On Nov 25, 2013, at 7:56 AM, PIKAL Petr <petr.pi...@precheza.cz> wrote:

> Hi
> 
> I doubt if people start to search answers if they often do not search them in 
> help pages and documentation provided. 
> 
> I must agree with Duncan that if Stackoverflow was far more better than this 
> help list most people would seek advice there then here. Is there any 
> evidence in decreasing traffic here? 
> 
> Anyway, similar discussion went in 2003 with outcome that was not in favour 
> for separate beginner list 
> http://tolstoy.newcastle.edu.au/R/help/03b/7944.html
> 
> Petr
> 
> BTW it is pitty that r help archive does not extend over year 2012. I found 
> that *Last message date: Tue 31 Jan 2012 - 12:19:21 GMT


Petr,

I may be confusing your final statement above, but the **main** R-Help archive 
is current to today:

  https://stat.ethz.ch/pipermail/r-help/

That being said, as one who has been interacting on R-Help (and other R-* 
lists) for a dozen years or so, I would have to say that one would need to have 
their head in the sand to not be cognizant of the dramatic decline in the 
traffic on R-Help in recent years. Simply keeping subjective track of the 
declining daily traffic ought to be sufficient.

Due to work related time constraints, my posting here in recent times has 
dropped notably. I do still read many of the R-Help posts and along with 
Martin, am co-moderator on R-Devel. So am still involved in that capacity.

I do follow SO and SE via RSS feed, so am aware of the increasing traffic 
there, albeit, I have not posted there.

In addition, there are a multitude of other online locations where R related 
posts have begun to accumulate. These include various LinkedIn groups, R 
related blogs, ResearchGate and others. I do believe, however, that SO is the 
dominant force in the shift of traffic.

To answer Petr's question above, I updated and re-ran some code that I had used 
some years ago to estimate the traffic on various lists/fora:

  https://stat.ethz.ch/pipermail/r-help/2009-January/184196.html

To that end, I am attaching a PDF file that contains a barplot of the annual 
R-Help traffic volume since 1997, through this month. The grey bars represent 
the actual annual traffic volumes of posts to R-Help.

For 2013, I added a red segment to the bar, which shows the projected number of 
posts for the full year, albeit, it is simply based upon the mean number of 
posts per day, averaged over the YTD volume, projected over the remaining days 
in the year, without any seasonal adjustments. So it may be optimistic, as we 
are coming into the holiday season for many.

Bottom line, while the trend was dramatically positive through 2010, peaking at 
a little over 41,000 total posts, the volume has just as dramatically declined 
in 2013 to a projected ~21,400. This means that the volume for 2013 has dropped 
back to the approximate volume of 2005.

Only time will tell if the dramatic decline will continue, or reach some new 
reasonable asymptote that is simply reflective of the distribution of traffic 
on various other online resources.

To the original query posted by Bert, I would say no, there is not a need for a 
beginner's list.

Regards,

Marc Schwartz


Attachment: R-Help.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document



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