http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/FK11Ae04.html

House deadlock leaves Indonesia hanging
By Bill Guerin

JAKARTA - Swept to power on a landslide people's mandate in elections that 
were widely praised the world over, former general Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, 
frequently called "a man of the people" and now Indonesia's sixth president, 
has been hamstrung in his efforts to come through on his campaign promises 
and drive reforms.

The new parliament has forced an early confrontation with Yudhoyono, whose 
advisers expected trouble, though not quite so early. Legislators from the 
opposition, which now holds most of the seats in the 547-member House of 
Representatives (DPR), the national parliament, have elected their own 
leaders to head parliament's 11 influential commissions and five auxiliary 
bodies, leaving Yudhoyono's supporters out in the cold.

Despite his mandate, Yudhoyono's promises to combat corruption, terrorism 
and unemployment will be difficult to kick-start unless he has the 
opposition's support.

The major party factions in the DPR include the Golkar Party with 128 seats, 
Megawati Sukarnopuri's Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) with 109 seats, 
the United Development Party (PPP) with 58 seats, the Democratic Party (PD) 
with 55 seats, the National Awakening Party (PKB) and the National Mandate 
Party (PAN) both with 52 seats, the Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) with 45 
seats, the reform Star Party (PBR) with 13 seats and the Prosperous Peace 
Party (PDS) with 12 seats and some smaller political parties grouped under 
the Democratic Pioneer Star (BPD).

Shortly after the election of House leaders last month, all factions 
initially agreed to select the leaders of the commissions based on the 
proportion of the parties' seats in parliament, the traditional way the 
House has resolved the issue in the past.

Golkar, with the most seats in the House, was to get four commission 
chairmanships. The second-biggest faction, PDI-P, would get three 
chairmanships, while the PPP, the PD, PAN, and PKB would get one. But PKB 
rejected the deal, arguing that it should be entitled to the leadership of 
two commissions.

The four-party Nationhood Coalition, which groups Golkar, PDI-P, PDS and 
PBR, then insisted that the posts be put to the vote. The much smaller, 
pro-government People's Coalition, which includes the PD, PAN, PKS, PPP ands 
BPD factions, insisted that these key posts be awarded in proportion to the 
number of seats held by each party.

The Nationhood Coalition opted to resolve the matter by voting for the 
leadership of the commissions at a two-day series of plenary meetings, but 
the People's Coalition boycotted all meetings and hearings. The Nationhood 
Coalition and the PKB went ahead with meetings anyway, as they had secured a 
majority (together they hold 309 of the House seats).

The Nationhood Coalition and the PKB retaliated against the boycott by 
unilaterally taking all the leading posts of chairmen and vice chairmen, 
leaving none for Yudhoyono's supporters. They also revised the House's 
standing orders and scrapped a stipulation that a House meeting needed more 
than half the factions present to be legitimate.

Army chief appointment
In another move that has deepened the rift between parliament and the new 
president, the defense commission has endorsed outgoing president Megawati 
Sukarnoputri's last-minute nomination of army chief General Ryamizard 
Ryacudu as the new chief of the Indonesian Military (TNI).

Yudhoyono, apparently determined to prevent Ryacudu from taking the 
position, has rejected the move, saying he will conduct a major reshuffle of 
the leadership of the armed forces once he has consolidated his 
administration.

Under the law, the president has the right to appoint and dismiss the TNI 
commander provided he has the approval of the House. Just days before 
Yudhoyono assumed office on October 20, Megawati announced that incumbent 
commander General Endriartono Sutarto had resigned, and proposed that 
parliament replace him with Ryacudu.

Yudhoyono's official spokesmen have said that the president wants to retain 
Sutarto until he consolidates his administration and launches a thorough 
overhaul of the armed forces' leadership. He withdrew Megawati's letter of 
request, which parliament had yet to approve, but chairman of House 
Commission I on defense affairs, Theo L Sambuaga, last week told the press, 
"We have endorsed the nomination of Ryamizard [as TNI chief]. We hope the 
president will install him soon."

Last Friday a total of 56 legislators from the Nationhood Coalition, plus 
the PKB, handed in a petition to Speaker of the House Agung Laksono, 
requesting that the House exercise its right to question the president over 
the appointment of a new TNI chief. Then on Tuesday Laksono insisted that 
parliament would go ahead with its plan to summon Yudhoyono, saying the move 
had been approved by House leaders.

In its role of scrutinizing the executive, the House has the right to launch 
an inquiry, make a statement, draft bills, and summon the president in order 
to seek explanations. Theoretically, if legislators are not happy with his 
response, they could initiate proceedings to have him dismissed.

In 1999, the country's third president, B J Habibie, was summoned to give an 
explanation before a House plenary session over the result of the United 
Nations-sponsored ballot in which East Timor voted for independence from 
Indonesia.

An end to the impasse
There were signs over the weekend that the impasse might just be resolved. 
The People's Coalition agreed on Monday to attend House of Representatives 
meetings beginning the next day.

However, the planned plenary session ended in chaos on Tuesday after 
repeated interruptions by legislators from PAN, PD, and PPP as Speaker 
Laksono was reading out the agenda for the day's discussions. Some of the 
legislators advanced to Laksono's lofty perch above the floor, angry about 
the "interpellation" motion being proposed against the president.

Laksono, nominated for the position by his boss, Golkar chairman Akbar 
Tanjung, has, up until now, shown little interest in compromise and the 
trial of strength over the military issue suggests that even more battles 
are in the offing as Indonesia's first directly elected president tries to 
move on with governing the country in the face of concerted opposition from 
hostile legislators.

The president has, so far, taken a low-profile approach, urging legislators 
to settle the disputes by themselves as soon as possible. But the impasse 
means that the government is unable to get down to work with legislators and 
discuss and debate crucial issues, such as the budget revision, and the 
related, but thorny, issue of fuel subsidies.

In order for the DPR to function to the full, all the commissions, widely 
seen as vulnerable to corruption, have to be formed. But if the House 
remains deadlocked, it will be unable to function.

Economist Faisal Basri points out, however, that the new administration 
could still concentrate on matters that do not require the House's stamp of 
approval, such as revoking or revising presidential and ministerial decrees 
that had slowed investment. "The government can reduce some of the obstacles 
to investment through short-term programs," he said on Monday.

Elements of the local media and several political observers see the issue as 
much more serious, threatening a constitutional crisis or even Yudhoyono's 
downfall. They warn that if the opposing camps do not settle their disputes 
soon, the president has the right to dissolve the DPR.

Ray Rangkuti, executive director of the Independent Committee for Election 
Monitoring, warns that legislators must end their hostilities to prevent 
this. "When the House stalls, the president is entitled to issue a decree to 
dissolve parliament. This would create a constitutional crisis," he said.

A bold headline in one mainstream Jakarta daily on Monday asked the 
question, "Could Yudhoyono's fate be the same as that of Gus Dur?"

Indonesia's fourth president Abdurrahman "Gus Dur" Wahid was impeached and 
unseated by the People's Consultative Assembly (MPR) only 21 months after 
becoming the country's first freely elected head of state in more than four 
decades. He had threatened to dissolve parliament and declare a state of 
emergency.

This was after the president had been summoned by the House to clarify his 
decision to dismiss two of his ministers, Laksamana Sukardi from the PDI-P 
and Golkar's Jusuf Kalla, now the country's vice president.

The chambers of power in the magnificent Majelis Permusyawaratan Rakyat 
building, where the country's second president Suharto had so often made a 
mockery of the democratic process, resounded on July 26, 2001, to frequent 
peals of the Voice of the People bell as legislators passed judgment on 
Wahid.

With only his own party, the PKB, doing its best to stem the tide of 
political malice, Wahid was slowly but surely emasculated in front of the 
world by lesser men who had either never heard of, or not respected, the 
immortal phrase of Indonesia's first president, Sukarno, who said, "I love 
my people, but I love my country more."

Golkar leader Tanjung was a key player in the downfall of Wahid, helping the 
parliamentary plotters to elevate the enigmatic Megawati to become the fifth 
leader of the nation - though less than two years before the same crew of 
selfish politicians masquerading as reformists had denied the lady the 
victory to which she was entitled.

Tanjung, though no longer a legislator, was also the driving force behind 
the Nationhood Coalition, formed In August this year to support Megawati 
before the election run-off in September. After her defeat, the coalition 
said it would mount a "credible" opposition in parliament.

Some analysts have suggested the conflict will end if Tanjung loses the 
Golkar chairmanship at the party congress next month and the party's 
parliamentary faction then throws its weight behind Yudhoyono. The PDI-P is 
also due to hold its congress in January to determine its political future 
post-Megawati.

Who wins?
As the political temperature rises and the various "compromise" formulas 
fail, a split in the ranks of both political juggernauts could possibly 
reconfigure the political map. But whatever the case, there will be no 
winners in this fight, least of all the long suffering Indonesians 
themselves.

The dawning of the new democracy seems as far away as ever. Asked by an 
interviewer about his views on democracy a day after he was dethroned, Wahid 
said that though a measure of democracy was in progress, "in Indonesia the 
president is only a plaything for parliament and the DPR".

He admitted that his appeal was to the masses. The Indonesian people were 
hungry and someone has to defend their rights, so "I was forced to be a 
leader of the masses", said Wahid.

This is also Yudhoyono's strongest card, his massive mandate from the 
people, though he has yet to deal his hand.

Bill Guerin has worked for 19 years in Indonesia as a journalist and editor. 
He specializes in business/economy issues and political analysis related to 
Indonesia. He has been a Jakarta correspondent for Asia Times Online since 
2000 and has also been published by the BBC on East Timor. He can be reached 
at  [EMAIL PROTECTED] .

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] for information on our sales and syndication policies.) 



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