Re: [apple-crop] spectrum instruments

2011-04-26 Thread Los, Lorraine
Hello All,

I have a few Spectrum machines and have seen the discrepancies between the 
different models.  As someone else mentioned, one of the reasons is probably 
related to the issue on how to decide if 2 or more wetting events should be 
considered one continuous wetting event.  The NEWA (Network for Environment and 
Weather Applications), http://newa.cornell.edu site says Two successive 
wetting periods are considered a single uninterrupted wetting period if the 
intervening dry period is  24 hours.  When I compare the NEWA data from an 
orchard in CT to nearby orchards with Spectrum machines, the NEWA site has 
indicated infections when the Spectrum machines did not.

Do Plant Pathologists agree on how to decide if 2 wetting periods should be 
combined?

Thanks,
Lorraine Los
Entomologist and Fruit Crops IPM Coordinator
University of Connecticut



From: apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net 
[apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net] On Behalf Of Jon Clements 
[jmcext...@gmail.com]
Sent: Sunday, April 24, 2011 7:02 PM
To: Apple-crop discussion list
Subject: {SPAM?}  Re: [apple-crop] spectrum instruments

Yea, look at me, given my old(er) age -- the NRVART (Newspaper
Readability Venturia Ascospore Release Threshold) depends on: the
light level (civil twilight, nautical twilight, astronomical twilight?
see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twilight) , distance reading the
Newspaper (far is probably better I am farsighted, oh not really,
actually I am presbyoptic,
see:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Presbyopia), font size (obviously),
and whether or not I can find my eye glasses. (Forgetfullness, sorry,
not in Wikipedia, but my bi-focal glasses are no-line TransitionsTM,
CriizalTM no-glare/reflections, about $250 each at Costco or WalMart
if I buy the cheaper frames.)  Oh, and does the NRVART include reading
the newspaper on an iPad?

But BTW, I can perfectly relate to the PDBA fireblight index!

Sorry to downgrade an otherwise excellent discussion!

:-)

Jon

On Sun, Apr 24, 2011 at 6:20 PM, Dave Rosenberger da...@cornell.edu wrote:
 Hey, Dan --
I believe that the reading a newspaper threshold for ascospore
 discharge was a verbal comment from either Gadoury or MacHardy.  Given my
 failing memory, I can't be absolutely certain that my recollection is
 correct. Anyway, this may be one of those rules of thumb that never make
 it into the scientific literature, probably for the same reasons that my
 personal discomfort model for timing strep sprays for blossom blight will
 never make it into a refereed journal.  After all, we're concerned about
 trying to calibrate leaf wetness meters:  Just think about trying to
 calibrate humans as biological sensors!!

 David,

 The original night-time release study was published by MacHardy and
 Gadoury in 89. It's here:

 http://www.apsnet.org/publications/phytopathology/backissues/Documents/1989Articles/Phyto79n03_304.pdf

 In 98, Gadoury, Stensvand and Seem revised this to take into account some
 night-time release, saying that in high inoculum orchards night-time release
 could be a problem. That article is here:

 http://apsjournals.apsnet.org.silk.library.umass.edu/doi/pdfplus/10.1094/PHYTO.1998.88.9.902

 I've been looking all over for the source article for Dave Rosenberger's
 Newspaper Readability Venturia Ascospore Release Threshold, but haven't
 found it. I did, however, find his Personal Discomfort Blight Alert for
 blossom blight:

 ... severe blossom blight infection periods often occur on days when
 moderate physical activity causes me to break into a noticeably
 uncomfortable sweat.  The discomfort comes from a combination of high
 temperature, high humidity, and lack of acclimation to summer temperatures.
  If I sense PDBA conditions when trees are in bloom, then I know that a
 blossom blight spray is needed immediately.
 http://www.scaffolds.entomology.cornell.edu/2007/070507.html#disease

 Degree days and leaf wetness sensors are interesting and helpful, but
 sometimes nothing beats the low-tech approach!

 Dan

 On Apr 21, 2011, at 11:33 PM, David Doud wrote:

  thank you Dave for the time and effort you put into this post -

  short of input from specmeters, I'll slightly exaggerate and say that
 the Cornell model will predict scab infection after a short heavy dew, while
 the WA model requires rainforest conditions for a couple of days before it
 indicates concern - I made the assumption that if growing McIntosh in NY one
 had better be very careful, while desert conditions don't provide the
 humidity or inoculum to result in scab infections except under the most
 severe circumstances - I talk to growers at the Ohio River and south and
 they don't worry much about scab, it's a minor consideration in their
 climate -

  the Mills table (and modified Mills - I attended a number of the MI IPM
 schools in the '80s when Jones and Howitt and Bird and crew was cutting
 edge) has been reliable here and referred to 

[apple-crop] RE : spectrum instruments

2011-04-26 Thread Vincent Philion
Hello ms Los.

In a nutshell: pathologists seldom agree on anything.

;-)

More seriously, 24 hrs was suggested by MacHardy based on different sources and 
is a OK value.

However, there is field data on potted plants that show SOME ascospore survival 
for many days.

That's one of the many reasons why yes/no rules cannot be used for scab 
models. Instead, the relative risk of each component should be treated as a 
population process with a average and deviation: some spores are quicker, some 
are more tolerant, etc.

... that's how RIMpro calculates risk

Vincent


De : apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net 
[apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net] de la part de Los, Lorraine 
[lorraine@uconn.edu]
Date d'envoi : 26 avril 2011 10:25
À : Apple-crop discussion list
Objet : Re: [apple-crop] spectrum instruments

Hello All,

I have a few Spectrum machines and have seen the discrepancies between the 
different models.  As someone else mentioned, one of the reasons is probably 
related to the issue on how to decide if 2 or more wetting events should be 
considered one continuous wetting event.  The NEWA (Network for Environment and 
Weather Applications), http://newa.cornell.edu site says Two successive 
wetting periods are considered a single uninterrupted wetting period if the 
intervening dry period is  24 hours.  When I compare the NEWA data from an 
orchard in CT to nearby orchards with Spectrum machines, the NEWA site has 
indicated infections when the Spectrum machines did not.

Do Plant Pathologists agree on how to decide if 2 wetting periods should be 
combined?

Thanks,
Lorraine Los
Entomologist and Fruit Crops IPM Coordinator
University of Connecticut



From: apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net 
[apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net] On Behalf Of Jon Clements 
[jmcext...@gmail.com]
Sent: Sunday, April 24, 2011 7:02 PM
To: Apple-crop discussion list
Subject: {SPAM?}  Re: [apple-crop] spectrum instruments

Yea, look at me, given my old(er) age -- the NRVART (Newspaper
Readability Venturia Ascospore Release Threshold) depends on: the
light level (civil twilight, nautical twilight, astronomical twilight?
see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twilight) , distance reading the
Newspaper (far is probably better I am farsighted, oh not really,
actually I am presbyoptic,
see:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Presbyopia), font size (obviously),
and whether or not I can find my eye glasses. (Forgetfullness, sorry,
not in Wikipedia, but my bi-focal glasses are no-line TransitionsTM,
CriizalTM no-glare/reflections, about $250 each at Costco or WalMart
if I buy the cheaper frames.)  Oh, and does the NRVART include reading
the newspaper on an iPad?

But BTW, I can perfectly relate to the PDBA fireblight index!

Sorry to downgrade an otherwise excellent discussion!

:-)

Jon

On Sun, Apr 24, 2011 at 6:20 PM, Dave Rosenberger da...@cornell.edu wrote:
 Hey, Dan --
I believe that the reading a newspaper threshold for ascospore
 discharge was a verbal comment from either Gadoury or MacHardy.  Given my
 failing memory, I can't be absolutely certain that my recollection is
 correct. Anyway, this may be one of those rules of thumb that never make
 it into the scientific literature, probably for the same reasons that my
 personal discomfort model for timing strep sprays for blossom blight will
 never make it into a refereed journal.  After all, we're concerned about
 trying to calibrate leaf wetness meters:  Just think about trying to
 calibrate humans as biological sensors!!

 David,

 The original night-time release study was published by MacHardy and
 Gadoury in 89. It's here:

 http://www.apsnet.org/publications/phytopathology/backissues/Documents/1989Articles/Phyto79n03_304.pdf

 In 98, Gadoury, Stensvand and Seem revised this to take into account some
 night-time release, saying that in high inoculum orchards night-time release
 could be a problem. That article is here:

 http://apsjournals.apsnet.org.silk.library.umass.edu/doi/pdfplus/10.1094/PHYTO.1998.88.9.902

 I've been looking all over for the source article for Dave Rosenberger's
 Newspaper Readability Venturia Ascospore Release Threshold, but haven't
 found it. I did, however, find his Personal Discomfort Blight Alert for
 blossom blight:

 ... severe blossom blight infection periods often occur on days when
 moderate physical activity causes me to break into a noticeably
 uncomfortable sweat.  The discomfort comes from a combination of high
 temperature, high humidity, and lack of acclimation to summer temperatures.
  If I sense PDBA conditions when trees are in bloom, then I know that a
 blossom blight spray is needed immediately.
 http://www.scaffolds.entomology.cornell.edu/2007/070507.html#disease

 Degree days and leaf wetness sensors are interesting and helpful, but
 sometimes nothing beats the low-tech approach!

 Dan

 On Apr 21, 2011, at 11:33 PM, David Doud wrote:

  

Re: [apple-crop] spectrum instruments

2011-04-26 Thread Juliet Evelyn Carroll
The 24 hour time frame used in NEWA was decided on by Bill Turechek when he was 
the extension tree fruit pathologist at Cornell and is primarily based on the 
work by Becker and Burr on interrupted wetting events.  Prior to that NEWA had 
used 8 hours.

The tricky part comes in combining a combined event with another event... when 
does one stop combining events.  In some cases, if a dew period is counted, 
then the infection event could go on and on and on.

Julie
NEWANEWANEWANEWANEWA
Juliet E. Carroll, PhD
Project Leader, NEWA
Network for Environment  Weather App's
NYS IPM Program, Cornell University
630 W. North St., Geneva, NY 14456
315-787-2430, j...@cornell.edu
NEWA Pest Forecasts, newa.cornell.edu

-Original Message-
From: apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net 
[mailto:apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net] On Behalf Of Vincent Philion
Sent: Tuesday, April 26, 2011 12:11 PM
To: Apple-crop discussion list
Subject: [apple-crop] RE : spectrum instruments

Hello ms Los.

In a nutshell: pathologists seldom agree on anything.

;-)

More seriously, 24 hrs was suggested by MacHardy based on different sources and 
is a OK value.

However, there is field data on potted plants that show SOME ascospore survival 
for many days.

That's one of the many reasons why yes/no rules cannot be used for scab 
models. Instead, the relative risk of each component should be treated as a 
population process with a average and deviation: some spores are quicker, some 
are more tolerant, etc.

... that's how RIMpro calculates risk

Vincent


De : apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net 
[apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net] de la part de Los, Lorraine 
[lorraine@uconn.edu] Date d'envoi : 26 avril 2011 10:25 À : Apple-crop 
discussion list Objet : Re: [apple-crop] spectrum instruments

Hello All,

I have a few Spectrum machines and have seen the discrepancies between the 
different models.  As someone else mentioned, one of the reasons is probably 
related to the issue on how to decide if 2 or more wetting events should be 
considered one continuous wetting event.  The NEWA (Network for Environment and 
Weather Applications), http://newa.cornell.edu site says Two successive 
wetting periods are considered a single uninterrupted wetting period if the 
intervening dry period is  24 hours.  When I compare the NEWA data from an 
orchard in CT to nearby orchards with Spectrum machines, the NEWA site has 
indicated infections when the Spectrum machines did not.

Do Plant Pathologists agree on how to decide if 2 wetting periods should be 
combined?

Thanks,
Lorraine Los
Entomologist and Fruit Crops IPM Coordinator University of Connecticut



From: apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net 
[apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net] On Behalf Of Jon Clements 
[jmcext...@gmail.com]
Sent: Sunday, April 24, 2011 7:02 PM
To: Apple-crop discussion list
Subject: {SPAM?}  Re: [apple-crop] spectrum instruments

Yea, look at me, given my old(er) age -- the NRVART (Newspaper Readability 
Venturia Ascospore Release Threshold) depends on: the light level (civil 
twilight, nautical twilight, astronomical twilight?
see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twilight) , distance reading the Newspaper 
(far is probably better I am farsighted, oh not really, actually I am 
presbyoptic, see:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Presbyopia), font size 
(obviously), and whether or not I can find my eye glasses. (Forgetfullness, 
sorry, not in Wikipedia, but my bi-focal glasses are no-line TransitionsTM, 
CriizalTM no-glare/reflections, about $250 each at Costco or WalMart if I buy 
the cheaper frames.)  Oh, and does the NRVART include reading the newspaper on 
an iPad?

But BTW, I can perfectly relate to the PDBA fireblight index!

Sorry to downgrade an otherwise excellent discussion!

:-)

Jon

On Sun, Apr 24, 2011 at 6:20 PM, Dave Rosenberger da...@cornell.edu wrote:
 Hey, Dan --
I believe that the reading a newspaper threshold for
 ascospore discharge was a verbal comment from either Gadoury or
 MacHardy.  Given my failing memory, I can't be absolutely certain that
 my recollection is correct. Anyway, this may be one of those rules of
 thumb that never make it into the scientific literature, probably for
 the same reasons that my personal discomfort model for timing strep
 sprays for blossom blight will never make it into a refereed journal.
 After all, we're concerned about trying to calibrate leaf wetness
 meters:  Just think about trying to calibrate humans as biological sensors!!

 David,

 The original night-time release study was published by MacHardy and
 Gadoury in 89. It's here:

 http://www.apsnet.org/publications/phytopathology/backissues/Document
 s/1989Articles/Phyto79n03_304.pdf

 In 98, Gadoury, Stensvand and Seem revised this to take into account
 some night-time release, saying that in high inoculum orchards
 night-time release could be a problem. That 

[apple-crop] RE : spectrum instruments

2011-04-26 Thread Vincent Philion
Hi! Thanks Julie: I had forgotten about this other limitation of the old 
style calculations: Where to stop?

With the RIMpro approach (boxcar cohort programming) this is never an issue 
because the proportion of spores that survives multiple drying, etc becomes 
nil and drops out of the calculations. Yet another advantage of handling 
proportions and probabilities instead of yes/no rules.

Vincent


De : apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net 
[apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net] de la part de Juliet Evelyn Carroll 
[j...@cornell.edu]
Date d'envoi : 26 avril 2011 13:12
À : Apple-crop discussion list
Objet : Re: [apple-crop] spectrum instruments

The 24 hour time frame used in NEWA was decided on by Bill Turechek when he was 
the extension tree fruit pathologist at Cornell and is primarily based on the 
work by Becker and Burr on interrupted wetting events.  Prior to that NEWA had 
used 8 hours.

The tricky part comes in combining a combined event with another event... when 
does one stop combining events.  In some cases, if a dew period is counted, 
then the infection event could go on and on and on.

Julie
NEWANEWANEWANEWANEWA
Juliet E. Carroll, PhD
Project Leader, NEWA
Network for Environment  Weather App's
NYS IPM Program, Cornell University
630 W. North St., Geneva, NY 14456
315-787-2430, j...@cornell.edu
NEWA Pest Forecasts, newa.cornell.edu

-Original Message-
From: apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net 
[mailto:apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net] On Behalf Of Vincent Philion
Sent: Tuesday, April 26, 2011 12:11 PM
To: Apple-crop discussion list
Subject: [apple-crop] RE : spectrum instruments

Hello ms Los.

In a nutshell: pathologists seldom agree on anything.

;-)

More seriously, 24 hrs was suggested by MacHardy based on different sources and 
is a OK value.

However, there is field data on potted plants that show SOME ascospore survival 
for many days.

That's one of the many reasons why yes/no rules cannot be used for scab 
models. Instead, the relative risk of each component should be treated as a 
population process with a average and deviation: some spores are quicker, some 
are more tolerant, etc.

... that's how RIMpro calculates risk

Vincent


De : apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net 
[apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net] de la part de Los, Lorraine 
[lorraine@uconn.edu] Date d'envoi : 26 avril 2011 10:25 À : Apple-crop 
discussion list Objet : Re: [apple-crop] spectrum instruments

Hello All,

I have a few Spectrum machines and have seen the discrepancies between the 
different models.  As someone else mentioned, one of the reasons is probably 
related to the issue on how to decide if 2 or more wetting events should be 
considered one continuous wetting event.  The NEWA (Network for Environment and 
Weather Applications), http://newa.cornell.edu site says Two successive 
wetting periods are considered a single uninterrupted wetting period if the 
intervening dry period is  24 hours.  When I compare the NEWA data from an 
orchard in CT to nearby orchards with Spectrum machines, the NEWA site has 
indicated infections when the Spectrum machines did not.

Do Plant Pathologists agree on how to decide if 2 wetting periods should be 
combined?

Thanks,
Lorraine Los
Entomologist and Fruit Crops IPM Coordinator University of Connecticut



From: apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net 
[apple-crop-boun...@virtualorchard.net] On Behalf Of Jon Clements 
[jmcext...@gmail.com]
Sent: Sunday, April 24, 2011 7:02 PM
To: Apple-crop discussion list
Subject: {SPAM?}  Re: [apple-crop] spectrum instruments

Yea, look at me, given my old(er) age -- the NRVART (Newspaper Readability 
Venturia Ascospore Release Threshold) depends on: the light level (civil 
twilight, nautical twilight, astronomical twilight?
see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twilight) , distance reading the Newspaper 
(far is probably better I am farsighted, oh not really, actually I am 
presbyoptic, see:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Presbyopia), font size 
(obviously), and whether or not I can find my eye glasses. (Forgetfullness, 
sorry, not in Wikipedia, but my bi-focal glasses are no-line TransitionsTM, 
CriizalTM no-glare/reflections, about $250 each at Costco or WalMart if I buy 
the cheaper frames.)  Oh, and does the NRVART include reading the newspaper on 
an iPad?

But BTW, I can perfectly relate to the PDBA fireblight index!

Sorry to downgrade an otherwise excellent discussion!

:-)

Jon

On Sun, Apr 24, 2011 at 6:20 PM, Dave Rosenberger da...@cornell.edu wrote:
 Hey, Dan --
I believe that the reading a newspaper threshold for
 ascospore discharge was a verbal comment from either Gadoury or
 MacHardy.  Given my failing memory, I can't be absolutely certain that
 my recollection is correct. Anyway, this may be one of those rules of
 thumb that never make it into the scientific literature,