>On Feb 20, 2008, at 12:18 PM, Sandwichman wrote: >> It should also be needless to say we will NEVER "run out of oil". The whole >> peak business has to do with the technical capacity to extract *ever >> increasing quantities* of the product economically. Predictions of peak oil >> may be based on pessimistic assessments of the prospects of technical >> breakthroughs. However, the argument against peak oil *assumes* that >> technical breakthroughs will occur when needed, simply because they are >> needed. While the pessimistic predictions may be merely wrong, the pollyanna >> scenario is fantastic.> > >This is excellently stated and in my opinion applies to all "progress" >arguments.>--ravi
I don't disagree. I don't have a pollyanna scenario. I distrust predictions of this nature is all. Like the economist Yogi Berra said, prediction is hard, especially about the future.
