Does anybody niotice the rapid decline in the Journal of Economic
Perspectives?  A right winger will take over the Journal of Economc
Literature.  Anyway, Shleifer may have some problems.

David Warsh. Economic Principles.
<http://www.economicprincipals.com/issues/04.07.04.html>



Judge Finds Against Shleifer, Hay and Harvard

The US government's long-running wrangle with economist Andrei Shleifer
and Harvard University over Harvard's ill-fated Russia Project in the
1990s was resolved last week, in the government's favor.

A Federal judge ruled that, by quietly investing on their own accounts
while advising the Russian government, Harvard professor Shleifer and
his Moscow-based assistant Jonathan Hay had conspired to defraud the US
Agency for International Development (USAID), which had been paying
their salary.

Hay was faulted for violating three counts of the False Claims Act,
Shleifer for one, with two other counts against him pending a possible
jury trial on what it means to have been "assigned" to Russia under the
contract's terms. (Shleifer asserts that the conflict-of-interest rules
didn't apply to him since, though directing the project, he had
continued to reside outside of Russia, in Newton, Mass.)

The decision by US District Court Judge Douglas P. Woodlock, based on
motions by all sides for that he decide the case as a matter of law on
the facts presented, left both Shleifer and Hay liable for treble
damages -- as much as $120 million apiece, in the worst case.

At the same time, Judge Woodlock cleared Harvard University of the
government's most serious accusation, namely that its administrators
knew or should have known that their team leaders were investing
personally in concert with their wives.

He ruled out treble damages under the False Claims Act, thereby
confirming Harvard's view of itself as the victim of a couple of rogue
employees.

Harvard couldn't be faulted for failing to investigate "rumor-like
allegations" that trickled back to Cambridge, the judge wrote, for the
"red flags" identified by the government never quite reached the level
of a piercing whistle; they had more to do with gossip about the
provision of various goods and services to Russian officials and their
families.

The fact that the Project flew the chairman of the Russian SEC and his
wife to Idaho for a part-work, part-vacation trip, and that Shleifer
paid for training the chairman's wife at his own personal expense "may
be ethically dubious," he observed, but they don't demonstrate a clear
conflict of interest. Nor could the university be blamed for inadequate
supervision.

"A more careful employer might have, for instance, distributed a short
memorandum explaining the conflicts provision, and perhaps even required
Project staff (whether 'employees' or 'consultants') to fill out a
disclosure form," wrote the judge.

"If the applicable legal standard in this case were negligent
supervision," he continued, "the government would have a better case
against Harvard." Instead, he noted, the fraud law required proof of
actual knowledge or reckless disregard.

Paul Ware, the university's outside counsel, said last week, "Harvard is
very encouraged that the court has unequivocally ruled that the
university neither engaged in nor knew of any fraudulent conduct. Even
the breach of contract claim, according to the court, is not established
as a result of any institutional wrongdoing by the university."

In finding that Harvard had breached its contract to deliver the
impartial advice it promised, Judge Woodlock's decision left Harvard
liable for damages. Previously Harvard has defended the outcome of its
project as, on balance, a great success. The university can be expected
to argue that there should be a considerable offset to whatever damages
are assessed in recognition of the benefits gained by Russia.

It was in 1992, after Congress passed the Freedom for Russia and the
Emerging Eurasian Democracies and Open Market Support Act, that USAID
hired Harvard to provide consultants to the Russian government to help
design institutions favorable to democratic government and a market economy.

Shleifer in due course became the project director, Hay his deputy.

Allegations of conflict of interest boiled over among US aid workers in
Moscow in 1997, and USAID began an internal investigation. The agency
suspended the project in May. An angry Russian government, staffed by
friends of Shleifer and Hay, shelved the relationship the same day.
Harvard then fired Hay and relieved Shleifer, a tenured professor, of
his project duties. USAID then cancelled the contract.

And in September, 2000, the US Attorney in Boston filed an 11-count
civil claim against Harvard University, Shleifer, Hay, Nancy Zimmerman
(Shleifer's wife and a partner in a hedge fund with investments in
Russia) and Elizabeth Hebert (Hay's then-girlfriend, now his wife).

US Attorney Donald Stern said at the time that his office had
contemplated criminal charges but filed none.

Judge Woodlock quickly dismissed the charges against Zimmerman and
Hebert, on grounds that neither worked for Harvard or the government and
were not parties to the contract.

As previously reported, Harvard at one point offered to settle its part
of the case for as much as $24 million, or two-thirds the value of its
contract, in the course of an unsuccessful mediation by Judge David
Mazzone, according to attorneys familiar with the case. Now that the
government's claim to treble damages has failed, the offer, whatever it
was, will have long-since disappeared from the table.

Shleifer, who left Russia with his parents when he was 15, only to
return as a senior adviser to its government (and a distinguished
economist) at the age of 30, remains a Harvard professor.

Until last year, he was a principal of LSV Asset Management, a money
management firm for institutional investors that, with fellow economist
Robert Vishny and Josef Lakonishok, he co-founded in 1991.

His attorney, Earl Nemser, told Marcella Bombardieri of The Boston
Globe, "We're pleased now that most of the claims in the case, and
against Andrei Shleifer, have been dismissed. We expect the remaining
claims will be disposed of favorably to him."

Jonathan Hay, who became a student of Shleifer's while at Harvard Law
School, joined the London office of the Cleary Gottlieb law firm as an
associate in 2002.

An initial hearing on the damages phase of the trial may be held as
early as July 19. Extensive arguments about the ultimate success or
failure of Harvard's Russia Project eventually can be expected from all
sides.

Judge Woodlock's finding, reported in a clearly-written 100-page
memorandum and order, came nearly 18 months after both sides asked him
to decide the legal issues as a matter of summary judgment.

It was, perhaps, an unusually long deliberation, even for a judge with a
reputation for taking his time. On the other hand, his findings were
delivered a little in the manner of an O. Henry story, with a sudden
twist at the end.

The nub of the case turned out to be the Pallada Asset Management
Company. Though evidence was adduced to show that Shleifer had been
inviting his former student-turned deputy to invest with him in Russian
oil stocks as early as the summer of 1994 -- and though he and Hay made
several other kinds of personal investments in the next couple of years
-- it was a scheme to win a license from the Russian SEC for Hay's then
girlfriend, Elizabeth Hebert, as the first authorized vendor of Russian
mutual funds, that led to Woodlock's decision to find both men guilty of
the False Claims conspiracy charge.

The meaning of "assigned to Russia" might be so ambiguous that a jury
would be required to decide two counts of the complaint that Shleifer
committed fraud by investing in Russia while regularly visiting Moscow
from Newton, Mass., Judge Woodlock wrote.

But on the third count, wrote the judge, there could be no such doubt.
The available evidence clearly showed that a working understanding
existed among Shleifer and Hay to inappropriately finance and assist in
the launch of Pallada, in hopes of turning it into a Russian version of
market-dominating Fidelity Investments.

Hay's father lent Hebert $200,000 to buy a related business. Shleifer
loaned her a similar amount a few months later to advance her plans. The
smoking gun here was something called "the Steyer memo," a business plan
written by Hebert, reviewed by Hay (and perhaps designed to be signed by
him), and addressed to Thomas Steyer, a business associate of Shleifer's
wife, in hopes of attracting a further round of investment from him and
others.

"We are likely to get a license before anyone else which will give us a
significant first mover advantage... Given this project's relationship
with the Commission, any other attempts by definition will be in a
catchup mode... In the short to medium term, our advantage comes from
the fact the regulator wants us to be first..."

Shleifer was advisor to the Securities Commission. Hay was drafting the
securities law. At one point, Shleifer consulted a Harvard lawyer to ask
if his wife could invest in Pallada. It just wouldn't look right,
replied attorney Michael Butler.

"Tellingly" wrote the judge, "Shleifer did not ask Butler whether he
could invest in Russia." And so it was, by making the loans and thereby
financing the Pallada scheme, that the two men caused the submission of
a false claim.

Coming on page 92 of a 100-page opinion, the finding was a something of
a surprise. It turned out that the meaning of "assigned to Russia"
probably doesn't matter in Shleifer's case. One count of fraud is as
defeating as three. The decision seemed to render moot any need to
resort to a jury trial, and freed the court to move on to the question
of who owes what and to whom.

--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901

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