according to texas a&m political scientist harvey tucker, there is strong positive relationship between voter turnout and democratic party vote for governor, since 1970 when republicans began running competitive elections for governor, dems have won all but one election when turnout was at least 30% and reps have won all but one elections when turnout was less than 30%...
rep gubernatorial candidates when big when turnout is small, bush was elected in '94 with 53.5% of vote and he was re-elected in '98 with 68% of vote, however, in each election he was only supported by 18% of age-eligible voters in state, his large majority in latter instance was result of keeping turnout low rather... accordingly, greater number of votes texas rep gubernatorial candidate receives, greater the probability dem candidate will win... michael hoover -------------------------------------------------------------- Please Note: Due to Florida's very broad public records law, most written communications to or from College employees regarding College business are public records, available to the public and media upon request. Therefore, this e-mail communication may be subject to public disclosure.
