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Center-Right Party Wins in Austria

November 25, 2002
By PAUL ZIELBAUER






VIENNA, Nov. 24 - Chancellor Wolfgang Schüssel and his
center-right People's Party were the clear victors in
Austria's national elections today, winning the party's
largest plurality in 36 years and ensuring a continuation
of a government focused on tax cuts, privatization and
integration into the European Union.

At the same time, the results were a great disappointment
for the Social Democratic Party. But above all, it was a
blow to the extreme-right Freedom Party of Jörg Haider, the
polarizing nationalist whose recent antics - a couple of
visits with Saddam Hussein in Baghdad, for example - were
considered the main reason that his party won just 10
percent of the popular vote.

That is a precipitous drop from the stunning 27 percent
that the Freedom Party captured in 1999, and a weak third
place that may spell the end of the Freedom Party's
coalition with Mr. Schüssel's People's Party, if not the
end of Mr. Haider's influence in national politics here.

With 97 percent of the vote counted tonight, the People's
Party led all four major parties with 42 percent, followed
by 37 percent for the Social Democrats, whose candidate for
chancellor, Alfred Gusenbauer, 42, had campaigned on a
platform of more social spending and certain tax cuts.

The Social Democrats, Austria's dominant party for the past
half-century but out of government since 1999, had made
clear in recent days that their preference would be either
to form a coalition government with the Green Party or
remain in the opposition. But with the Greens having won
just 9 percent, a slight improvement over 1999's result,
the two parties will have no chance to form the so-called
"red-green" coalition that won re-election in Germany
earlier this year.

As in Germany, Austrian governments typically are
coalitions of two parties that together represent more than
50 percent of the popular vote. With the strong showing by
the People's Party tonight, Mr. Schüssel, 57, could invite
any of the other three parties into such a partnership.

After his victory became clear, Mr. Schüssel said he would
continue to set a course of financial and social reforms
aimed at strengthening Austria's sputtering economy and
pension system.

"This result is unexpected, but it is a clear message from
voters," Chancellor Schüssel said. "There can be no doubt
who should govern Austria and who will govern Austria."

But Mr. Schüssel declined to say which party he would
prefer to bring on as a coalition partner.

"We will proceed carefully, keeping in mind especially
those who didn't vote for us," he said. "We'll have
conversations with all three parties, and we'll see with
which of the three we can best continue making reforms."

Mr. Gusenbauer seemed resigned to the possibility, however,
that his Social Democratic Party may again be relegated to
the political sidelines.

"The Austrian People's Party has very clearly won," he said
during a television interview tonight. But he noted that
his party had gained 4 percent more votes than in 1999.
"It's a disappointment," he said, "but we've become a
stronger opposition party."

After the 1999 elections, it took party leaders three
months to form a coalition. With the People's Party having
emerged strong enough to partner with any of the three
other parties, coalition talks would probably take weeks,
most experts said.

Fritz Plasser, a political science professor at the
University of Innsbruck, said the most practical result of
the vote would be to reunite the People's Party and the
Social Democrats into the sort of "grand coalition" that
has dominated Austrian politics for most of the post-war
period. Together, the two parties now represent nearly 80
percent of the electorate.

"Looking at the demanding challenges in coming years,
including the E.U. enlargement, the most stable government
would be a grand coalition, because there is overwhelming
agreement in both parties to work for economic
enlargement," Professor Plasser said tonight.

"But this will also cause problems," he said, "because a
grand coalition would have four-fifths of parliamentary
seats," duplicating the circumstances that Mr. Haider, 52,
used to gain prominence as the voice of the "kleine
Menschen," or little people, in fighting a perceived
government of insiders.

Mr. Haider kept conspicuously out of the public eye after
the polls closed at 5 p.m., appearing neither in public nor
on television news, though he had been quoted early today
as predicting his party would sustain no great defeat.

But in a nation with a strong preference for stability and
predictability, Mr. Haider had appeared in recent months to
go out of his way to offer a confused, unpopular message,
political analysts said. His friendly meetings with Mr.
Hussein aside, many voters blamed him for engineering a
coup within his party that led Mr. Schüssel to dissolve the
coalition government and call today's election.

Mr. Haider also compared Israel's government to the Iraqi
dictatorship recently, leading one of his more notable
supporters, Peter Sichrovsky, an Austrian-born Jew and
Freedom Party backer who had formerly defended Mr. Haider
against charges of anti-Semitism, to very publicly change
his mind.

"He is a weaker figure, but it is too early to forget about
him," Professor Plasser said of Mr. Haider. "We have to
wait until Monday to hear what he will say."

http://www.nytimes.com/2002/11/25/international/europe/25AUST.html?ex=1039244381&ei=1&en=0a41f0579e17e906



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