Sterling K. Webb wrote:

    Here is the problem with my attempting to deal
with the data (the isotopic anomalies). People seem
to consider me instead a supporter of various theories,
whacky or not, Firestone's or any other's, about
extinctions. I have no brief for these theories.
I am interested only in what exterior astronomical
events created these isotopic anomalies. They
require an explanation.

Hi Sterling,

Just for clarity: I for one have been well aware that you were not a supporter of wacky theories, but just interested in these new suggestions, with an open as well as critical mind. I also agree with you that there are a few things in Firestone's isotopic data that are interesting and merit consideration of what might be the cause.

More comments below:

    Marco mentions the vagaries of radiocarbon
dating and so forth. It's obvious nobody is
reading the reference I gave for Firestone's
earlier paper on them:
<http://www.centerfirstamericans.com/mt.html?a=36>

    It derives, among other things, from
trying to calibrate those vagaries.

I did read the reference (with much interest!), but the calibration attempts of Firestone (and others before him, e.g. Stuiver and Pearson) do not remove the vagaries and will never do. These vagaries are the result of the fact that for > 30,000 years ago, 14C levels due to decay of the isotope are just that low that they will be *never* reliable to measure. You can try to calibrate for wiggles in atmospheric C14 content over time such as has been done for younger periods, but that is not the true issue for ages in this range: the true issue is that the method istelf starts to fail. 14C is not suited to dates of several Ka. The problem is, that there are little alternative dating methods for age ranges in the range of a few Ka, other than thermoluminiscence (which require suitable sediments or heated crystaline rock). Basically, it is too old for 14C, too young for K/Ar or Ar/Ar, while fission track isn't realy suited for this time period too. There is a whole bunch of other isotopic methods, but these all have their issues. Hence this is why 14C dates are attempted, but they should always be taken with much caution. Sometimes, people forget that: "the laboratory says it is that old, so it is true". Dating problems and chronology is a specialty of me, part of my PhD dissertation revolved around that issue, although my focus is more on the earlier Palaeolithic.

I have dealt with geochronologist as part of my research. Some (not all), even pretty good ones, do not seem to get that field conditions of sample environment as well as geological conditions in the past are not laboratory conditions, and the true error on a date is not just determined by the standard deviation on a machine reading.


    Below a strata well-known to date geologically
to 10,000 BP (before present) are artifacts with
thermoluminescent dates of 12,400 BP but with
radiocarbon dates that are almost recent, 2880 BP.
There are a number of these sites, including
one where there is an area with an archaic
cultural items whose radiocarbon date is 160
years old!

...and this happens often in the reality of archaeological fieldwork. I would think of a contamination issue here first, as 14C is susceptible to this, or taphonomic issues of reworking and sedimentation environment, stratigraphic disconformities etc. E.g., could it be a lag deposit incorporating material from a large timespan? Could organic materials be reworked into the deposit by bioturbation? Could organic material be washed in by groundwater action, soil formation? This is exactly where laboratory guys often go blind on their dates and laboratory technical accuracy, while not properly taking into account the context and taphonomic history of the samples. You might be surprised, but that happens a lot, even in prestigeous papers published in top journals. The solution to this kind of dating problems does usualy not come from employing a "better" technique or increasing ist "accuracy", but from thorough taphonomic studies.

(another thing here is to consider whether the "archaic" material realy is "archaic", but that might be my bias as an archaeologist working with a.o. Lower palaeolithic materials. We have come to realise there, that typology not always works, especially with materials that appear to be "crude").

- Marco

-----
Dr Marco Langbroek  -  Pleistocene Archaeologist
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
website: http://home.wanadoo.nl/marco.langbroek
-----




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