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>From LATimes


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http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/commentary/la-
000007196jan29.story

COMMENTARY

Bush Must See Past the Acts of Terror to the Root Causes

By GRAHAM E. FULLER
Graham E. Fuller is a former vice chairman of the National
Intelligence Council at the CIA.

January 29 2002

The Israeli-Palestinian situation has moved into what can only be
described as a stage of collective madness. And Washington is walking
right down that same path, apparently unaware of or unconcerned about
the abyss yawning ahead.

Two basic schools of thought exist. One says: Unacceptable terrorism
is running rampant in Israel and nothing can be done until the terror
is brought under control or eliminated. The other view says: The core
of the problem is 35 years of harsh and humiliating occupation.
Ending the occupation is the sole means of beginning to attain peace.

The first view has triumphed; the second has been largely silenced.
And things are deteriorating fast. Israeli Prime Minister Ariel
Sharon is committed to the first view. He believes he can crush
Palestinian terrorism and is using extreme military power to do so.
The Bush administration over the past month seemingly has accepted
this rationale--a tragedy for Washington, Israel and the Palestinians
because the terror isn't abating but increasing. Washington is
treating only the symptoms of the massive Palestinian frustration:
bitterness, impotence and rage.

Does Israel face a problem of terrorism? You bet. It is appalling that Israeli 
citizens are being blown up in discos, pizza parlors and public streets. Israelis 
justifiably are bitter and angry.

But conditions in the West Bank and Gaza also have never been worse. Palestinians are 
reacting violently as the rat cage tightens.

Tragically, the most unspeakable terrorism against Israelis will be applauded by 
virtually every Palestinian until their own desperation is alleviated and their 
sovereign state has been established.

In treating the symptoms and not the cause, President Bush is participating and 
contributing to the isolation, humiliation and destruction of Yasser Arafat.

Sharon believes that Arafat's elimination is desirable, and most of the Israeli 
Cabinet is ready to assassinate him. Washington effectively acquiesces to the Sharon 
strategy.

Few have sympathy for Arafat, who has made more than his fair share of stupid mistakes 
in his long political career to preserve the Palestinian cause. The problem, however, 
is not Arafat but the Palestinian reality he ref
lects. The Palestinian Authority is corrupt and ineffective. If Israel is about to 
eliminate Arafat, fine, as long as Sharon and Bush are convinced that what succeeds 
him will be better, more malleable.

To disabuse yourself of this view, read Khalil Shikaki's analysis of the next 
generation of Palestinian leadership in January's Foreign Affairs. That generation is 
more aggressive, more determined to move to armed struggl
e and more willing to cooperate with Hamas as an indispensable political and military 
ally. Hamas has never been stronger, thanks to current conditions.

Did Arafat or his lieutenants seek to import arms to bolster the armed struggle? 
Almost certainly; all national liberation movements do.

Is terrorism on the rise? Of course, because the Palestinians have no other vehicle of 
resistance. That does not justify it, but terrible political violence is emerging from 
the Israeli side as well, even if not technical
ly terrorism. Bush's own war on terrorism is hostage to the situation.

Lest these views appear one-sided, listen to Ami Ayalon, for four years the director 
of Shin Bet, the Israeli version of the FBI: "Israeli society, top to bottom, is 
sinking into confusion.... People mask this reality wit
h swaggering slogans: 'We will vanquish terrorism!' There are today more Palestinian 
terrorists than a year ago and there will be even more tomorrow....

"In Israel, no one is in touch with reality.... Why is the problem not resolved? 
Reoccupying the Palestinian Authority lands, and killing Arafat, what would that 
change? Those who want victory want an unending war....

"Anyone who [equates] Arafat with [Osama] bin Laden understands neither Arafat nor Bin 
Laden.... We say the Palestinians behave like 'madmen,' but it is not madness but a 
bottomless despair....

"I favor unconditional withdrawal from the territories--preferably in
the context of an agreement, but not necessarily."

Should Bush listen to these powerful insights from Shin Bet? Or is he
hostage to an agenda that looks only at the terror and not its cause?


If you want other stories on this topic, search the Archives at
latimes.com/archives. For information about reprinting this article,
go to www.lats.com/rights.
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