Re: FW: History shows paths to market crashes, but lessons seem forgotten

2003-01-09 Thread Fred Foldvary
> In a few years, this movement of baby boomer money into safe havens should drive down both the price of stocks and the yield on bonds. > ~Alypius Skinner No, for two reasons: 1) Many who retire will not sell all their stocks. If they get an annuity, the stocks are just transferred to the insura

Re: Employment Index Derivatives

2003-01-09 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- Jonathan Kalbfeld <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > was curious if anyone knew of an > existence of other kinds of derivatives, on things like labor market > size,unemployment rate, CPI, inflation rate, cost of gas at the pump, etc? The Iowa Electronic Market (http://www.biz.uiowa.edu/iem) has futu

Re: News Coverage and bad economics

2003-01-09 Thread Eric Crampton
Hilarious! I'd already killfiled AdmrlLocke, so I hadn't read his first message. Love your answer though. On Thu, 9 Jan 2003, John-Charles Bradbury wrote: > If you already know the correct answers better than the professor why are > you taking the class instead of teaching it? > > JC > -

RE: News Coverage and bad economics

2003-01-09 Thread Fred Foldvary
> In fact, amateurs and the > general public have often demonstrated a kind of intuitive and > inarticulate wisdom on social issues that has eluded intellectuals, including economists. > Marc Poitras But also, German amateurs elected the Nazi party. Fred Foldvary = [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Re: FW: History shows paths to market crashes

2003-01-09 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- Bryan D Caplan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > (Incidentally, 7% sounds low relative to other averages I've heard. > Burton Malkiel cites a figure of 10% real pre-tax if I recall > correctly). Roger Clarke and Meir Statman, Winter 2000, "The DJIA Crossed 652,230", Journal of Portfolio Management

Re: News Coverage and bad economics

2003-01-09 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 1/9/03 10:12:43 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: << If you already know the correct answers better than the professor why are you taking the class instead of teaching it? JC >> I made no such claim, and in any case, we know that experts are always right and those without the

Re: News Coverage and bad economics

2003-01-09 Thread John-Charles Bradbury
If you already know the correct answers better than the professor why are you taking the class instead of teaching it? JC -Original Message- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Date: Thursday, January 09, 2003 7:41 AM Subject: Re: News Cove

Re: News Coverage and bad economics

2003-01-09 Thread AdmrlLocke
Yes, indeed I was informed recently that I recieved an A- instead of an A in one of my PhD courses because I include too much historical content in my exam answers. I suppose there's no better way to protect faulty theory than to ignore the lessons of economic history. In a message dated 1/9/

RE: News Coverage and bad economics

2003-01-09 Thread Marc . Poitras
Amateurs and economics? As I recall, in the General Theory, towards the end of the book, Keynes called for, or came close to calling for, nationalization of business investment. If implemented, the proposal would have quickly created an out-and-out socialist system, with disastrous consequences

Re: News Coverage and bad economics

2003-01-09 Thread Bernard Girard
Fred Foldvary a *crit : > > one is a > better economist if one knows some law, history, geography, literature, > political science, and philosophy. And besides his specialty, a good > economist should know some history of thought, economic history, and > something about the various schools of

Re: News Coverage and bad economics

2003-01-09 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 1/8/03 4:51:38 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: << Mises said that everyone must learn economics because public policy is set by public opinion. It's an unrealistic demand, but it might be warranted, absent the death of democracy. >> My old economics mentor at University of Color

Re: News Coverage and bad economics

2003-01-09 Thread AdmrlLocke
Dear Bill, Now don't go getting over-stimulated by the stimulus of the not-very-stimulating media reports. :) Seriously though, I notice all the time that members of the news media refer to any tax cut with Keynesian demand-side analysis--if indeed one can credit any of their reports with an