Chris,

You are making my point.

Thanks.

Harry 


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-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of
Christoph Reuss
Sent: Monday, November 24, 2003 8:09 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: [Futurework] Math 101 for Georgists (was Re: Bush's
impossible problem of same-sex marriage)

Harry Pollard wrote:
> The 'half of all marriages ending in divorce' isn't so.
>
> I've forgotten the real figures but that doesn't matter. I'll
just 
> example some.
>
> Say their are 40 million marriages. Also, let's say that this
year 
> there are 100,000 marriages and 50,000 divorces. This leads to
the 
> idea that half the marriages end in divorce. But, of course,
it's 
> 50,000 divorces out of 40 million.

If, in a country of 8 million people, this year there are 125,000
births and 100,000 deaths, does that mean that 20% of humans are
immortal, or that most humans are immortal (because it's only
100,000 deaths out of 8 million) ?

Or perhaps does it mean that 0% of humans are immortal, because
adding up the annual number of deaths over 80 years (avg.
lifespan) gives 100% of the population ?


> And at the end of the year, the marriage total has increased by
50,000.

What about the marriages that were "divorced" by death ?
If 50,000 marriages were divorced by lawyers, and 50,000
marriages were "divorced" by death, then the marriage total (with
100,000 new marriages) has increased by _0_, and half the
marriages end in divorce [assuming the same number of new
marriages in the past].

Chris


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