AI scientist Alain D Thompson has started a countdown to the Singularity, he began it in August 2017 when he thought we were 20% there, it's now at 54%. At present he thinks GPT-4 only has an IQ of 152, high but still within the human level, so he thinks Superhuman intelligence won't happen until July 2025, and the Singularity will occur 11 months later in June of 2026. If he's right then human politics sort of fades into insignificance:
Alan’s conservative countdown to AGI <https://lifearchitect.ai/agi/> And some think it will happen even sooner: Experts Predict AI Singularity Months Away! <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EzyNxcFUWgI> John K Clark See what's on my new list at Extropolis <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis> scd -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to everything-list+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/CAJPayv0o4FKY6QCL809WzKg_Tx8dxoFzrDCP31LE2avHfxbs8Q%40mail.gmail.com.
