments has been toward
classifying all ÒresearchÓ (as opposed to weapons-building and testing) as
the latter. The laxity of interpretation has given rise to potential
misunderstandings and opened doors to would-be biological weapons
developers. Genetic engineering and its proliferation has made matters
worse, further blurring the line between offensive and defense and giving
rise to the technical possibility to create genetically-engineered
superbugs and even entirely new classes of biological weapons. The billions
recently authorized by Congress for homeland defense will swell this opaque
military-scientific-corporate biotechnology bureaucracy and the instability
it creates to even larger proportions.

Demolishing Cooperation

The demolition of international confidence in the US has come more
recently, and we have nobody but ourselves to blame. Bumbling attempts to
address several post-Cold War problems were allowed to so completely
convolute chemical and biological weapons control commitments that we
sacrificed whatever moral high ground we might have had. Now, many
international critics convincingly argue the US is a chemical and
biological weapons control Òrogue stateÓ.

Where did we go wrong? Three main areas: First, fear of terrorism and
Òrogue statesÓ and, particularly, their access to the military talent and
technology of our Cold War enemies. Second, missteps retooling the US
military for greater involvement in peacekeeping and military Òoperations
other than warÓ (such as Somalia). Third, a foolish attempt to find the
ever-elusive Òsilver bulletÓ to win the Drug War that has resulted in US
development of biological weapons. In more detail:

Biological Warfare in the Name of America's Children

For more than three years the US has menaced other countries with the
threat of biological attack. Not just any countries. We've mainly harassed
two of the world's terrorism hotspots: Afghanistan and Colombia.

The ostensible US motive is to prevent American kids from becoming drug
addicts by using biological weapons on Third World countries that produce
the drugs we buy and then snort, inject, and smoke. In Afghanistan the
target is opium poppy, source of heroin. Our weapon is a dangerous fungus
developed by a perverse alliance of militaristic US drug warriors and
ex-Soviet bioweapons researchers who previously dedicated themselves to
developing pathogens to destroy US food supplies. The legal pretext
includes attempts to gain the ÒapprovalÓ of the Afghan government in exile
(in Pakistan), a bitter enemy of the Taliban that has no de facto power.
The environmental and human effects of use of these fungi could be
devastating.

Our troops are a surprise. This biological weapon is not in our military
arsenal; but that of the State Department's anti-narcotics division,
supported by US diplomatic missions (repeat: diplomatic missions) that
provide cash, political, and intelligence support.

The US also supports using bioweapons in other conflict-torn countries,
such as Burma and Colombia, site of the largest armed conflict in the
Americas. Colombia has no fewer than three terrorist organizations as
defined by the State Department, including FARC, one of the world's largest
terrorist groups and an organization that has repeatedly killed Americans.
It is a testament to the severity of the conflict in Colombia that it has
the second largest number of war-displaced persons in the world (after
Sudan). Into this mix, the US wants to throw biological weapons.

(In case you were wondering, it was proposed here too - to eradicate pot in
Florida - but environmental officials immediately shot it down.)

Burning the Treaties to Save Them - Non-Lethal Weapons

Mogadishu was a harrowing disaster for the US armed forces. Sadly, Somali
civilians literally tore to pieces several US servicemen who thought they
were on a mission to help the poor and feed the hungry. The military,
understandably anxious to prevent a recurrence, vows it will never happen
again. The Pentagon's solution, of course, is not politics; but weapons.
Specifically, it started a huge program to delve into new and controversial
Ònon-lethalÓ weapons systems. Non-lethal should not be understood as
benign. In fact, these are powerful weapons designed not to prevent death
or permanent injury; only to lessen its frequency.

Apart from microwaves to heat the skin, sound generators to vibrate
internal organs, lasers to confuse the eyes, and other non-chemical and
biological systems, the Joint Non-Lethal Weapons Program (JNLWP) has
entertained proposals to dose people, especially rioters and "potentially
hostile civilians", with drugs. These drugs include sedatives, ÒcalmativesÓ
(such as hallucinogens and ketamine, a DEA schedule narcotic), muscle
relaxants, opioids (the class of chemicals in heroin), and ÒmalodorantsÓ
(indescribably foul smelling substances). JNLWP has weighed genetically
engineered microbes to destroy enemy vehicles, machinery, and supplies.

It isn't just blackboard and small-scale laboratory work. The Navy has a
genetically modified microbe to destroy plastics and, in the words of one
researcher ÒThere is almost nothing some bug won't eat.Ó Delivery
mechanisms under consideration or development include backpack sprayers,
land mines, mortars, and payloads for unmanned aerial vehicles. JNLWP has
planned computer simulations of the offensive use of calmative agents,
contracted with a major US military supplier to develop an
overhead-exploding chemical riot control mortar round, and field-tested new
non-lethal weapons (but not biological ones) on humans in Kosovo.

The Pentagon claims Ð and desperately wants to hypnotize itself into
believing Ð that these arms are not chemical and biological weapons,
rather, that they are a potentially less bloody way to conduct peacekeeping
operations, isolate terrorists, and squelch civil disobedience. But it is
exceedingly unlikely that people forcibly gassed with mind-altering drugs
will view the hijacking of their brains and bodies as a humane act. Much
more probably, when their motor control returns and hallucinations fade
away, they may have permanent psychological damage and feel enraged at the
denial of their freedom of thought and expression.

These weapons are not a panacea for death by the hands of US soldiers, they
are cruel and unusual biological and chemical weapons banned under
international laws for arms control, those prohibiting torture, and those
for protection of Human Rights. This is how the world, and especially the
victims, will understand and react to these weapons if they are used. US
attempts to characterize them as anything else are not only wrong; but run
the terrible risk of provoking a biological or chemical attack on the US
and its allies.

Blunders and Backsliding on the Bioweapons Convention

As 2001 opened, biological weapons control was focused on the completion of
six years of negotiations to develop an inspection system to verify global
compliance with the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention, the main
international law against biological weapons. The inspection system, called
the Verification Protocol, was designed to give teeth to this important
international agreement by, among other things, mandating declaration of
biodefense research and permitting the UN to inspect suspected bioweapons
facilities.

Signs early this year from the USA were ominous. At a non-lethal weapons
meeting in Scotland, US military officers left arms control experts slack
jawed when they called for the renegotiation of the bioweapons treaty to
allow the US to produce and use anti-material biological weapons like those
being investigated by the Joint Non-Lethal Weapons Program.

Things only got worse, and Uncle Sam led the way. In July, bioweapons
negotiators were set to meet and try to finalize the verification
agreement. The day before the meeting opened, the US press was so
uninterested that a back pages New York Times headline declared the meeting
was taking place in London, more than 450 miles away from the actual site
in Geneva, Switzerland.

Unfortunately, the US diplomatic team didn't divert to London and, as
expected arrived in Geneva and trashed the Verification Protocol. Six years
of negotiations were rendered at least temporarily useless, and perhaps
permanently. The US backed away just as other countries approached
agreement. It was reminiscent - and close on the heels - of the US's
withdrawal from the Kyoto agreement to control global warming. In this case
not content to simply walk away, the US went a big step further. Adoption
of the Verification Protocol needs consensus. The US said it will sit in
the negotiations and kill the Verification Protocol by deliberately
blocking the efforts of others, including the European Union. The United
States, standing alone, delivered what may have been a knockout punch to
the world's efforts to combat biological weapons cooperatively.

The CIA's Monstrous Mistake

Not everybody at the New York Times had been asleep. Although the timing
was unusual, in early September, a Times article made stunning revelations
about the US biodefense program. The US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)
is conducting a secret program of biodefense research that, in the opinion
of many experts, violates the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention. The
CIA tested mock biological bombs and built a real bioweapons production
facility in Nevada. If any other country conducted this research, it would
have drawn the US's harshest denunciations and, quite possibly, military
attack. The real reasons for the US rejection of the Verification Protocol
suddenly became much more clear.

The date of the New York Times story (September 4) was unusual because
persons close to the reporters' investigation, including US officials,
confirm that the Times was in possession of information about the CIA's
Nevada facility and bomb testing by May, 2001 - over a month before the US
trashed the Protocol. Yet the Times waited until September to enlighten the
rest of the world, altering the course of events in Geneva. This has led to
quiet accusations that instead of printing the news when it was fit to be
printed, the Times withheld the information in order for its release to
more closely coincide with distribution of review copies of the
journalists' new book on the US biodefense program. Or, some have suggested
more ominously, somebody at the Times may have placed protecting US
diplomatic interests ahead of journalistic ethics.

It gets even worse. Much worse. The CIA's research activities were not
disclosed in annual declarations of biodefense activities to the Bioweapons
Convention. Without actually mentioning it, the Times article
incontrovertibly demonstrated that the US had flouted a UN mechanism to
enhance transparency and trust between nations. The US remained
recalcitrant, claiming the CIA was Òentirely appropriate, necessary,
consistent with US treaty obligationsÓ. The diplomatic significance of this
is difficult to overstate. The most powerful country in the world proved
itself untrustworthy on biological weapons research. The CIA research has
undermined faith in voluntary confidence building measures to promote
transparency between nations. To US enemies, the CIA's work looks like
nothing short of a biological weapons threat and means that pious
declarations about the danger of bioweapons will ring hollow and be
interpreted by US enemies as lies - or even threats.

The CIA activities not only threaten arms control; but may have contributed
to expanding the black market for bioweapons technology. Part of the CIA
effort involved (failed) attempts to buy and then test small biological
bombs (ÒbombletsÓ) manufactured by the Soviet Union in its final years.
According to University of Maryland expert Milton Leitenberg:

CIA operatives would have had to inform various networks of essentially
criminal elements -- smugglers and middlemen in Russia -- of what it was
that the Agency was seeking. Those criminal networks would then have tried
to obtain the item. If they did not succeed this time, as was apparently
the case, they have learned that it is a sought-after commodity, and they
may be motivated to continue that effort on their own, understanding that
there will be an interested purchaser sometime later. The next time the
interested buyer might not be the US CIA. This duplicates the process that
occurred in the mid-1990s when covert operations by German intelligence
agencies [seeking] sellers of fissionable materials [i.e. fuel for
constructing nuclear weapons] in former East European nations produced a
flow of items of varying quality. When it was understood that this program
had stimulated individuals in Russia to find things to sell, the operation
was quickly shut down. Since these events occurred only a half dozen years
ago, one might have imagined that the vaunted CIA might have remembered the
lesson.

The Bang of Big Buried Biological Bombs

Next, in mid-September, Dr. Barbara Rosenburg of the Federation of American
Scientists dropped another (figurative) bomb detailing the US's disregard
for bioweapons control. Rosenburg found Department of Energy documents
stating that the US is planning (and might already have begun) to test
biological weapons loaded with live agents in two large underground aerosol
chambers at the Army's Edgewood Chemical Biological Center in Maryland. A
similar facility is suspected to exist for use by researchers pursuing
similar aerosol projects at Sandia National Laboratory in New Mexico. Its
precise location is unknown. Not by coincidence, Sandia is headquartered at
Kirtland Air Force Base near Albuquerque, a major research center for the
Joint Non-Lethal Weapons Program.

To the initiated in the technical world of bioweapons research, the kind of
research planned is a big no-no. It is of a scale unnecessary for defensive
research and apparently designed to yield the exact kinds of data needed to
build new biological weapons.

Unfortunately Not the End

Before the Twin Towers crashed to the ground, America's international
reputation on control of chemical and, especially, biological weapons was
punched full of holes and sinking fast. Staunch allies are appalled. Before
September 11th, UK officials made less than complimentary remarks to the US
press. Australia's Foreign Minster upset Colin Powell's otherwise warm and
cuddly kangaroo-hop Down Under by blasting US rejection of bioweapons
verification at a press conference. If the US's most obedient international
lap dogs are biting, it's hard to fathom what could be running through the
mind of leaders of many other political persuasions - Iran, Libya, Israel,
Sudan, Egypt, Iraq (all accused by the US of developing biological or
chemical weapons). Not to mention terrorists. A fa?ade of cooperation
between most of these states has been achieved; but very deep suspicions on
weapons of mass destruction lurk just beneath the surface and will come
out, sooner or later.

What happened in New York and Washington was truly terrible. The authors of
the attacks and those that can be proven to have knowingly assisted them
should be tried in a court of law and face punishment. But the war on
terrorism isn't going to do anything good for Americans' security from
biological and chemical weapons attack. To the contrary, there are many
things that may actually heighten the risk, like spraying pathogenic fungus
on Colombia, gassing people who disagree with us with inhumane chemical
weapons, or continuing to flout international commitments on biological
weapons.

After thinking about the victims, it's also useful to think about Mohammed
Atta, who is alleged to have flown the first plane into the World Trade
Center. If what the FBI says is true, Atta was nothing like the stereotyped
ÒArab terroristÓ. Atta reportedly was a disenchanted urban planning student
alienated during his time in Hamburg, Germany. He smoked, drank and,
supposedly, enjoyed video games. He raised no suspicion in the US because
he knew how to fit in. More so than many isolated Americans, Atta was a
product of globalization and knew both sides of rich and poor, powerful and
passive. He also knew from whence so many unpopular; but global-imposed
economic and social policies come, and whose will prevails when they are at
issue. Which might explain why he didn't fly an Airbus into the Brandenburg
Gate, or even the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.

Which isn't the slightest justification for his alleged actions. But don't
be fooled for a minute into thinking that waging war against terrorism will
do anything to improve the long-term prospects of avoiding the use of
biological and chemical weapons. Key elements of the solution to those
problems lie inside our own institutions.

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