> From a quick read, the Excel error prior for incompetence
> looks high but some of the other issues hint that the prior
> for the overall findings was remarkably in favor of malice.
That's p(malice|evidence), not p(malice); surely that must be the posterior? ;-)
'tain't a great advert for economics either way, though, however much fun it
may be to apply Bayes theorem (badly, in my case) to analyse it.
Steve E
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