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Saturday, July 6, 2002







Preventing mushroom-shaped clouds



Posted: July 6, 2002


1:00 a.m. Eastern

By Gordon Prather



© 2002 WorldNetDaily.com

You may suppose that last September the world saw the worst-ever act of terror.
Wrong! The British


– with our assistance – deliberately created a firestorm over Dresden, Germany, on
the eve and early morning hours of St. Valentine's Day, 1945. That was worse.

You may suppose the world first saw a mushroom-shaped cloud over Hiroshima.
Wrong again. The mushroom-shaped cloud over Dresden could be seen for more
than a hundred miles.

We deliberately turned the medieval city of Dresden into a blast furnace. The British
bombers dropped almost a million small incendiary bomblets that night, starting
hundreds of thousands of small fires. American bombers dropped thousands of tons
of explosives the next day. The super-hot gases of combustion from all those fires
rose, creating a columnar updraft to the upper atmosphere. The resultant low-
pressure area at the columnar base caused air to be sucked in, surface winds
exceeding several hundred miles per hour, feeding more oxygen to the furnace.

Why did the Brits do it? The war in Europe had already been won. Germany was in
ruins. Dresden had thus far escaped bombing, but for good reason. Dresden was in
no sense a military target. Hence, the sole purpose of the fire-raids on Dresden was
to terrorize the millions of Germans who weren't in Dresden. Hundreds of thousands
who were there – many of them refugees, wounded German soldiers and British
prisoners of war – were incinerated.

A few months later, we dropped Little Boy on Hiroshima – also not a military target –
in order to terrorize millions of Japanese. Because Hiroshima was largely
constructed of rice-paper and bamboo, the firestorms – and casualties – caused by
one nuke were comparable to what it took almost a million incendiary bombs to
accomplish at Dresden.

That's what makes a nuke the terrorist's weapon of choice. With something like Little
Boy, he doesn't need thousands of bombers and millions of incendiary bombs. Of
course, your terrorist probably couldn't create much of a firestorm over Manhattan if
he detonated Little Boy at Ground Zero. Not much of Manhattan is constructed of
rice-paper and bamboo. So, your terrorist probably couldn't expect to kill as many
people in Manhattan as were killed at Dresden or Hiroshima. But his mushroom-
shaped cloud would certainly get the attention of folks in Connecticut and New
Jersey.

Where would an Islamic terrorist get a Little Boy – an unsophisticated, easy-to-
construct, highly- enriched uranium bomb? Well, not from Saddam Hussein. He
doesn't have nukes. Nor – contrary to what the warhawks have implied – does he
have the HEU makings. But Gen. Musharraf has dozens of HEU nukes in Pakistan –
many more sophisticated than Little Boy. And what is more important, he has the
HEU makings for many more.

Now, nation-states having nukes – including Pakistan – probably know whether or
not any of their nukes are missing. All you have to do is count. But some nation-
states having the makings for nukes may not know whether any HEU is missing.

Establishing and operating an effective cradle-to-grave fissile Materials Protection,
Control and Accounting system is no slam-dunk. The MPC&A system the Russians
inherited from the Soviet Union was poor. Other successor states – such as
Kazakhstan – inherited practically no MPC&A system at all.

That is why the MPC&A assistance provided to nation-states of the former Soviet
Union by the various Nunn-Lugar-Domenici acts has been – and continues to be – so
important. The recent $20 billion Bush-Putin agreement – announced at the G-8
Summit at Calgary – properly continues to focus on cooperative U.S.-Russian cradle-
to-grave MPC&A of Soviet-era fissile materials, all of it subject to the Nuclear Non-
Proliferation Treaty full-scope safeguards and physical-protection regime.

What about Pakistan? Pakistan is not an NPT signatory, and hence is not fully
subject to the NPT regime. Sen. Lugar reportedly plans to introduce legislation that
would authorize a U.S.-Russian effort to cooperatively assist the Pakistanis to
establish an effective cradle-to-grave MPC&A system.

What about Iraq? Iraq is an NPT signatory and is fully subject to the NPT regime. As
of January, the International Atomic Energy Agency could report that Saddam has
never produced appreciable amounts of HEU on his own. Terrorists can't get nukes
from Saddam until Saddam first gets his hands on the HEU he needs to make them.
So when you hear a warhawk say we've got to invade Iraq because of reports that
Saddam has provided Islamic terrorists with "weapons of mass destruction," you'll
know it's most likely a crock of wheat smut.



Physicist James Gordon Prather has served as a policy implementing official for
national security-related technical matters in the Federal Energy Agency, the Energy
Research and Development Administration, the Department of Energy, the Office of
the Secretary of Defense and the Department of the Army. Dr. Prather also served
as legislative assistant for national security affairs to U.S. Sen. Henry Bellmon, R-
Okla. -- ranking member of the Senate Budget Committee and member of the
Senate Energy Committee and Appropriations Committee. Dr. Prather had earlier
worked as a nuclear weapons physicist at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
in California and Sandia National Laboratory in New Mexico.
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