-Caveat Lector-

'


http://www.dfw.com/mld/startelegram/news/columnists/jack_z_smith/2911743.htm
Dallas Fort Worth Star-Telegram
Posted Fri, Mar. 22, 2002

Lockboxed in
Jack Z. Smith

Remember the Social Security "lockbox" that President Bush and many
members of Congress promised not to raid when they were courting your
vote back in 2000?

As it turns out, the mythical lockbox wasn't nearly as secure as we
had hoped. Both the president and Congress have reverted to looting
surplus Social Security payroll tax revenues that were supposed to be
devoted to helping ensure the long-term solvency of Social Security
and Medicare.

This development should alarm you if you're one of the 150
million-plus Americans currently paying into Social Security and
hoping someday to receive benefits from it.

The White House and Congress should be devoting the lion's share of
Social Security surpluses to paying down the national debt.

With the debt burden lowered, the nation would have greater financial
wherewithal in future years to cope with projected shortfalls in
Social Security and Medicare funding that are expected as Baby
Boomers retire.

But Bush and many members of Congress - Republicans and Democrats
alike - are instead breaking campaign promises by returning to
spending surplus Social Security revenues on other government
programs.

When running for president, Bush put forth a ridiculously rosy
scenario that many Americans swallowed simply because they wanted to
believe it: We could grant huge income tax cuts, increase federal
spending for defense and other programs, create a prescription drug
program for
seniors, keep the federal budget in the black and still avoid
spending Social Security surpluses on other programs.

Instead, the reality is that the nonpartisan Congressional Budget
Office recently projected a deficit of $121 billion in the 2003
fiscal year that begins Oct. 1, assuming that the tax and spending
changes that Bush proposed are adopted.

The CBO projects that over the next decade Bush's budget proposals
would devour $1.8 trillion in surplus Social Security revenues to pay
for other federal programs.

That's a stupendous wad of cash, even by Washington standards. To put
it in perspective, $1.8 trillion is equal to 85 percent of Bush's
entire federal budget of $2.1 trillion for 2003.

Now, granted, some needed federal expenditures - such as for
anti-terrorism measures - couldn't be foreseen in 2000 when Bush and
members of Congress were pledging loyalty to the lockbox.

But the primary reasons that they will be relentlessly diverting
Social Security surpluses to other federal programs is that they
relied on insanely optimistic and unrealistic projections of
long-term budget surpluses, approved the $1.35 trillion tax cut that
Bush wanted and are now jacking up spending in areas ranging from
defense to agriculture.

For every billion dollars of Social Security surpluses that
Washington politicians spend on another program, the U.S. government
will owe a billion to the Social Security program. The debt is in the
form of special-issue Treasury bonds held by the Social Security
trust fund.

In future years, the government will need huge sums of money to
redeem these bonds and thereby ensure Social Security has enough
money to continue cutting benefit checks.

But if it fails to earmark current Social Security surpluses for debt
reduction, the government is more likely to have to take drastic
measures in future years - such as sharply raising taxes or slashing
federal programs - to cover expected funding gaps for Social Security
and Medicare.

The long-term problem also is being worsened because Bush and
Congress are dawdling on making meaningful reforms in the Social
Security program to buttress it financially.

The current fiscal irresponsibility in Washington could come back to
haunt America's younger generations - our children and grandchildren
- by the time they become eligible to draw a Social Security check.

    On another note, House Majority Leader Dick Armey claimed in the
March 18 Star-Telegram that I had misrepresented his views on Social
Security both in reporting on his initial race for Congress in 1984
and in a recent March 9 column in which I reiterated comments he made
at the time.

The truth is, I didn't misrepresent anything.

On Sept. 6, 1984, Armey told the Star-Telegram Editorial Board: "I
think we're going to have to bite the bullet on Social Security and
phase it out over a period of time." He called Social Security "a bad
retirement program."

I included those tape-recorded comments verbatim in a story that
appeared in the Star-Telegram the following day.

Armey has never denied making those comments. But he claimed I
misrepresented his views by concluding in the 1984 article that his
statements meant he favored the abolition of Social Security.

My dictionary defines "abolish" as "to do away with." If you phase
out Social Security over a period of time, as Armey proposed in 1984,
you do away with it.

Jack Z. Smith is a Star-Telegram editorial writer. (817) 390-7724
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


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