This is almost too hilarious.  A Libertarian partisan on this Forum 
just screamed bloody murder about the horrible Bush administration 
which has "ballooned the federal budget deficit," and now this comes 
along.  

Read it and weap, buddy.  


Forecasters Predict Drop in Deficit By ANDREW TAYLOR, Associated 
Press Writer 
1 hour, 15 minutes ago
 


WASHINGTON - The federal budget-deficit picture turned brighter 
Monday as congressional scorekeepers released new estimates showing 
the level of red ink for the current fiscal year would drop to $331 
billion. 

ADVERTISEMENT
 
The new report by the nonpartisan     Congressional Budget Office, 
which does budget analysis for lawmakers in Washington, gave the 
latest proof that surging revenues and a steadily growing economy 
are combining to bring the deficit down from a record $412 billion 
posted last year. CBO predicts a $314 billion deficit for the budget 
year starting Oct. 1.

The report is welcome news for     President Bush, who has seen the 
budget situation during his tenure deteriorate markedly from 
predictions of unending surpluses when he took office in January 
2001.

"The CBO report confirms the dramatic improvement in the 2005 
deficit picture that the Administration reported last month," said 
Scott Milburn a spokesman for the White House budget office. "A 
strong economy fueled by tax relief is generating stronger-than-
projected revenues."

The White House foresees a $333 billion deficit for the year that's 
about to end and a $341 billion deficit for next year.

Last year's deficit was a record in dollar terms, though many 
previous deficits in the mid-1980s and early 1990s were larger when 
measured against the size of the economy. The White House and most 
economists say that the more relevant measure of the deficit is to 
weigh it against the size of the economy. Measured that way, the 
latest estimates for this year are slightly worse than recent 
historic averages.

But Democrats on Capitol Hill were quick to issue warnings about the 
long-term deficit picture, which will worsen considerably after the 
Baby Boom generation starts retiring in large numbers after the turn 
of the decade.

"While this years deficit will be lower than last year's record 
shortfall, the improvement is likely to be short-lived. Declarations 
of victory over budget deficits only distract from the disturbing 
long-term budget outlook," said Kent Conrad of North Dakota, top 
Democrat on the Senate Budget Committee.

Unlike White House estimates released last month, CBO assumes that 
Bush's tax cuts are allowed to lapse at the end of the decade. Most 
of the cuts in Bush's signature $1.35 trillion tax relief law 
enacted in 2001 expire by 2010, but many lawmakers and the White 
House assume that they will be renewed by then.

Even if the tax cuts were allowed to expire, the budget would still 
stay in the red through the full 10 years covered by CBO's report.

If the tax cuts are renewed, the deficit picture would worsen by 
$204 billion in 2011 — to perhaps $327 billion or so. By 2015, the 
cost of extending the 2001 and subsequent tax cuts would reach $432 
billion.

By CBO's scorekeeping rules, the agency must also assume that the 
costs of occupying     Iraq and     Afghanistan will stay at current 
levels, which probably inflates long-term projections. Congress in 
May passed an $82 billion measure to provide more war funding, and 
CBO must assume spending would continue at that rate.

The projection for the deficit at the end of the current budget year 
on Sept. 30 remains far worse than when Bush took office. At that 
time, both White House and congressional forecasters projected 
cumulative surpluses of $5.6 trillion over the subsequent decade.

Instead, deficits returned three years ago after four years of 
budget surpluses. The chief reason was that forecasters assumed that 
a surge in revenue in the late 1990s — fueled in large measure by 
the stock market boom — would continue.

The economy hit a recession, the market tumbled and a surge in 
homeland security spending after the Sept. 11, 2001 terror attacks 
combined to produce a return to deficits.

In early 2004, Bush said his goal was to cut the deficit in half in 
five years. Then, the White House forecast the deficit to be $521 
billion for the 2004 budget year, and the president said his goal 
was to see that halved, to about $260 billion by 2009.









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