Why assume they would be interested in our fate or that they'd compete for our 
resources?    They'd probably just head for another environment that was 
hostile to human life, but not to them.   If for some reason they needed to 
occupy our computers for a while, they'd surely be better at it than the 
botnets of human criminals and script-kiddies.

-----Original Message-----
From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of Robert J. Cordingley
Sent: Tuesday, January 31, 2017 9:24 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] AI advance

So once AI machines are allowed to start designing themselves with at least the 
goal for increasing performance, how long have we got? (It doesn't matter 
whether we (ie the US) allow that or some other resourceful, perhaps military, 
organization does it.) Didn't Hawking fear runaway AI as a bigger existential 
threat than runaway greenhouse effects?

Robert C


On 1/31/17 10:34 AM, Pamela McCorduck wrote:
> To consider the issue perhaps more seriously, AI100 was created two years ago 
> at Stanford University, funded by Eric Horowitz and his wife. Eric is an 
> early AI pioneer at Microsoft. It’s a hundred-year, rolling study of the many 
> impacts of AI, and it plans to issue reports every five years based on 
> contributions from leading AI researchers, social scientists, ethicists, and 
> philosophers (among representatives of fields outside AI).
>
> Its first report was issued late last year, and you can read it on the AI100 
> website.
>
> You may say that leading AI researchers and their friends have vested 
> interests, but then I point to a number of other organizations who have taken 
> on the topic of AI and its impact: nearly every major university has such a 
> program (Georgia Tech, MIT, UC Berkeley, Michigan, just for instance), and a 
> joint program on the future between Oxford and Cambridge has put a great deal 
> of effort into such studies.
>
> The amateur speculation is fun, but the professionals are paying attention. 
> FWIW, I consider the fictional representations of AI in movies, books, TV, to 
> be valuable scenario builders. It doesn’t matter if they’re farfetched (most 
> of them certainly are) but it does matter that they raise interesting issues 
> for nonspecialists to chew over.
>
> Pamela
>
>
>
>> On Jan 31, 2017, at 8:18 AM, Joe Spinden <j...@qri.us> wrote:
>>
>> In a book I read several years ago, whose title I cannot recall, the 
>> conclusion was: "They may have created us, but they keep gumming things up.  
>> They have outlived their usefulness.  Better to just get rid of them."
>>
>> -JS
>>
>>
>> On 1/31/17 7:41 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
>>> Steve writes:
>>>
>>> "Maybe... but somehow I'm not a lot more confident in the *product* of 
>>> humans who make bad decisions making *better* decisions?"
>>>
>>> Nowadays machine learning is much more unsupervised.    Self-taught, if you 
>>> will.   Such a consciousness might reasonably decide, "Oh they created us 
>>> because they needed us -- they just didn't realize how much."
>>>
>>> Marcus
>>>
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>> --
>> Joe
>>
>>
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>
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