Barkley Rosser (once of pen-l, soon to return) forwards these comments on 
Jared Diamond's _Guns, Germs & Steel_

>        Remarks on Diamond in light of Devine and DeLong reviews:


>        I think the claim that _Germs, Guns, and Steel_ by Jared Diamond 
> is the greatest work of genius in econ history, or whatever field, of the 
> 1990s is somewhat overdone.  Many of its ideas have been around for some 
> time.  I would note in particular the book _Plagues and People_ by 
> William O'Neill, 1976, New York: Medallion Press, and the somewhat 
> earlier (sorry, don't have exact pub info, but I first encountered the 
> book in 1966) _Rats, Lice, and History_ by Hans Zinsser, the original 
> classic of this genre, although the latter lacks the grand historical 
> sweep of Diamond.  But O'Neill definitely has such sweep and makes many 
> of the points Diamond makes, and others besides, especially about the 
> bubonic plague, originally contracted from wild rats (not domesticated 
> animals) although spread through cities that depended upon reasonably 
> developed ag to exist.

>       What is impressive, correct, possibly even original in Diamond?

>       Mostly the emphasis on the size of Eurasia and the ease of 
> communication throughout it.  I think the emphasis on the transmission of 
> disease is way overdone, as I shall discuss below, but the  focus on how 
> this led to the diffusion of technology along the silk route and the sea 
> routes, and the economies of scale, etc., kinds of arguments, leading to 
> the guns and steel part of the story, makes a lot of sense.

>         The focus on New Guinea is also original and rather interesting, 
> although this leads to some odd and questionable arguments in the book.

>          In contrast to earlier remarks I made to both Jim and Brad, 
> O'Neill partly agrees with the crop/domesticated big mammal and
>disease argument that Diamond emphasizes.  A key here is to think of the 
>"big three killers," smallpox, flu, and measles, especially in terms of 
>the impact of those diseases when Europeans  conquered Austronesia and the 
>Americas, where the resulting epidemics were crucial, as many observers, 
>including [Jim] Blaut, have long noted.

>       Smallpox basically came from cows, flu from pigs, and measles from 
> dogs, although the domestication of dogs occurred prior to crop 
> production and was tied to hunting and herding, but did happen in Eurasia.

>       But, there is a big problem with Diamond's argument and it is 
> Africa.  O'Neill and others make it clear that Africa, the likely
>origin of humanity, has more diseases than anywhere else in the world and 
>many of these came from contact with hunting animals
>in an non-crop environment.  Also, virtually all of the Eurasian origin 
>diseases, such as the "big three" had diffused to Africa at a sufficiently 
>early time so that people there had as much immunity to them as the Eurasians.

>       A sign of this role of Africa is the origin of AIDS, despite the 
> ongoing controversies regarding this matter.  The most widely
>accepted theory is contact with chimpanzees in Africa in a hunting 
>context.   I dismiss the "Jewish doctors' plot" and "CIA plot" theories of 
>the origins of AIDS.  The most serious charge about European involvement 
>in its initial spread is the recent theory that it got widely spread in 
>Africa as a result of a polio immunization drive that was 
>mismanaged.  That theory is deeply contested by some involved in that it, 
>but it is a serious theory.  In any case, that theory nevertheless accepts 
>that the ultimate origin was from contact with chimpanzees in a hunting 
>context in Africa, with the spread being due to the botched polio 
>immunization drive in the late 50s that somehow involved tainted 
>chimpanzee blood, allegedly.

>       In any case, I am not nearly as impressed with Diamond's book as 
> some are, although it is quite interesting and provocative.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] &  http://liberalarts.lmu.edu/~jdevine

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