A sidebar conversation regarding the "reality" of models 'The story that I have to tell is marked all the way through by a persistent tension between those who assert that the best decisions are based on quantification and numbers, determined by the patterns of the past, and those who base their decisions on more subjective degrees of belief about the uncertain future. This is a controversy that has never been resolved.' — FROM THE INTRODUCTION TO ''AGAINST THE GODS: THE REMARKABLE STORY OF RISK,'' BY PETER L. BERNSTEIN See http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/04/magazine/04risk-t.html?_r=1&ref=magazine
-tj -- ========================================== J. T. Johnson Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA www.analyticjournalism.com 505.577.6482(c) 505.473.9646(h) http://www.jtjohnson.com t...@jtjohnson.com "You never change things by fighting the existing reality. To change something, build a new model that makes the existing model obsolete." -- Buckminster Fuller ==========================================
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