"Backblaze's analysis of nearly 40,000 drives showed five SMART metrics
that correlate strongly with impending disk drive failure:

   - SMART 5 - Reallocated_Sector_Count.
   - SMART 187 - Reported_Uncorrectable_Errors.
   - SMART 188 - Command_Timeout.
   - SMART 197 - Current_Pending_Sector_Count.
   - SMART 198 - Offline_Uncorrectable"

http://www.computerworld.com/article/2846009/the-5-smart-stats-that-actually-predict-hard-drive-failure.html

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