-Caveat Lector- CAVEAT LECTOR: Though the Debka File has proven to be reliable in the past, it is believed to be an outlet for the Mossad. All information put out by intelligence sources are put out for a reason, and should be takes with a grain of salt. -- Nurev
Arafat Plans Declaration of War of Liberation ********************************************* The day US Middle East envoy Anthony Zinni returned to the region, DEBKAfile's Palestinian sources quoted Yasser Arafat as confiding to his intimates that he was drafting his most important speech in two decades: a declaration of the Palestinian War of Liberation. He promised to wait until after retired general Zinni had left, adding: "There's a limit to our patience!" From Arafat's point of view, US peace and ceasefire initiatives have all been wasted enterprises - whether Camp David, Taba, Paris, Cairo, Sharm el-Sheikh, or the Tenet ceasefire proposal and the Mitchell blueprint - and he would make envoy Zinni admit failure. Arafat believes his declaration will fire up the Palestinian and Arab masses and draw them into a new cycle of hostilities against Israel. What hurts Arafat the most, aside from the loss of his own masses' enthusiasm for the struggle, is the desertion of Arab leaders. None are rushing to rescue him from his state of confinement in Ramallah and international isolation. Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak, Jordanian King Abdullah and Gulf and Saudi leaders have not even made courtesy phone calls in sympathy with his plight. The Israelis do not bother to conceal that their tanks are merely churning mud as a polite gesture for Zinni rather than seriously relaxing their closures of Palestinian cities. The 10 yards they pulled back Thursday are easily covered when he leaves. Israeli tanks remain within sight of Arafat's headquarters in Ramallah. Israel promises to keep them there until the Palestinians hand over the murderers of cabinet minister Zeevi. Raids into Palestinian territory to round up suspected terrorists also continues unabated. But the most painful slap in the face was delivered by Arab League secretary general Amr Moussa, who as Egyptian foreign minister was the most fervent champion of Arafat's Intifada. In comments still echoing round the Arab world, Moussa declared last week that it was time for Arafat and the Palestinians to realize they had become incidental to current history and "no longer of interest in the Arab world", which faces more acute problems. He reflected an Arab consensus when he urged the Palestinians to give up their battle for a final-status peace treaty with Israel and settle for the most they could get: a limited interim accord. Blows from Washington are coming thick and fast on Arab heads, in the form of new appointments that signal a sharp about-turn from President Clinton sympathetic consideration of Arab viewpoints. One such appointment is that of the hawkish State Department official John Bolton as secretary of state for arms control and international security affairs - over the objections of secretary of state Colin Powell. A strong opponent of regional and international treaties on these issues and advocate of bilateral US ad hoc agreements with individual countries, his appointment means that the Bush administration has turned its back on Egyptian-led Arab demands to make Israel sign the nuclear non-proliferation treaty and accept nuclear disarmament in the Middle East. United States will henceforth deal directly with Israel on such issues, bypassing regional Arab involvement. Arab leaders are also disturbed by the loss of another Clinton holdover, Bruce Reidel, as head of the US National Security Council's Middle East desk. The Sharon government will not mourn his loss. Reidel was the hand behind many an Israeli media campaign alleging US pressure on Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon to make concessions to the Palestinians in the interests of keeping an Arab coalition lined up behind US policies. Reidel is replaced by Zalmay Khalilzad, an Afghan-American who has had little to do with the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. In 1998, Khalilzad co-signed a letter to Clinton, calling on him to topple Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein. His emphasis is expected to focus on Afghanistan - not Palestine. Moussa knew what he was talking about when he spoke of the Palestinian issue's weakened impact in the world arena. Closer to home, Jordan's King Abdullah fired his military intelligence chief, General Zahar al-Fawaz, in a surprise move that astounded its object. His replacement is General Tahseen Shrdum, a Circassian of Chechen descent, who served on the Jordanian teams that drew up Jordan's peace treaty with Israel. This changeover is a blatant strengthening of the pro-Israeli element in Jordanian military intelligence - and reflects the Jordanian monarch's determination to keep up with the fast-moving Middle East changes reflected in DEBKAfilereporting in recent weeks. The new appointments in Washington, Amr Moussa's change of face, King Abdullah's posture - all fit into the new picture presaged by Sharon when he declared Yasser Arafat irrelevant. They have all closed ranks, placing the Palestinian leader under both physical and diplomatic siege. He can either toe the American line by genuinely rooting out terror and turning his back on violence or see his cause sinking ever deeper into irrelevance. But Arafat being Arafat, he is far more likely to make one more desperate throw and force Palestinian and Israeli to endure the ultimate act of terror of what he calls the Palestinian War of Liberation. =========================================================================== -------- Original Message -------- Subject: Israel Radio: PA has anti-aircraft,anti-tank missiles and Katyushas Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2002 01:19:41 -0500 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Israel Radio: PA has anti-aircraft,anti-tank missiles and Katyushas Aaron Lerner Date: 2 January 2002 Israel Radio Arab Affairs Correspondent Avi Yissakharov reported this morning that Israeli security sources say the Palestinian Authority has anti-aircraft missiles, anti-tank missiles and Katyushas stored in the Gaza Strip for use against Israel in a more advanced stage of the conflict. It is expected that the Katyushas would be launched to strike nearby Israeli cities such as Ashkelon. Israel does not believe that the illegal militias (Arafat's Fatah Tanzim, Islamic Jihad, etc.) have such equipment. Islamic Jihad has simple rockets that so far have not been particularly effective. Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis) (mail POB 982 Kfar Sava) Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-5480092 INTERNET ADDRESS: [EMAIL PROTECTED] pager 03-610666 subscriber 4811 Website: http://www.imra.org.il ======================================== Mideast truce talks continue; Israelis level new charges Copyright © 2002 AP Online By IBRAHIM HAZBOUN, Associated Press JERUSALEM (January 5, 2002 7:09 a.m. EST) - U.S. envoy Anthony Zinni pressed on with his truce mission Saturday amid new Israeli charges that the Palestinian Authority is engaged in terrorism and has tried to smuggle missiles and other weapons into the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Israel said Friday that commandos intercepted the shipment of Iranian-made weapons on a Palestinian Authority-owned vessel in the Red Sea, hundreds of miles from Israel's shores. The captain and some of the crew were members of the Palestinian naval police, Israel's army chief said. Palestinian officials vehemently denied the allegations and said Israel was trying to sabotage the mission by U.S. envoy Anthony Zinni. Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat agreed to conduct an investigation and asked U.S. officials to join it, his aides said. Zinni asked Arafat about the weapons shipment when they Friday in the West Bank town of Ramallah, State Department spokesman Richard Boucher said. Zinni "expressed our strong condemnation of any attempt to escalate the conflict in the region by militant groups or others," he said. On Saturday, Zinni was to hold meetings with Palestinian Parliament Speaker Ahmed Qureia, Palestinian negotiator Saeb Erekat and Palestinian security offic ials. Qureia has been holding talks with Israeli Foreign Minister Shimon Peres about the framework for a peace agreement. Under the framework plan, Israel would recognize a Palestinian state before negotiations would proceed on two issues that led to the collapse of talks last year - the status of Jerusalem and the fate of four million Palestinians who are refugees or their descendants. However, the Peres-Qureia talks were given little chance of success. The two remain far apart on the dimensions of the Palestinian state to be recognized by Israel and Peres does not have the full backing of Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon. Zinni returned to the region on Thursday for a four-day trip after his previous mission was aborted in December amid a surge of violence. The envoy said he was more upbeat this time. "I am optimistic, I am hopeful and I feel that we have the conditions that are right to make progress this time," Zinni said Friday after his meeting with Arafat. He said he would make many more trips to the region. Zinni is trying to nudge both sides toward a formal truce outlined last year by CIA chief George Tenet. Under the plan, Israel would withdraw troops to positions they held before the outbreak of fighting in September 2000 and Palestinian security forces would make an all-out effort to prevent attacks on Israelis by Palestinian militants. With a truce in place, the two sides would carry out of a series of mutual gestures proposed last year by an international commission headed by former U.S. Sen. George Mitchell. Israel would freeze all settlement activity in the West Bank and Gaza, while the Palestinians would dismantle militant groups. Commenting on the interception of the weapons shipment, Peres said Friday that Arafat and the Palestinians must make a choice. "They have to make a strategic decision whether they support terrorism or they are against it," he said in a statement. The foreign minister said he would ask the international community to declare Iran a supporter of terrorism. Sharon, meanwhile, told Zinni he would only carry out the truce deal once there has been a week of complete calm. The Palestinians accuse Sharon of trying to wriggle out of Israel's commitments in order to avoid a settlement freeze that could threaten the stability of his center-right coalition government. There has been a sharp drop in violence since Arafat renewed his commitment to a cease-fire Dec. 16, though there have been sporadic incidents, including shootings. No Israeli has been killed in a Palestinian attack in three weeks, the longest stretch since the fighting began in September 2000. <A HREF="http://www.ctrl.org/">www.ctrl.org</A> DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER ========== CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic screeds are unwelcomed. Substance—not soap-boxing—please! 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