Re: How many FOSS developers users Worldwide?

2007-05-12 Thread Gabriel Ambuehl
On Saturday 12 May 2007 11:07:19 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Dear Community!

 Hopefully you guys can help me. I'm trying to find the number of FOSS
 developers and users worldwide for some marketing related presentations but
 just can't seem to find any solid numbers. It would also be very
 interesting to see how this number compares to the number of developers
 worldwide.

 Does anyone have any good links they could send me?

I dont think any reliable data exists, but as far as users go, Firefox market 
share might give a lower bound that should not be too far removed from the 
truth.

However, I think you first need a definition just what constitutes a OSS user 
as technically, all OSX users use Webkit which is OSS (there are numerous 
other examples like that).

As for developers I don't really have a good idea, but you could start with 
looking at sourceforge stats maybe?


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Re: How many FOSS developers users Worldwide?

2007-05-12 Thread Dr. H. Nikolaus Schaller

One more idea:

a) count the number of registered users at Sourceforge, Freshmeat,  
GNA and some other similar facilities. Could give a rough indication  
for FOSS developers.
b) count the number of registered users at Linuxquestions could give  
an indication for the number of user.


But as said before: it needs a clear definition. Am I counted as a  
FOSS user if I use a Motorola A760?


Nikolaus Schaller


Am 12.05.2007 um 13:12 schrieb Dr. H. Nikolaus Schaller:



Am 12.05.2007 um 13:11 schrieb Dr. H. Nikolaus Schaller:


Well,
you could try to compare the participation of some OSS developer  
related events (e.g. FOSDEM) to MS Developer Conference(s) or  
Apple WWDC. Then you need the total number of (software)  
developers worldwide and a simple multiplication would give the  
result...


But this share is probably not quite reliable, since MS  Apple  
developers have to pay for but also can do so, so you count  
commercial developers who can afford travel expenses at a  
different level.


A different approach could be the total market share of MS Windows  
vs. Linux which is repoeted regularly by Gartner, IDC and others.  
I think I remember approx. 80 to 20 for Desktops+Servers. And  
assume that for large projects the number of users is the same  
split of the cake as for developers. But if you want to include  
Embedded, the picture is quite different. Would you e.g. count  
Symbian as FOSS?


So, you need a clear definition in advance what you really want to  
count.


And finally, FSF might have figures to share.

Nikolaus Schaller

Am 12.05.2007 um 11:07 schrieb [EMAIL PROTECTED]:


Dear Community!

Hopefully you guys can help me. I'm trying to find the number of  
FOSS developers
and users worldwide for some marketing related presentations but  
just can't seem
to find any solid numbers. It would also be very interesting to  
see how this

number compares to the number of developers worldwide.

Does anyone have any good links they could send me?

Thanks!

Sean


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Re: How many FOSS developers users Worldwide?

2007-05-12 Thread Gilles Casse
Le samedi 12 mai 2007 à 09:07 +, [EMAIL PROTECTED] a écrit :
 I'm trying to find the number of FOSS developers
 and users worldwide for some marketing related presentations but just can't 
 seem
 to find any solid numbers. It would also be very interesting to see how this
 number compares to the number of developers worldwide.
 

These links do not give the overall number of developers but give
interesting info though:

http://flosspols.org/deliverables.php
http://flossproject.org/papers/20060614/RishabGHOSH-gartner2.pdf


Gilles


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Re: How many FOSS developers users Worldwide?

2007-05-12 Thread Dr . H . Nikolaus Schaller


Am 12.05.2007 um 13:11 schrieb Dr. H. Nikolaus Schaller:


Well,
you could try to compare the participation of some OSS developer  
related events (e.g. FOSDEM) to MS Developer Conference(s) or Apple  
WWDC. Then you need the total number of (software) developers  
worldwide and a simple multiplication would give the result...


But this share is probably not quite reliable, since MS  Apple  
developers have to pay for but also can do so, so you count  
commercial developers who can afford travel expenses at a different  
level.


A different approach could be the total market share of MS Windows  
vs. Linux which is repoeted regularly by Gartner, IDC and others. I  
think I remember approx. 80 to 20 for Desktops+Servers. And assume  
that for large projects the number of users is the same split of  
the cake as for developers. But if you want to include Embedded,  
the picture is quite different. Would you e.g. count Symbian as FOSS?


So, you need a clear definition in advance what you really want to  
count.


And finally, FSF might have figures to share.

Nikolaus Schaller

Am 12.05.2007 um 11:07 schrieb [EMAIL PROTECTED]:


Dear Community!

Hopefully you guys can help me. I'm trying to find the number of  
FOSS developers
and users worldwide for some marketing related presentations but  
just can't seem
to find any solid numbers. It would also be very interesting to  
see how this

number compares to the number of developers worldwide.

Does anyone have any good links they could send me?

Thanks!

Sean


This message was sent using IMP, the Internet Messaging Program.

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Re: How many FOSS developers users Worldwide?

2007-05-12 Thread Alexander E Genaud

I agree, you'd have to define FOSS, developer, and user.

I've been happy to participate in FOSS-like surveys in the past,
though I've never received a copy or link to the subsequent thesis
papers (even though I've always made that the condition upon which I
would participate -- so, in that way, I felt exploited by the
open-source research). Anyway...

As a global phenomena, I believe, finding any reliable numbers would
require a massive undertaking. For example, I think you'd have to ask
a large set of questions to establish the various gray zones of usage,
particularly considering most users do not know what they use (TCP/IP
might be considered open source) nor considered things in terms of
proprietary or open (the village water pump might be open source).
Without an army of surveyors, I don't know how you could generalize
the various demographics across the globe?

Having said that, I would say, based on my definitions, there are
roughly 6.5 billion FOSS users and perhaps 650 million FOSS
developers, and maybe only 65 million who think of their actions in
those terms.

Alex
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-- Videresendt meddelelse --
From: Gabriel Ambuehl [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: community@lists.openmoko.org
Date: Sat, 12 May 2007 11:16:27 +0200
Subject: Re: How many FOSS developers  users Worldwide?
On Saturday 12 May 2007 11:07:19 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Dear Community!

 Hopefully you guys can help me. I'm trying to find the number of FOSS
 developers and users worldwide for some marketing related presentations but
 just can't seem to find any solid numbers. It would also be very
 interesting to see how this number compares to the number of developers
 worldwide.

 Does anyone have any good links they could send me?

I dont think any reliable data exists, but as far as users go, Firefox market
share might give a lower bound that should not be too far removed from the
truth.

However, I think you first need a definition just what constitutes a OSS user
as technically, all OSX users use Webkit which is OSS (there are numerous
other examples like that).

As for developers I don't really have a good idea, but you could start with
looking at sourceforge stats maybe?


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Re: How many FOSS developers users Worldwide?

2007-05-12 Thread Vincent

On 12/05/07, Dr. H. Nikolaus Schaller [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


One more idea:

a) count the number of registered users at Sourceforge, Freshmeat,
GNA and some other similar facilities. Could give a rough indication
for FOSS developers.



I'm registered at both SF.net and Gna, and I assume I'm not the only one ;)

b) count the number of registered users at Linuxquestions could give

an indication for the number of user.

But as said before: it needs a clear definition. Am I counted as a
FOSS user if I use a Motorola A760?

Nikolaus Schaller


Am 12.05.2007 um 13:12 schrieb Dr. H. Nikolaus Schaller:


 Am 12.05.2007 um 13:11 schrieb Dr. H. Nikolaus Schaller:

 Well,
 you could try to compare the participation of some OSS developer
 related events (e.g. FOSDEM) to MS Developer Conference(s) or
 Apple WWDC. Then you need the total number of (software)
 developers worldwide and a simple multiplication would give the
 result...

 But this share is probably not quite reliable, since MS  Apple
 developers have to pay for but also can do so, so you count
 commercial developers who can afford travel expenses at a
 different level.

 A different approach could be the total market share of MS Windows
 vs. Linux which is repoeted regularly by Gartner, IDC and others.
 I think I remember approx. 80 to 20 for Desktops+Servers. And
 assume that for large projects the number of users is the same
 split of the cake as for developers. But if you want to include
 Embedded, the picture is quite different. Would you e.g. count
 Symbian as FOSS?

 So, you need a clear definition in advance what you really want to
 count.

 And finally, FSF might have figures to share.

 Nikolaus Schaller

 Am 12.05.2007 um 11:07 schrieb [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

 Dear Community!

 Hopefully you guys can help me. I'm trying to find the number of
 FOSS developers
 and users worldwide for some marketing related presentations but
 just can't seem
 to find any solid numbers. It would also be very interesting to
 see how this
 number compares to the number of developers worldwide.

 Does anyone have any good links they could send me?

 Thanks!

 Sean

 
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Vincent
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Re: How many FOSS developers users Worldwide?

2007-05-12 Thread Marc Verwerft

Sean,

A good reference on open source is always David Wheeler
(http://www.dwheeler.com).
In his study of 'Why Open Source Software/ Free Software) he
references a study from 2002 regarding open source developers:
http://www.infonomics.nl/FLOSS/report/index.htm
Have a look at 'Part IV: Survey of Developers'. It might contain what
you're looking for, although it several years old already. I presume
things only got better since then :-)

Regards,

Marc Verwerft


On 5/12/07, [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

Dear Community!

Hopefully you guys can help me. I'm trying to find the number of FOSS developers
and users worldwide for some marketing related presentations but just can't seem
to find any solid numbers. It would also be very interesting to see how this
number compares to the number of developers worldwide.

Does anyone have any good links they could send me?

Thanks!

Sean


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Re: How many FOSS developers users Worldwide?

2007-05-12 Thread el jefe delito

Really, what defines a user or a developer?  I would imagine any count will
be an under-count, by some degree...
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