Dear colleagues,


On behalf of my co-authors I am pleased to announce the publication of the 
following paper:



C Wilkinson, E Seyboth, J Olbers, E Vermeulen, R Kramer & K Findlay. 2023. 
Estimating population changes in humpback whales Megaptera novaeangliae 
migrating past Cape Vidal, South Africa. African Journal of Marine Science, 
DOI:10.2989/1814232X.2023.2193591

Abstract:
Shore-based surveys of humpback whales Megaptera novaeangliae were performed 
from Cape Vidal, on the eastcoast of South Africa (iSimangaliso Marine 
Protected Area, Indian Ocean), from two independent platforms between27 June 
and 7 August in 2018 and 2019, to estimate the relative abundance and growth 
rate of the C1 breeding substock of the species. Observed whale groups were 
tracked by analogue survey theodolites, and observednumbers were adjusted to 
account for daily sighting effort and the proportions of groups missed by 
observers.Daily sighting frequency was aggregated across the season to result 
in annual relative abundance estimates of
10 499 (2018) and 11 009 (2019) individuals, with peak frequencies from 28 July 
to 3 August in both years. Whencompared with previous estimates from the same 
study area, we estimated an average annual increase rate of 7.4% to 8.8% over 
31 years from 1988. These results indicate a slowing of the rate of increase 
from previous estimates,which could suggest that the population is approaching 
pre-exploitation numbers or that yet unidentified threats are negatively 
impacting the growth rate. Continued monitoring of the recovering humpback 
whale stocks is critical to identify any possible effects of Southern Ocean 
ecosystem changes on the stock health of these whales.


The paper can be accessed here<https://doi.org/10.2989/1814232X.2023.2193591> 
or upon request to christopher.wilkin...@up.ac.za .
[https://covers.tandf.co.uk/og/TAMS.png]<https://doi.org/10.2989/1814232X.2023.2193591>
Estimating population changes in humpback whales Megaptera 
novaeangliaemigrating past Cape Vidal, South 
Africa<https://doi.org/10.2989/1814232X.2023.2193591>
Shore-based surveys of humpback whales Megaptera novaeangliae were performed 
from Cape Vidal, on the east coast of South Africa (iSimangaliso Marine 
Protected Area, Indian Ocean), from two independ...
doi.org


This is a contribution of the Whales and Climate Research 
Program<https://whalesandclimate.org/>.

With kind regards,
Elisa.


--
Dr Elisa Seyboth

Postdoctoral Research Fellow
Mammal Research Institute Whale Unit
Department of Zoology and Entomology
University of Pretoria, South Africa

Collaborating Researcher
Universidade Federal do Rio Grande - FURG - Brazil

Tel.: +27 082 420 2047
www.researchgate.net/profile/Elisa_Seyboth<http://www.researchgate.net/profile/Elisa_Seyboth>
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