Portrait of a weather watcher:

As Nick is trying to model Stability and Diffusion, I had Stable Diffusion
try to model Nick. :-)

[image: 20240414_184733.jpg]

Aya my previous post got html grabled as HTML.  Thanks Gary for pointing
that out off-list.




On Sat, Apr 13, 2024 at 12:18 PM Stephen Guerin <stephen.gue...@simtable.com>
wrote:

> Portrait of a Weather Watcher
>
>
> On Sat, Apr 13, 2024, 12:05 PM Stephen Guerin <stephen.gue...@simtable.com>
> wrote:
>
>>
>> Dan GuPTa had this response when asked to relate your .PDF to Bernard
>> cells and other prompting:
>>
>> Here’s a integration of potential vorticity (PV), atmospheric stability,
>> and their relationship to Bénard cells, emphasizing isentropic layering in
>> both meteorological and experimental fluid dynamics contexts.
>>
>> ### Connecting Bénard Cells and Atmospheric Dynamics
>>
>> In Bénard cells, fluid heated from below shows a critical transition from
>> conductive to convective heat transfer, forming cellular patterns.
>> Similarly, in the atmosphere, when the vertical temperature gradient
>> becomes unstable—akin to the Bénard cell transition—convection can
>> initiate, influenced by factors like the earth's rotation and potential
>> vorticity.
>>
>> ### Potential Vorticity and Stability
>>
>> - **PV on Isentropic Surfaces:** Potential vorticity combines fluid
>> rotation and atmospheric stratification. In meteorology, PV is mapped on
>> isentropic surfaces (constant potential temperature layers), where it
>> highlights regions prone to atmospheric instability and potential
>> convection, akin to early instability in Bénard cells.
>>
>> - **Dynamic Tropopause:** Acting like the fluid surface in a Bénard cell,
>> the dynamic tropopause is flexible, responding to distortions from jet
>> streams. These distortions can lead to convective activity by modifying
>> local stability and vorticity, driving weather patterns similarly to
>> temperature gradients in Bénard convection.
>>
>> ### PV Anomalies and Convective Cells
>>
>> - **Weather Forecasting:** Monitoring PV anomalies helps predict
>> convective weather events, similar to observing Bénard cells to anticipate
>> pattern formation. For example, sharp PV changes can indicate regions ripe
>> for convective storms if conditions like moisture and surface temperature
>> align.
>>
>> - **Role of Isentropic Layering:** Both in Bénard cells and weather
>> systems, the spacing between isentropic layers indicates stability. Closer
>> layers suggest a steep gradient and instability, potentially leading to
>> convective movements. In the atmosphere, this translates to dynamic
>> interactions where lower stability near the surface can trigger or enhance
>> convective processes.
>>
>> ### Conclusion
>>
>> Understanding the parallels between Bénard cell dynamics and atmospheric
>> conditions through potential vorticity and isentropic surfaces not only
>> illustrates universal fluid dynamics principles but also enhances
>> meteorological predictions of convective weather events, demonstrating how
>> small-scale changes in stability can lead to significant atmospheric
>> phenomena.
>>
>> On Thu, Apr 11, 2024, 2:04 PM Nicholas Thompson <thompnicks...@gmail.com>
>> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Hi, Phellow Phriammers,  Nick, here.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I have been lost in the weather.  This publication,
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> https://acrobat.adobe.com/id/urn:aaid:sc:us:d481610b-e5d5-4a03-879c-6db6ec1d5e4a
>>>
>>>
>>> with its glorious eye-candy, is an example of what seems to be a new
>>> perspective in meteorology, the DT-PV perspective.  PV refers to a
>>> parameter, potential vorticity, which seems to be a measure of how liable
>>> the atmosphere is to churn; DT refers to the DYNAMIC tropopause.  The
>>> tropopause is the transition zone between the stratosphere and our own
>>> layer, the troposphere, through which gas exchange is limited because the
>>> lapse rate of the troposphere  -- its decline in temperature with fall
>>> of pressure -- is reversed in the stratosphere.   In the Bad Old Days,
>>> we were taught that the tropopause was like a ceiling, tilted upward from
>>> the poles to the tropics.  Now we have begun to think of it as more
>>> like a tent fly, still tilted up equator-ward, but loose and floppy and
>>> buffeted up and down by the jetstreams’ winds. These floppings up and down
>>> have the power to destabilize the lower atmosphere and lead to bad weather,
>>> if conditions there are ripe.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> This is not one of my usual cries for help.  I have some good tutors.
>>> However, I would love to hear from others whom this paper interests.  In
>>> particular I am struggling with the notion of potential vorticity, whose
>>> formula seems to take many odd forms.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Best,
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Nick
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Nicholas S. Thompson
>>>
>>> Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Ethology
>>>
>>> Clark University,
>>>
>>> nthomp...@clarku.edu
>>>
>>>
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>>
>
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