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Alexander's Essay – June 23, 2011 


Opting Out of Enduring Freedom


Political Expediency vs. National Security


"[I]t is a common observation here that our cause is the cause of all mankind, 
and that we are fighting for their liberty in defending our own." --Benjamin 
Franklin

  <http://image.patriotpost.us/2011-06-23-alexander-1.jpg> 

On the horizon

In opposition to the advice of military and intelligence advisers -- but with 
the support of popular polls -- Barack Hussein Obama is moving ahead with his 
plan 
<http://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2011/06/22/president-obama-way-forward-afghanistan>
  to withdraw American forces from Afghanistan beginning this July. In other 
words, though the drawdown does not comport with the best interests of U.S. 
national security 
<http://patriotpost.us/alexander/2006/01/02/a-national-security-primer-part-1/> 
, it does conform to his 2012 political campaign agenda.

Obama rolled out his worn rhetoric about Iraq being the wrong war, which 
distracted our nation from the right war, Afghanistan, which would seem to 
contradict his drawdown plans. As you recall, President George W. Bush launched 
Operation Enduring Freedom against al-Qa'ida and their Taliban hosts in 
Afghanistan on 7 October 2001, in response to the 9/11 attack on our nation. 
Operation Iraqi Freedom 
<http://patriotpost.us/alexander/2007/01/12/if-not-iraq-then-where-when-and-at-what-cost/>
  was not launched until 20 March 2003, after Saddam Hussein refused, 
repeatedly, to comply with UN Resolution 1441, giving him "a final opportunity 
to comply with its disarmament obligations."

At the time, we had ongoing combat operations over Iraq enforcing the "no-fly 
zone," and arguably, "Desert Storm 2.0" was necessitated because we departed 
Iraq prematurely after the first Desert Storm in 1991.

Obama credited himself with having taken "decisive action" in late 2009 by 
ordering a troop surge of 30,000 to Afghanistan. History will note, however, 
that he dithered for several months before finally granting his military 
commanders a smaller surge force than the one they'd requested, and that he 
hamstrung our forces by announcing a date certain by which we'd begin to remove 
them.

Obama has committed to withdraw at least 33,000 of our 100,000 warfighters in 
the region by "next summer," just in time to mollify his anti-war base and 
re-energize them for the 2012 presidential election. That would be 30,000 more 
than his advisers requested, which might explain why he made no mention of 
General David Petraeus, Commander of the International Security Assistance 
Force and U.S. Forces Afghanistan.

In early May, besieged with the failure of his socialist economic policies 
<http://patriotpost.us/alexander/2011/03/10/democratic-socialism/> , BHO 
received a short-lived bounce in the polls after announcing that he (read "U.S. 
Special Forces 
<http://patriotpost.us/alexander/2011/05/05/bullet-points-obls-termination/> ") 
killed Osama bin Laden, thanks to intelligence "extracted" from Jihadi 
insurgents captured in Iraq when George Bush was president.

As Obama's domestic policies continue to fail miserably, and his popular 
approval sinks to new lows, he hopes to get another pop-poll bounce with the 
announcement of the Afghan drawdown. He jibed, "America, it is time to focus on 
nation-building here at home," but just hours before, Federal Reserve chairman 
Ben Bernanke downgraded the outlook for the U.S. economic recovery, the direct 
result of Obama's "nation building here at home."

All political shenanigans aside, the question we should ask is what action in 
Afghanistan is in the best long-term interest of our national security? Is our 
nation-building strategy in Iraq and Afghanistan the right strategy, or will 
targeted hunt and kill operations suffice.

For the record, the primary national security objective of both Operation Iraqi 
Freedom and Operation Enduring Freedom were not, first and foremost, to 
eradicate dictators and establish democracy and free enterprise through 
extensive and expensive nation-building efforts. Our objective was to contain 
the nuclear threat 
<http://patriotpost.us/alexander/2006/03/31/the-unthinkable-perhaps-the-inevitable/>
  posed by asymmetric elements in the region.

In plain words, our objective was (and should remain) to prevent the detonation 
by Jihadi terrorists of a nuclear device in one or more U.S. urban centers. If 
you think the cost of keeping the battle on their turf for the last 10 years 
has been expensive, try calculating the cost of recovery after a fissile weapon 
detonation in Boston or Baltimore, and the resulting economic consequence. 
Notably, the economic collapse of 2008 
<http://patriotpost.us/alexander/2008/09/26/economics-101-crisis-of-confidence/>
  can be linked directly to the economic consequences of the 9/11 attack, but 
those consequences were minor in comparison to the cost of a nuclear attack.

The nuclear deterrence objective depends on a coherent Long War 
<http://patriotpost.us/alexander/2005/07/29/us-national-security-the-long-war-or-the-short-surrender/>
  strategy to combat Islamist adversaries in the region, and around the world, 
but Obama has now made clear his intent to short-circuit that objective for his 
political expedience.

Obama errantly believes that concessions will inspire our Jihadi foes in 
al-Qa'ida's broad and amorphous terrorist network to go home in peace 
<http://patriotpost.us/alexander/2009/06/04/obamas-peace-for-our-time/> . 
However, since he took office, casualties in Afghanistan have increased 
five-fold. If history repeats itself -- and it will -- Obama's foreign policy 
today will cost us dearly at some future date. Retreat from Afghanistan without 
a clear military victory will be seen by jihadists as a victory for al-Qa'ida 
and Islamo-Facists around the world. (Tellingly, he never once used the words 
"win" or "victory" last night when he announced his rationale for withdrawing 
our forces.)

Obama was a national security neophyte 
<http://patriotpost.us/alexander/2008/07/11/obama-national-security-neophyte/>  
when he entered office, and he hasn't learned much since then. Rather than 
exhibit leadership, a personality characteristic that remains enigmatic to him, 
Obama is content to follow the polls.

Unquestionably, most Americans want to "bring the troops home." Of course we 
do. The 10-year campaign to contain Islamists in Afghanistan has cost our 
nation the lives of 1,522 of its Patriot warriors -- about half the number of 
Americans killed on 9/11 -- and more than 10,000 injured. But the consequences 
of a rapid drawdown will cost us far more lives in the future.

This is clear to military leaders stateside, and military commanders in 
Afghanistan.

Of Obama's foreign policy, departing SecDef Robert Gates said of his decision 
to resign, "I've spent my entire adult life with the United States as a 
superpower, and one that had no compunction about spending what it took to 
sustain that position. ... I can't imagine being part of a nation, part of a 
government ... that's being forced to dramatically scale back our engagement 
with the rest of the world." (Gates's successor, Leon Panetta, will be charged 
with dramatic military cuts as Obama continues to massively expand the size and 
role of the central government, creating a "debt bomb 
<http://patriotpost.us/alexander/2011/04/07/the-most-perilous-national-security-crisis-since-1860>
 ," perhaps more perilous to our national security than the Jihadi threat.)

  <http://image.patriotpost.us/2011-06-23-alexander-2.jpg> 

Real Leadership: Gen. David Petraeus

According to my sources, Gen. Petraeus has warned Obama that his proposed 
drawdown is too much, too soon, and that the current level of U.S. military 
personnel is needed for at least another year to turn the tide. U.S. Marine 
Corps Maj. Gen. John Toolan, Regional Command Southwest, has expressed similar 
concerns, as has Lt. Gen. William Caldwell, commander of NATO Training 
Mission-Afghanistan.

However, it is the Army and Marine commanders on the frontlines in Afghanistan 
whose opinion we give greatest weight, because their perspective is unfettered 
by political agendas.

Having contacted five commanders at the O-5 to O-6 ranks on the ground in 
Afghanistan, I can present the following composite of the perspectives they 
shared with me: If we leave on Obama's political timeframe, not only will 
Afghanistan return to the breeding ground for terrorists as it was prior to 
2003, but Islamists are likely to overtake Pakistan, a nuclear power on the 
precipice of chaos. In addition to redoubling their campaign against Israel and 
Western targets, they may also set their sights on India, another nuclear 
power, and the scene fades to dark after that. The rhetoric about timelines and 
drawdowns is counterproductive, because what our allied Afghans and Pakistanis 
hear is that America is abandoning them. That belief only serves to embolden 
the Taliban, al-Qa'ida and other Islamo-Fascists in the region, including those 
in Iran. Region-wide, Obama's policies portray us as uncommitted and 
untrustworthy, which further demoralizes the moderates we seek to empower. In 
short, this is a war against a formidable adversary that we must continue to 
prosecute if our ultimate objective -- keeping the battlefront on their turf 
rather than ours -- is to be maintained.

In summation, one Marine officer put it this way: "When I hear Obama say 'the 
American people want me to end this war and I am responding with an exit plan,' 
that's the antithesis of leadership. President Bush, against the popular will, 
surged forces here, and that was the right policy and required leadership."

The death of OBL gave BHO a temporary boost in the polls. Using that as a 
catalyst to draw down our forces in Afghanistan he might enjoy another 
temporary boost. But the bottom line that gets lost in this debate is the 
potential that Islamist terrorists will one day detonate a nuke on U.S. soil.

Graham Allison, Director of Harvard's Center for Science and International 
Affairs, and a leading analyst of U.S. national security and defense policy 
pertaining to nuclear weapons and terrorism, grimly notes in regard to a 
nuclear attack on the U.S., "I think that we should be very thankful that it 
hasn't happened already. ... We're living on borrowed time."

Unfortunately, while we currently control the clock, we're about to pass it 
back to the bad guys through Barack Obama's malfeasance.

Semper Vigilo, Fortis, Paratus et Fidelis!
  <http://image.patriotpost.us.s3.amazonaws.com/ma-sig.jpg> 
Mark Alexander
Publisher, The Patriot Post <http://patriotpost.us/subscribe/> 

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