Degeneration? Re: Where to now?

2012-11-21 Thread Klaus Stock
Okay, back to my discussion with myself ;-)

 This, of course, a tendency only. But it's sufficient and it surely
 kills innovation. I wonder how much further this tendency will go.

I always found it hard to swallow when SciFi authors wrote about old
degenerate races. Not only Dr. Brin; it also appeared in the Perry
Rhodan pulp. I always wondered why there was no single brilliant,
energetic, innovative member of this degenerate species who would
turn the tide.

Yup, that's naive. Probably read too many stories and/or watched too
many movies where the hero would save the world/universe/everything,
either singlehandely or with (or despite) the help of his/her idiotic
sidekick.

But now I wonder if we haven't already reached the goal of becoming a
degenerate race. Progress mainly happens in marketing, not in
research and development. And while we have a lot of hero material
in our population, none of them is apparently able to make a
difference.

- Klaus


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RE: Degeneration? Re: Where to now?

2012-11-21 Thread Pat Mathews

Ok - my take on it is that old, degenerate refers to the institutions of the 
culture, not the biology of the race, and that those institutions strangle the 
energy and desire to innovate of most bright people in the cradle.

 First of all, there would be widespread corruption, and probably absolutist 
government if there was government at all. 

Second, the rulers would have been strip-mining the economy from time 
immemorial, and the tech level would show it. Why innovate when anything you 
have can be taken from you because somebody wants it? Far better to focus on 
your own safety.

Finally, there would be wdespread fatalism, probably backed up by popular 
religion - and believe me, it would be popular because it would offer an 
explanation of the way things were. Priesthoods preaching and enforcing this 
fatalism would be a bonus. 

Cultures like this have been known throughout history, and they often appear 
brilliant as long as there is anything to steal, and fall back into the pattern 
above when the loot runs out, so add in a sense of a bygone golden age that 
they are living in the ruins of. 

Is this not the description of these old and degenerate races so beloved of 
the writers you mention? Picked apart here with an eye to political science? 
Certainly it describes a lot of the ones so described by Western explorers in 
our own 17th-19th centuries.





 Date: Wed, 21 Nov 2012 15:17:58 +0100
 From: k...@stock-consulting.com
 To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Subject: Degeneration? Re: Where to now?
 
 Okay, back to my discussion with myself ;-)
 
  This, of course, a tendency only. But it's sufficient and it surely
  kills innovation. I wonder how much further this tendency will go.
 
 I always found it hard to swallow when SciFi authors wrote about old
 degenerate races. Not only Dr. Brin; it also appeared in the Perry
 Rhodan pulp. I always wondered why there was no single brilliant,
 energetic, innovative member of this degenerate species who would
 turn the tide.
 
 Yup, that's naive. Probably read too many stories and/or watched too
 many movies where the hero would save the world/universe/everything,
 either singlehandely or with (or despite) the help of his/her idiotic
 sidekick.
 
 But now I wonder if we haven't already reached the goal of becoming a
 degenerate race. Progress mainly happens in marketing, not in
 research and development. And while we have a lot of hero material
 in our population, none of them is apparently able to make a
 difference.
 
 - Klaus
 
 
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Re: Where to now?

2012-11-21 Thread Kevin O'Brien

On 11/20/2012 4:35 PM, Dan Minette wrote:

BTW, my doctoral dissertation at the University of Michigan involved

banking and monetary issues. One

of the best lessons I learned was that people who really understand what

they are talking about can say it it plain English.

Well, that just makes you as suspect as the non-financial faculty of HBS
:-)  Don't you know that those who are educated in a subject are very
suspect, just look at all the biologists who promegate that leftist
propaganda: evolution.  Actually, it's sad that folks like Mario Rubio have
to bow to creationists by likened teaching anything that makes what's taught
at home look foolish to Castro having kids spy on their parents.
It doesn't make my ideas any better than anyone else's, I am quite 
aware. I got annoyed by Mr. Williams condescending attitude. Some of the 
biggest idiots I ever met had PhDs. When I was Faculty Development 
Officer I actually had a Physics prof seriously argue that since the 
software would calculate GPAs to 4 decimal places that we should submit 
grades accurate to 4 decimal places.


The problem I have with a lot of what passes for economic commentary 
these days is that it is evidence-free. It is one thing to speculate 
before you have done the experiment, indeed it is almost mandatory to do 
so if you want to know where to experiment. But when the experiment has 
been done, repeatedly, and always gives the same result, acting as if 
none of that ever happened is just plain wrong. And I note that the 
Republicans are at it again with the nonsense that somehow cutting tax 
rates will increase revenue. That has been tried, repeatedly, and it 
just doesn't work that way. So at this point I can only conclude that 
the Republicans are congenital liars.



On a more serious note.  I don't know anyone who can explain electroweak
theory in plain English and be accurate.  I've tried for years to explain
parts of QM as clearly and simply as possible, and find myself going over
the heads of folks.  It's frustrating.

Yeah, that can be tough. As Feynman pointed out, the problem is that the 
universe is absurd, and we are not wired to work with absurdity. But 
economics is not that hard. Most of the difficulty comes from people who 
are trying to twist things to fit their interests. Offhand, I cannot 
imagine too many people who have a personal stake in how QM works. But 
tax policy affects everyone's wallet.


Regards,

--
Kevin B. O'Brien
zwil...@zwilnik.com
A damsel with a dulcimer in a vision once I saw.


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Re: Where to now?

2012-11-21 Thread John Williams
On Wed, Nov 21, 2012 at 7:12 AM, Kevin O'Brien zwil...@zwilnik.com wrote:

 So at this point I can only conclude that the Republicans are congenital
 liars.

You are wearing selective blinders. All politicians are liars.

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Re: Where to now?

2012-11-21 Thread Klaus Stock
 So at this point I can only conclude that the Republicans are congenital
 liars.

 You are wearing selective blinders. All politicians are liars.

But not all are congenital.

Luckily, most voters do not care if the lies are plausible or at least
delivered convincingly.

- Klaus


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Re: Where to now?

2012-11-21 Thread John Williams
On Wed, Nov 21, 2012 at 9:30 AM, Klaus Stock k...@stock-consulting.com wrote:
 So at this point I can only conclude that the Republicans are congenital
 liars.

 You are wearing selective blinders. All politicians are liars.

 But not all are congenital.

Ha!

 Luckily, most voters do not care if the lies are plausible or at least
 delivered convincingly.

I'm would not say it is lucky, but in my observation the most
effective lies are the ones where the politicians tell people exactly
what they want to hear. Plausibility is not so important.

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Politicians

2012-11-21 Thread Jon Louis Mann


 On Wed, Nov 21, 2012 Kevin O'Brien zwil...@zwilnik.com wrote:
  So at this point I can only conclude that the
 Republicans are congenital liars.

 You are wearing selective blinders. All politicians are
 liars.

 But not all are congenital.
 Luckily, most voters do not care if the lies are plausible
 or at least delivered convincingly. 
 - Klaus

 From: John Williams jwilliams4...@gmail.com
  Luckily, most voters do not care if the lies are
 plausible or at least delivered convincingly.

 I'm would not say it is lucky, but in my observation the most
 effective lies are the ones where the politicians tell people 
 what they want to hear. Plausibility is not so important. 

It is in my observation, as a politician, that MOST politicians are liars, and 
they tailor their promises for a target audience who will believe their 
rhetoric.  I am not a liar, but that is probably why I have lost the 12 times I 
have run for office!~)
Jonathan Mann

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Re: Brin-l Digest, Vol 42, Issue 16

2012-11-21 Thread Keith Henson
On Wed, Nov 21, 2012 at 11:00 AM,   Klaus Stock k...@stock-consulting.com 
wrote:

snip

 But now I wonder if we haven't already reached the goal of becoming a
 degenerate race. Progress mainly happens in marketing, not in
 research and development. And while we have a lot of hero material
 in our population, none of them is apparently able to make a
 difference.

Would you be interested in being a hero?

I can supply the program, but it's beyond me to lead it.  To old for one thing.

In short, we build one power satellite the hard way with conventional
rockets or rocket planes.  The first one is used for laser propulsion,
and that drops the price of lifting parts to GEO so far that burning
fossil fuel is more expensive than power from space.  Presumable, that
ends the use of fossil fuels.

If your are not interested do you know anyone who is?

Keith
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/L5_Society

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