I know from personal experience.

From: religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu 
[mailto:religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu] On Behalf Of Saperstein, David
Sent: Monday, December 02, 2013 4:19 PM
To: Law & Religion issues for Law Academics
Cc: Law & Religion issues for Law Academics
Subject: Re: The Establishment Clause, burden on others, the employer mandate, 
and the draft

And you'll be relieved to know that it was only a coincidence that seminary 
applications sky-rocketed beginning around 67.

Sent from my iPhone

On Dec 2, 2013, at 4:04 PM, "Marc Stern" 
<ste...@ajc.org<mailto:ste...@ajc.org>> wrote:
There was also an exemption for divinity students.

From: 
religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu<mailto:religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu> 
[mailto:religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu] On Behalf Of Douglas Laycock
Sent: Monday, December 02, 2013 4:01 PM
To: 'Law & Religion issues for Law Academics'
Subject: RE: The Establishment Clause, burden on others, the employer mandate, 
and the draft

Of course it's possible I am wrong.

When they went to the lottery in 1969, that was certainly understood to be 
national - but I suppose the actual selections could have been by state. Before 
that, they were supposed to be taking the oldest men first (up through age 26, 
at which point you aged out), and I certainly thought at the time that it was 
on a national basis, but maybe not.  If the answer is not in the Imus opinion 
or a source cited there, it might be deep in regulations from the 60s, or 
perhaps in a statute from the 60s.

Of course the number of student deferments dwarfed the number of conscientious 
objectors and Mormon missionaries. Only the latter could be attacked with 
Establishment Clause arguments.

Douglas Laycock
Robert E. Scott Distinguished Professor of Law
University of Virginia Law School
580 Massie Road
Charlottesville, VA  22903
     434-243-8546

From: 
religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu<mailto:religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu> 
[mailto:religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu] On Behalf Of Michael Worley
Sent: Monday, December 02, 2013 3:46 PM
To: Law & Religion issues for Law Academics
Subject: Re: The Establishment Clause, burden on others, the employer mandate, 
and the draft

Some at the time of Vietnam thought otherwise:

In Imus v. United States 447 F.2d 1008 (10th Cir. 1971), drafted Utahns where 
LDS Missionaries got an exemption claimed "The appellees assert in effect that 
the classification of the missionaries as ministers during the period of their 
service served to reduce the number of men eligible for service and thus made 
appellees' induction more likely."  The Court reversed an injunction, relying 
upon a Supreme Court summary affirmance in another case, Boyd v. Clark 393 U.S. 
316 (1969), where "The plaintiffs asserted that by reason of the number of men 
student deferments they were more likely to be inducted." Imus, 474 F.2d at 
1009.  The classification in Imus was "on behalf of all Selective Service 
Registrants in this State of Utah"-- so Imus thought Utahns were harmed more.


Were the Plaintiffs just wrong in Imus?  It would seem odd for a case to be 
appealed if everyone knew it was over n+1 instead of b.

(I realize this is a question of fact; If the Plaintiffs in Imus were wrong, I 
withdraw my line of reasoning here.)

Michael

On Mon, Dec 2, 2013 at 1:27 PM, Douglas Laycock 
<dlayc...@virginia.edu<mailto:dlayc...@virginia.edu>> wrote:
The draft pool was effectively local, as you envision it, through the Civil 
War. Each county was given a quota to fill. I think it was nationalized for 
World War I, but I don't really know.

It was certainly nationalized by the time of Vietnam. Local boards administered 
the classification system, but all those classified I-A went into a national 
pool from which draftees were selected. It was called the Selective Service 
System, and your draft letter began, "Greetings! You have been selected . . ."

So for every person granted conscientious objector status, your odds of being 
drafted went from n over however many million in the denominator to n + 1 over 
that denominator. Considered at that stage, the increase was infinitesimal. 
Somewhere there was a guy who got drafted who otherwise would not have been, 
but it was impossible to identify that person.


Douglas Laycock
Robert E. Scott Distinguished Professor of Law
University of Virginia Law School
580 Massie Road
Charlottesville, VA  22903
     434-243-8546<tel:434-243-8546>

From: 
religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu<mailto:religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu> 
[mailto:religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu<mailto:religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu>]
 On Behalf Of Michael Worley
Sent: Monday, December 02, 2013 12:48 PM
To: Law & Religion issues for Law Academics
Subject: Re: The Establishment Clause, burden on others, the employer mandate, 
and the draft


Maybe I misunderstand how the draft worked (I am quite young), but it would 
seem to me that a local draft board would not be much bigger than an insurance 
plan in size (indeed, for Hobby Lobby, the draft board would seem smaller), and 
thus, Gedicks' and Van Tassel's claim that "a person's decision making 
calculus," would not be affected seems incorrect in the sense that 
identifiability of who is burdened (and thus, the ability of a person to make 
such changes in response to a objector)is just as strong in the draft case, if 
not stronger.

On Mon, Dec 2, 2013 at 10:18 AM, Micah Schwartzman 
<mj...@virginia.edu<mailto:mj...@virginia.edu>> wrote:
Eugene's suggestion that the religious exemption from the contraception mandate 
be analogized to the draft protester cases is anticipated by Gedicks and Van 
Tassell in their article, RFRA Exemptions from the Contraception Mandate:  An 
Unconstitutional Accommodation of Religion 
(http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2328516).

Gedicks and Van Tassel argue that the burden of the exemption is not material 
because it would not affect the decision-making of non-pacificists in 
considering whether to participate in the draft. That is because the burden is 
minor and remote -- for any individual, a small number of exemptions amounts to 
a minor increase in the probability of being selected for the draft.

Whethers Gedicks and Van Tassel are right, there is at least the difference 
that the burden of the religious exemption from the contraception mandate, like 
the burden in Caldor, falls clearly and specifically on identifiable 
individuals.

It is a separate question whether broadening the exemption to include 
non-religious objectors would cure a possible constitutional defect under the 
Establishment Clause. If the reason for broadening the exemption is a based on 
a sham purpose -- that is, if it is broadened only for the purpose of saving an 
otherwise unconstitutional exemption, rather than to accommodate non-religious 
objectors (as in Seeger) -- I wonder whether that is (or should be?) 
permissible. It could be framed as a form of constitutional avoidance, but, 
given the history, it might also look like an impermissible purpose.




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--
Michael Worley
BYU Law School, Class of 2014

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Michael Worley
BYU Law School, Class of 2014
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