CURRENT THREAT LEVELS 

• Electricity Sector Physical: Elevated (Yellow) 
• Electricity Sector Cyber: Elevated (Yellow) 
• Homeland Security Elevated (Yellow) 
• DOE Security Condition: 3, modified  
• NRC Security Level: III (Yellow) (3 of 5) 

*******************************************************

http://www.nipc.gov/publications/infobulletins/2002/ib02-010.htm 

National Infrastructure Protection Center

HOMELAND SECURITY INFORMATION UPDATE

RECENT RELEASE OF POSSIBLE USAMA BIN LADEN AUDIOTAPE MESSAGE FORESHADOWS
POTENTIAL Al-QA’IDA ATTACKS

Information Bulletin 02-010
November 14, 2002

NIPC Information Bulletins communicate issues that pertain to the
critical national infrastructure and are for informational purposes
only.   

On November 12, 2002, the al-Jazeera satellite television network
broadcast an audio taped message purported to be from Al-Qa’ida leader
Usama bin Laden.   In the message, the speaker praises the recent
attacks against Western interests worldwide:  firearms attacks against
U.S. Marines in Kuwait, the fatal shooting of an American diplomat in
Jordan, the bombing of a nightclub district in Bali, the attempted
sinking of the French oil tanker Limburg, and the taking of hostages by
Chechen guerrillas at a Moscow theater.  The speaker also threatens
further attacks against the United States and its allies should the
United States attack Iraq.  

The U.S. Government is currently analyzing the tape to determine its
authenticity.

Based on the release of the audiotape, intelligence reporting, a
resurgence of Al-Qa’ida operational activity, and what is known about
Al-Qa’ida’s modus operandi, the NIPC is notifying Information Bulletin
recipients of possible attacks in the United States.  

In selecting its next targets, sources suggest Al-Qa’ida may favor
spectacular attacks that meet several criteria:  high symbolic value,
mass casualties, severe damage to the US economy, and maximum
psychological trauma.  The highest priority targets remain within the
aviation, petroleum, and nuclear sectors as well as significant national
landmarks.

However, target vulnerability and likelihood of success may be as
important to a weakened Al-Qa’ida as the target’s prominence.  Sources
also suggest that small-scale terrorist operations against softer
targets would be easier for sleeper cells already in the US to carry out
and would minimize the need to communicate with central leadership,
lowering the risks of detection.  Thus, Al-Qa’ida’s next attack may rely
on conventional explosives and low-technology platforms such as truck
bombs, commercial or private aircraft, small watercraft, or explosives
easily concealed and planted by terrorist operatives.    

Due in part to the lack of specificity of method, location, and timing,
the Homeland Security Advisory System threat level will remain at Yellow
(Elevated) at this time.  
        
The NIPC encourages individuals to report information concerning
suspicious activity to their local FBI office,
http://www.fbi.gov/contact/fo/fo.htm, the NIPC, or to other appropriate
authorities.  Individuals can reach the NIPC WATCH AND WARNING UNIT at
(202) 323-3205, tol1 free at 1-888-585-9078, or by email to
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




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