On Tue, Oct 17, 2023 at 5:46 PM 'spudboy...@aol.com' via Everything List < everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:
*> John, I am discussing this with a couple of people on another board. If > we go for a 2024 AGI, what do you guess will be (high likelihood) of any > impact on us, the peasants? Will it pick great stock tips, overturn all > religion, make better art and poems that the LLM's???* > For the first time a computer was able to pass the Turing Test about 8 months ago so I would argue that we already have Artificial General Intelligence and what we're really talking about is Artificial Super Intelligence, which I would define as a computer that can perform ANY intellectual task better than ANY human. And it's impossible even in theory to figure out what something smarter than you and who gets even smarter every day plans to do; that's why they call it a Singularity, it's a horizon beyond which we cannot see or do better than random chance at making correct predictions. Once Artificial Super Intelligence is achieved the only thing holding it back would be manual dexterity, and although robotics hasn't improved quite as fast as AI has it's still moving pretty fast. *> For me, I ain't getting enthused, until low error-qc gets merged with > AI.* It's pretty obvious now that Quantum Computing would just be icing on the cake, Artificial Super Intelligence can be achieved without it, maybe it will come in handy for Mega Ultra Super Intelligence. *> And, a Dem sez, what? * > Neither political party is currently paying much attention to the gargantuan events that are happening right now under their nose, they're going on pretty much as usual, with the Democrats worrying about climate change, Putin's war in Ukraine, North Korea, and a Chinese take over of Taiwan, while the Republicans believe the most monumental issues of the day are gay marriage, alien immigration, abortion, Hunter Biden's laptop, Hillary Clinton's email server, excessive wokeness, low flush toilets, the "stolen" 2020 presidential election, windmills killing birds, and windmills killing .... ah ...whales. Eventually there will come a point when even politicians realize that the issues that they thought were so important, basically the same things their grandparents thought were important, were really trivial compared to recent developments in AI, and the Democrats will then come up with a coherent plan to confront it, it may not be an effective plan and in fact it almost certainly will not be but at least they'll try; however recent events have demonstrated once again that the Republicans are unable to lead the nation anywhere except in a circle. John K Clark See what's on my new list at Extropolis <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis> wkw > AGI by September 2024, maybe March > <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M5eQwl4YmGU&t=10s> > > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to everything-list+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/CAJPayv1OK%2BxsWwuOVheYP0SGzDkjJLtP0Kk16jEiaTUVhXgc1Q%40mail.gmail.com.
