Re: DOWN with the government!~)

2010-10-11 Thread Alex Gogan
BTW Jon,

This would be great internationally as well not just in the US,

If you want a bit of (free) adivce on websites, its what I do for a living
for my sins.

My Facebook and twit profile is alexgogan

Good luck with the project love the idea!

On Sat, Oct 9, 2010 at 7:41 PM, Jon Louis Mann net_democr...@yahoo.comwrote:

  I'm running because I want to oppose that system and give
  residents a voice in how those millions are spent with a
  virtual town hall forum on the city website, for
  transparency, and to hold city officials accountable.
  Jon

  You sound like the kind of guy I might just vote for,
  name recognition  or not!
  Dave

   Sounds like you got your priorities right to me. I
   wonder if you couldn't have run under your old name,
   or if people would just find that weird?
   Charlie

 Thanks guys, if anyone is interested they can follow my
 campaign by friending me on Facebook.  I am trying to
 figure out how to set up a website and am working on
 putting it on smartvoter.org.
 Jon




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Re: DOWN with the government!~)

2010-10-11 Thread Alex Gogan
And there I was trying to add David as a Friend and Facebook say do I know
David Personally!!!

Well he doesn't know me but my bookshelf knows him very well :¬}

On Mon, Oct 11, 2010 at 12:38 AM, Dave Land dml...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Oct 10, 2010, at 3:45 PM, Dave Land wrote:

 Where would a guy find you on Facebook? Searching for
 Jon Louis Mann didn't cut it.


 Never mind. I remembered that you and I are both friends
 of some guy named David Brin.


 Dave



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Down with the government!

2010-10-11 Thread Jon Louis Mann
 This would be great internationally as well, 
 not just in the US.  If you want a bit of 
 (free) adivce on websites, its what I do for 
 a living for my sins.   
 My Facebook and twitter profile is alexgogan 
 Good luck with the project love the idea!

Thanks Alex I'll look you up.  I pop up on FB as Jon Mann on Dr. Brin's page.  
My e-mail address is net_democr...@yahoo.com

The concept of the electronic village is found in SF, especially if you've 
read Earth.  It's evolving on the internet as weblogs, etc.  The Internet 
enables discussions to be held online and provides a way for the people to 
gather together, allowing everyone speak their mind, discuss an issue, make a 
decision, and vote to have it carried out. It is a means to implement direct 
participatory democracy, as opposed to representative government.

Town halls can no longer work as they did in ancient times.  They are a 
function of the size of the group, which places limits on speaking time.  
Within the decision making process some people talk more than others.
   
Electronic forums are the ideal venue for brainstorming solutions for social 
issues, as you can take time to edit your comments.  It also affords more 
people an opportunity to be less passive and have a voice.  Moderated sites 
work best to stay on topic and maintain civilized discourse.


  

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StratoSolar

2010-10-11 Thread Keith Henson
StratoSolar

This is off NDA so I can go into detail.

For a few years, I was working on a way to reduce the cost of
space-based solar power to the point it could displace fossil fuels.
That's two cents or less per kWh, which is half the price of electric
power from coal, and low enough that (off peak) it can be used to make
synthetic hydrocarbon transport fuels for about a dollar a gallon.

The rough economic analysis is based on a ten-year repayment of
capital cost.  Run 80,000 hours in ten years the return is $800 per kW
per penny payment for a kWh.  For power satellites, assuming 5kg/kW,
$100 per kg lifted to GEO and about 1/3 of the cost going to
transport, you get the required $1600/kW for 2 cents per kWh.

With the help of Jordin Kare, Howard Davidson, Ron Clark, Spike Jones
and others, by last January I had a proposal that looked like it would
reach $100/kg cost to GEO.  The general approach was discussed in an
article in The Oil Drum about a year ago.  It proposes huge lasers to
get the average exhaust velocity up to the mission velocity.  This
gives a mass ratio to LEO of about 3and a throughput to GEO upwards
of 100 t per hour.

Late last year Howard became aware of a project an old friend of his,
Ed Kelly, was working on.  Ed is best known as a principal with
Transmeta, a company that developed low-power processors some years
ago.  Howard introduced me to Ed.  I have spent a lot of time going
over Ed's spreadsheets and other details since last January.

In the post-analysis, the reason ordinary ground solar power is so
expensive is the huge amount of materials that are needed because
solar energy is so dilute.  (Wind has the same problem.)  Ed's
approach, which he named StratoSolar, was to reduce the mass from
hundreds of kg per kW to a few tens of kg by moving the solar
concentrator into the stratosphere as a large, lightweight, buoyant
structure.

This has significant advantages over being on the ground.

There are no clouds at 20 km.  The winds are light and steady and the
low air density reduces the force on the structure.  Because the
primary concentrator can be pointed directly toward the sun, it gives
close to full power whenever the sun is above the horizon.  (Rough
pointing--one to two degrees--can be done with combinations of
thrusters, aerodynamic fins and reaction motors, fine pointing by
stepper motors moving the mirror segments.)

They work as far north as Stockholm.

The concentrated sunlight gets to the ground via a hollow light pipe
lined with highly reflective prismatic plastic.  Preliminary
optimization for kg/kW leads to a 30-meter diameter light pipe with
less than 10% loss.  A larger pipe has lower losses but uses more
total material per kW.

Because the mass is dependent on the pipe diameter and the power
capacity on the area, StratoSolar plants optimize in large sizes,
around 1 GW.

That means the primary collector is a bit over 2 km in diameter and
100-200 meters thick.  That gives plenty of room for gasbags to offset
its weight.

While the concentrator has neutral buoyancy, the light pipe has a lot
of excess buoyancy.  If you just think about it as a force diagram,
the buoyancy needs to be 3-4 times the wind force to keep the angle
the light pipe makes with the ground within 15-20 degrees of vertical.

The materials required—aluminum, plastic, steel wire, and hydrogen
(for buoyancy)—are all inexpensive and do not need to be processed to
tighter specifications than the norm for commercial products.

The sunlight is absorbed and converted to heat at the bottom.  The
heat is used to run an ordinary, 45%-60%-efficient, one or two stage
power plant.  About half the heat during the day is used to heat a
solid heat thermal storage medium.  This will provide enough stored
heat to run the plant overnight.

Graphite is a good choice, but any high temperature solid would work.
Cowper blast furnace stoves (regenerators, dating from 1837) produce
air as hot as 1400 deg C, just about the limit for turbine inlet
temperature.

While stoves for this application are big  (typically 70,000 cubic
meters), they are dead simple and should cost well under $100 million
for a GW plant.  That cost adds 1/8 of a cent per kWh to the cost of
power.  This is less than 1/10th the cost of any other proposed
storage mechanism.

Our rough estimate for the cost is around $1.2 B per GW, or $1200 per
kW.  Using the above ten-year payback, the cost to generate power
should be around 1.5 cents per kWh.

It will take building a few to learn how to manufacture them and get
accurate cost numbers.  However, if this is close, it will solve the
long-term energy problems and get the human race off fossil fuels by
simply under pricing them.

Like any other large project, there are a million details.  We have
given thought to such topics as ozone, lightning, hydrogen fires,
thunderstorms, icing, interaction with aircraft, high wind loads,
aerodynamic shrouds, UV damage, turbine throttling, maintenance
access, 

Re: StratoSolar

2010-10-11 Thread Alberto Monteiro
Keith Henson wrote:
 
 Since the 1970s, US politicians have given lip service to National
 Energy Self-sufficiency.  The US has failed to achieve anything,
 largely because nobody had a good idea of how to make it work at the
 same or lower cost than importing oil.  This method might not work
 either.  However, it passes first-order physics and economics 
 analysis and seems to deserve serious further study.
 
You (USA) might be closer to self-sufficienty than you (Keith) think.
Deepen the crisis (and reduce energy expendidure) and get a little
more of shale gas, and you get there.

Alberto Monteiro, minion of evil oil companies


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RE: StratoSolar

2010-10-11 Thread Dan Minette
Just a quick point.

Run 80,000 hours in ten years the return is $800 per kW
per penny payment for a kWh.  For power satellites, assuming 5kg/kW,
$100 per kg lifted to GEO and about 1/3 of the cost going to
transport, you get the required $1600/kW for 2 cents per kWh.

Well, that seems really low, so I looked up present costs.  At 

http://crowlspace.com/?page_id=50

there is a talk promoting space based solar.  It was honest enough to admit:

The launch cost from Earth to low earth orbit is the greatest impediment to
this project. It is currently about $5,000 per pound to low earth orbit, and
it has been about that cost for a long time. Geosynchronous orbit would
raise the cost to 10,000/pound.

Given the fact that, as mentioned in the talk, lift costs have been fairly
constant, where does the factor of 200 improvement come from?  How do you
know it will happen when it hasn't?   

Dan M. 




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Re: StratoSolar

2010-10-11 Thread David Hobby

Keith Henson wrote:

StratoSolar

This is off NDA so I can go into detail.

...
 Ed's

approach, which he named StratoSolar, was to reduce the mass from
hundreds of kg per kW to a few tens of kg by moving the solar
concentrator into the stratosphere as a large, lightweight, buoyant
structure.

...

The concentrated sunlight gets to the ground via a hollow light pipe
lined with highly reflective prismatic plastic.  Preliminary
optimization for kg/kW leads to a 30-meter diameter light pipe with
less than 10% loss.  A larger pipe has lower losses but uses more
total material per kW.


Keith--

Hi.  StratoSolar is interesting.  I looked at the website
when you mentioned it a month ago.  At the time, this
was my main objection:


I see bigger problems with losses in the light pipe.
The plan seems to be to have a flexible tube lined
with reflective material to guide the solar radiation
down to steam turbines or whatever on the ground.
Most of the light would have to reflect off the sides
many times, losing at least a few percent of its
intensity at each reflection.  So nothing makes it
to the ground, and the light pipe melts.  There may
be solutions to this too, but they're going to be
tricky. 


How many reflections are you assuming light will make
as it goes down the pipe, and how glancing are they?

---David


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Re: Down with the government!

2010-10-11 Thread Doug Pensinger
 Electronic forums are the ideal venue for brainstorming solutions for social 
 issues, as you can take time to edit your comments.  It also affords more 
 people an opportunity to be less passive and have a voice.  Moderated sites 
 work best to stay on topic and maintain civilized discourse.

As long as the moderator isn't a censor.

Doug
I(ttb)AMoaC

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