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Expect millions of Iraqi refugees shortly

The Shiites have a master plan. The Sunnis are in disarray.

Dr. Mordechai Kedar,  31/08/17 17:41

*More from the author ►
<http://www.israelnationalnews.com/Articles/Author.aspx/614>*

In an *article last week o*
<http://www.israelnationalnews.com/Articles/Article.aspx/20937>n *Arutz
Sheva*, I wrote that Syrian President Basher Assad is regaining power with
the help of an Iranian Shiite coalition made up of Iranian fighters joined
by Hezbollah, Iraqi and Afghan militias. In the near future,  I predicted,
it is possible that this coalition will try to rid the country of the
millions of Sunnis who make up the majority of Syrian citizens, in order to
prevent additional rebellions of the type Syria experienced from 1976 to
1982 and has been suffering from for the last six and a half years.

As a result of  last week's article, I was contacted by Sheikh Walid el
Azawi, an Iraqi Sunni living in exile in Europe, who heads a party called
"The Patriotic 20 Rebellion."  He wanted to tell me the shocking story of
the situation in Iraq, where he claims that for years now, Iran is the real
ruler and its Ayatollahs dictate Iraqi government policy and actions.

Iranian hegemony blends in well in Iraq, most of whose citizens are Shiite,
and now that the Islamic State established by ISIS in Iraq has
disintegrated, the Sunnis there have no armed organization to protect them
from both Iranian and Iraqi Shiite rage

The Shiite's desire to rid the country of its Sunni minority is motivated
by a desire for revenge, because up to the year 2003, Saddam Hussein ruled
Iraq, and treated the Shiites with terrible cruelty all the years he was in
power. After his defeat in the First Gulf War in February 1991, he used
artillery to butcher tens of thousands of Shiites who attempted to find
safety at the gravesite of Hussein ibn Ali in the city of Najef.

There is an even older feud between the Iranians and the Iraqii Sunnis,
dating from the 1980-1981 war forced upon them by Saddam Hussein . This war
took the lives of over a million people, both citizens and soldiers, on
both sides. It is important to recall that both sides used chemical weapons
against each other during that accursed war which ended in Iran's defeat
when the chemical warfare waged against Tehran killed thousands of
civilians.

The Iraqi and Iranian Shiite desire for revenge on Saddam Hussein is now
directed against his entire religious sector, the Sunnis, who stand
unprotected and unarmed against a rising, strengthening Shiite world. The
collective power of Sunni forces – made up of organizations such as ISIS,
al Qaeda, the Syrian rebels and countries such as Saudi Arabia, Jordan, the
Emirates and Egypt – is weakening rapidly over the last few months in the
face of the growing strength of the Shiite coalition made up of Iran,
Hezbollah, and the Iraqi and Afghan militias.

Sheikh Walid el Azawi claims that as a result of this enormous shift in the
balance of power, the Shiites will do everything they can to expel the
Sunnis from Iraq to any country willing – or unwilling – to accept them. If
this scenario does come to pass, about ten million Iraqi refugees will soon
be joining the waves of the 15 to 20 million already existing refugees
 This wave of refugees can turn Europe, North and South America, Asia and
Africa into economic disaster areas, leading to social unrest and political
maelstroms. Do not forget to thank Iran and all those who strengthened that
country during the past few years.

What is the solution?

During my conversation with the Sheikh, I asked him what solution he and
his party have to offer to save the Iraqi Sunnis and convince them to
remain in their homeland.  His answer came as a total surprise: "The
Emirate Solution."  He is convinced that this is the only real solution
that can save the Sunnis in Iraq from ethnic cleansing.

The country must be divided into  regional states, on the lines of the USA,
or cantons as in the Swiss model, each with internal autonomy. Iraq would
become a federation with a limited central government while the Emirates
would run the lives of whatever group resides in their territory. Each
Emirate would lead its own life and refrain from interference in the
policies of the other Emirates. Each Emirate would be ruled by a local
Sheikh who originally stood at the head of the families within the
Emirate's borders, following the population's social traditions. This,
claims the Sheikh, will create harmony, stability and peaceful relations
with neighboring Emirates for the good of all the citizenry.

The "Emirate Solution" will also grant self-rule to the Kurds of Northern
Iraq, making the establishment of an independent Kurdish state unnecessary
and preventing the certain violent antagonism of the Iranians, Turks and
Arabs to its existence and  ensuing hostilities

For illustration's sake, let us recall that the northern Iraq Kurdish
region is surrounded by countries that do not share the Kurdish dreams of
independence, and has no corridor to the sea. If the neighboring countries
allied against the Kurdish state, should one be established, preventing
goods and people from reaching it, the Kurds would have no way of leading
normal lives.  How would they export oil and other products in that case?
How would they manage to import necessities?

If  the Kurds finally achieve  independence in the framework of the Emirate
Solution for Iraq, ending the struggle that has been going on for years,
where is the problem? Clearly it lies with Iran, which will not agree to
the plan now that it has taken over Iraq – unless it is forced to do so.
And the only power in the entire world capable of forcing iran to agree to
anything is the USA.

Sheikh el Azawi is prepared to go to the US at a moment's notice in order
to meet with decision-makers there and  explain the logic behind his peace
plan for Iraq  and the benefits it s implementation would bring the world
and the Iraqis themselves. The Americans, however, are busy dealing with
four other issues: North Korea, the relations between the right and left
inside America, who is going to resign or be fired on Trump's staff and
natural disasters like Harvey and the flooding in  Houston this week. Who
could possibly have the time and patience there to do anything about Iraq,
the country the US Army left seven years ago with no desire to ever return?

T*he Emirates Solution in other Middle Eastern states*

Afghanistan is another country that gives the US a blinding headache,
mainly in the media, and to its security forces,  intelligence and army,
because  the 17 years of American involvement there, the spilled American
blood and enormous amounts of money put into the country, have not yielded
appreciable results - for one main reason:

The Americans have been using all their power to preserve the artificial
Afghan entity established by the British and Russians in the 19th century,
despite the fact that it is filled with ethnic strife which prevents the
creation of a homogeneous, united nation.. The only result so far is blood,
fire and tears.

If the Americans and their allies would only take apart the illegitimate
entity called Afghanistan and turn it into autonomous or independent states
based on whatever local families rule in each one, so that it is governed
by rulers with legitimacy,  the heads of families and tribes, possibly
Afhanistan could be a land of peace and tranquility reigning among its
religious, family and ethnic groups,each living its own life and leaving
all the others to do so in peace.

Interestingly, that same Emirate Solution could most definitely be applied
to the seven cities  of Judea and Samaria in addition to the Gazan Emirate
established a decade ago. I am not a fan of Hamas, but Gaza is a state from
every practical point of view, and Israel must find a way to deter
effectively and clearly the Jihadist gang that has taken it over.
Establishing Emirates in Judea and Samaria will grant the people there
stability, prosperity and quiet. It will give Israel peace.

That same solution will solve Jordan's problem as well. It can be divided
into a Palestinian Emirate, perhaps more than one,  and a Bedouin Emirate.
The king will be a symbolic figure as is the Queen of England.  Sudan has
already split into two states, but both parts should be divided into
smaller,  more homogenous Emirates in order to bring more stability to this
war torn and blood soaked country.

Yemen, a totally tribal society, would benefit from the Emirate Solution,
becoming more governable and stable, certainly in comparison to the failed
central government it has at present, which has brought many thousands to
the point of hunger, disease, suffering and death.

Sheikh el Awazi's dream, which I share with him, could become the basic
principle employed by the world to solve the Middle East problem. Had it
been employed in Syrai five years ago, many of its half million dead
citizens would be alive today.






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