-Caveat Lector-

(What good is issuing "credible threat" statements without specifics?  This
is all so "psyops."  -- Samantha)

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A7816-2001Oct29.html

FBI Issues 2nd Global Attack Alert
Credible Reports Indicate Strikes on U.S. Possible In Next Week, Agency Says

By Dan Eggen and Bob Woodward
Washington Post Staff Writers
Tuesday, October 30, 2001; Page A01

The FBI issued a second global alert yesterday, warning that more terrorist
attacks may be carried out in the next week against U.S. targets at home or
abroad. But officials said again that they did not know how or where the
attacks might occur.

The warning, which came in the wake of a similarly vague FBI bulletin on Oct.
11, was prompted in part by "big and very credible" intelligence reports from
abroad in recent days that seem to forecast new attacks, a senior U.S.
official said.

Other intelligence has been gathered indicating that Osama bin Laden and some
of his top lieutenants have essentially delegated authority to order and
conduct new attacks down the chain of command, perhaps even to individual
cells of bin Laden's al Qaeda terrorist network, senior officials said.

The FBI has identified at least a half dozen such cells in the United States.
Some members have been detained in the government's roundup of nearly 1,000
people since the Sept. 11 terror attacks on New York and Washington.

Several officials said the apparent instructions from bin Laden mean that al
Qaeda terrorists could strike even if the group's leadership has been
eliminated, further increasing the difficulty of detecting and preventing
attacks. Capturing or killing bin Laden is one of the primary goals of the
U.S. military action in Afghanistan, where the Saudi-born fugitive is
believed to be hiding.

In a nation still jittery from the Sept. 11 terror attacks, the alert came on
the same day as new reports of anthrax contamination in Washington, more
confirmed cases of infection in New Jersey, a suspected case in New York and
the emergency landing of American Airlines Flight 785 at Dulles International
Airport after a report of a threatening note aboard the New York-to-Dallas
flight. Four of the plane's 141 passengers received minor injuries while
exiting the plane from emergency chutes. [Details, Page A7.]

The national alert set off another round of alarms among local and state law
enforcement agencies, most of which have already been on their highest state
of alert since the suicide hijackings that left about 4,800 people dead seven
weeks ago.

Administration officials have struggled since Sept. 11 to balance the desire
to ease Americans back into their daily routines with the need to keep them
alert to the possibility of more terrorist incidents. The effort has led to
competing messages from different parts of the government, causing some local
and state officials to complain that they have been kept uninformed by the
FBI and other federal agencies.

With the new Homeland Security Council meeting for the first time yesterday,
the federal government tried to offer a more unified message.

Attorney General John D. Ashcroft, who declined to discuss specifically why
the government issued the alert, said at an evening news conference that "we
believe this threat to be credible, and for that reason it should be taken
seriously." President Bush was informed of the new threats early yesterday,
and Ashcroft canceled a trip to Toronto that had been scheduled for today,
officials said.

FBI Director Robert S. Mueller III said that the new threats were serious
enough to prompt another general warning. He said he believed the previous
alert may have averted a terrorist attack, but he provided no details.

"I know how difficult it is for . . . state and local officers out there to
respond without greater detail," said Mueller, who returned yesterday from a
police chiefs' conference in Toronto. "Even given that, I believe it is
advisable to alert law enforcement and local authorities as to what knowledge
we have received. . . . Doing so gives us a force multiplier that could well
prevent another terrorist attack."

Assistant D.C. police chief Terrance W. Gainer expressed annoyance last
night, saying he had learned of the high state of alert through telephone
calls from reporters about the announcement.

"Being told to turn on CNN or CNBC doesn't seem to be the best way to
communicate what law enforcement ought to know," Gainer said. "Having one
more breathless announcement with absolutely no or little substance is not
terribly helpful."

Bush and Homeland Security Director Tom Ridge were informed of the latest
threats during the president's daily intelligence briefing. That prompted
meetings about whether to issue the warning. The decision to do so was made
around noon, despite objections from some within the administration,
according to White House aides.

Trying to improve on the last alert, which was criticized by some officials
as overly vague and alarmist, the president himself telephoned congressional
leaders yesterday afternoon, and Ridge phoned others.

Around 3:15 p.m., Ridge notified about 40 governors who could be reached in a
conference call that the FBI was planning to issue another warning. The
governors were told that while the government had new, credible information
of the possibility of another terrorist attack, "no states were named, no
location indicated," said a spokesperson for Gov. Gary Locke of Washington.

"Whether this was more serious or less serious than the last one, [Ridge
didn't provide] a quantifying or qualifying indication like that," said Dana
Middleton, Locke's spokesperson.

FBI field offices and U.S. attorneys' offices around the country received the
latest warning at about 4:30 p.m. yesterday.

The decision to issue a warning was prompted in part by U.S. intelligence
analysts' conclusion that terrorist cells no longer need approval for
operations from top al Qaeda lieutenants, officials said.

Bin Laden may believe that his communications system -- which involves an
intricate network of telecommunications, e-mails, telephones and couriers --
has been disrupted or is vulnerable, officials said.

U.S. military strikes in Afghanistan and CIA covert actions have specifically
targeted bin Laden's communications for destruction.

One senior official said that "all the intelligence just reached a critical
mass. It's an accumulation."

A top-secret "Threat Matrix," which is used by U.S. intelligence officials to
weigh terrorist threats, lists 60 to 80 terrorist threats each day that
specialists believe are credible enough to pass along to top Bush
administration officials, sources have said. At the same time, officials said
much intelligence reporting is circular: Sources may be repeating old
information and passing it on.

Justice and FBI officials said the new threats are not believed to have any
connection with Halloween, nor do they add credence to a widely circulated
e-mail claiming that coordinated terror attacks are planned on that day at
U.S. shopping malls. The FBI has dismissed those warnings as a hoax.

The warning came on a day when several U.S. cities were attempting to return
to normal routines.

In Chicago, Mayor Richard Daley and former president George H.W. Bush were on
hand to reopen the sky deck of the Sears Tower, the nation's tallest
building, for the first time since Sept. 11.

New York will be on particular watch tonight when the city hosts two major
sporting events. At Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, the New York Yankees will
play the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 3 of the World Series; at Manhattan's
Madison Square Garden, the New York Knicks will host the Washington Wizards
and Michael Jordan in his official return to the NBA.

The new alert also came on the same day that a coalition of legal,
immigration and civil liberties groups demanded that law enforcement agencies
disclose more information about hundreds of people who have been detained as
part of the effort to avert future attacks and investigate the Sept. 11
attacks.

"We have a situation here where there has been an unprecedented number of
arrests, and we don't know whether they have been carried out in accordance
with the law, because they've been carried out with an unprecedented veil of
secrecy," said Kate Martin, director of the Center for National Security
Studies.

Staff writers Paul Duggan, Amy Goldstein, Allan Lengel, Dana Milbank, Rachel
Alexander Nichols, Eric Pianin, Robert E. Pierre and Martin Weil, and
correspondents Jeff Adler and Pamela Ferdinand, contributed to this report.


© 2001 The Washington Post Company

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