Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-14 Thread James A. Donald
--
On 13 Sep 2004 at 12:50, Major Variola (ret) wrote:
 When I was a teen I would save the instant-cold packs after
 soccer games, and recrystalize the AN within.  It melts and
 gives off bubbles but I never collected enough N20 nor did it
 detonate.

You need a lot of heat to detonate AN, but I have never failed
to detonate it.  Perhaps your stuff was contaminated with water
or stabilizer, or perhaps you need a better flame.


--digsig
 James A. Donald
 6YeGpsZR+nOTh/cGwvITnSR3TdzclVpR0+pr3YYQdkG
 fi2djYWevOtkRUevhH2YeK5Q2byRVZ/KV1oTz6Kw
 4wBDsSosJ6pBM+R7BpJsx2B+Bj//NSN+TD64XPR4S



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-14 Thread J.A. Terranson

On Mon, 13 Sep 2004, Bill Stewart wrote:

 The news says that North Korea's government says they were
 blowing the top off a mountain as part of hydroelectric construction.

Yes, I heard it driving home this afternoon.

Blowing up a mountain without any kind of warning (assuming that this
isn't a case of universal coverup, which it doesn't look like) is a sure
fire way to make your neighbors nervous!  Nice to know Kim has a [warped
but effective] sense of humor :-)


 They don't quote any unnamed officials saying Whoops...

If a nuke goes off a few dozen meters under a mountain, is there anyone
there to see it?  What is the sound of one mountain moving?

-- 
Yours,

J.A. Terranson
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
0xBD4A95BF

  ...justice is a duty towards those whom you love and those whom you do
  not.  And people's rights will not be harmed if the opponent speaks out
  about them.  Osama Bin Laden
- - -

  There aught to be limits to freedom!George Bush
- - -

Which one scares you more?



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-14 Thread Tyler Durden
I still think we're seeing the early stages of a Jonestown-like scenario. If 
we see Kim Jong Il summoning the entire NK population to PyongYang, then we 
can be pretty sure they're going to nuke themselves!

-TD

From: John Kelsey [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Major Variola (ret) [EMAIL PROTECTED],[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?
Date: Tue, 14 Sep 2004 09:27:32 -0400 (GMT-04:00)

From: Major Variola (ret) [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Sep 13, 2004 3:50 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?
...
AN is extremely deliquescent; perhaps the sulphate was for that?
Removing chunks with dynamite is trying rather hard for a Darwin award.
As far as I can tell from what's reported in the new, a great deal of North 
Korea's daily operation fits that category.

--John
_
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Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-14 Thread Bill Stewart

The news says that North Korea's government says they were
blowing the top off a mountain as part of hydroelectric construction.
They don't quote any unnamed officials saying Whoops...



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-14 Thread Peter Gutmann
Major Variola (ret) [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

AN is extremely deliquescent; perhaps the sulphate was for that?

No, it was specifically required as a desensitiser by the European nitrogen
cartel, since they felt the pure nitrate was too dangerous for processing into
fertiliser.

Removing chunks with dynamite is trying rather hard for a Darwin award.

As I said, at the time its explosive properties weren't known so this wasn't
unreasonable.  There are numerous stories of multi-thousand-ton ammonium
nitrate piles burning for hours without exploding (Oppau was the first time
there was any significant explosion involving it).  Even after Texas City,
there were cases of (embarrassed) firefighters watching warehouses full of
ammonium nitrate quietly burn to the ground without incident.

Peter.



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-14 Thread Major Variola (ret)
At 08:59 PM 9/13/04 -0500, J.A. Terranson wrote:
If a nuke goes off a few dozen meters under a mountain, is there anyone

there to see it?  What is the sound of one mountain moving?

You can get dust rising off the mountain ---find the video of the Paki
tests.  But not a big rising cloud.

An underground test is a few *hundred* meters below surface.
And sometimes you get a chimney of crumbled rock leading to
either a crater or a dome on the surface, depending on the
rock type; Nevada is pockmarked with them.But no big
cloud.





Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread J.A. Terranson

On Sun, 12 Sep 2004, Eugen Leitl wrote:

 http://www.muenster.org/uiw/fach/chemie/material/gif/oppau.jpg

Wow!  I had no idea ammonium nitrate (ANFO for all intents and purposes,
yes?) could produce that kind of result!  How much was there?


-- 
Yours,

J.A. Terranson
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
0xBD4A95BF

  ...justice is a duty towards those whom you love and those whom you do
  not.  And people's rights will not be harmed if the opponent speaks out
  about them.  Osama Bin Laden
- - -

  There aught to be limits to freedom!George Bush
- - -

Which one scares you more?



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread Major Variola (ret)
At 12:01 AM 9/12/04 -0500, J.A. Terranson wrote:
No big deal?  Who are they kidding?

JAT, any large explosion will create a mushroom cloud.  Its the
blast wave reflecting off the ground that lifts the thing, plus the
buoyancy of the hot gasses.

If it *were* a nuke, it would be easy to detect --from Vera
gamma-ray satellites staring at the earth to optical sensors
(there's a characteristic nonlinear time-course of optical emissions)
to fallout monitors, ground and plane based.

Time will tell, and it certainly could have been a nuke (they have
the SNMs), but if you do it, you talk about it, much like
the Indi/Pakis did.  And you can't hide a surface burst, or
even a large belowground test --and an underground test
that vents to the atmosphere doesn't make such a big cloud.

Nukepunk





Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread J.A. Terranson

No big deal?  Who are they kidding?

-- 
Yours,

J.A. Terranson
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
0xBD4A95BF

  ...justice is a duty towards those whom you love and those whom you do
  not.  And people's rights will not be harmed if the opponent speaks out
  about them.  Osama Bin Laden
- - -

  There aught to be limits to freedom!George Bush
- - -

Which one scares you more?

--

http://edition.cnn.com/2004/WORLD/asiapcf/09/11/nkorea.blast/

'Large cloud' seen over N. Korea

Sunday, September 12, 2004 Posted: 0435 GMT (1235 HKT)

SEOUL, South Korea (AP) -- A large cloud appeared over North Korea in
satellite images several days ago, but a U.S. official told CNN it is no
big deal and not the result of a nuclear explosion.

South Korea's Yonhap news agency is reporting a mushroom cloud over two
miles (4 km) wide and a massive explosion in North Korea's northernmost
province on September 9 -- the 56th anniversary of North Korea's founding.

South Korea's Unification Minister Chung Dong-young said Sunday the
government was aware of the reports and is checking them.

The U.S. official said the cloud could be the result of a forest fire.

None of North Korea's known nuclear sites are in the country's
northernmost provinces.

However, The New York Times Saturday reported that President Bush and his
top advisers recently received intelligence reports that could indicate
North Korea is preparing a nuclear test, citing senior officials with
access to the intelligence.



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread Eugen Leitl
On Sun, Sep 12, 2004 at 05:07:55PM -0500, J.A. Terranson wrote:
 On Sun, 12 Sep 2004, Eugen Leitl wrote:
 
  http://www.muenster.org/uiw/fach/chemie/material/gif/oppau.jpg
 
 Wow!  I had no idea ammonium nitrate (ANFO for all intents and purposes,
 yes?) could produce that kind of result!  How much was there?

About 4.5 kT of 50:50 ammonium nitrate/ammonium sulfate mix. One of the
largest, if not *the* largest nonnuclear explosions ever.

-- 
Eugen* Leitl a href=http://leitl.org;leitl/a
__
ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144http://www.leitl.org
8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A  7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE
http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net


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Description: PGP signature


Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread Bill Stewart
 That of course brings us full circle: how many fuels can produce a blast
 which results in a 2+ mile mushroom?  That's a *lot* of explosive force.
Blast sets off the forest fire, fire makes the smoke.  Not a problem.
Go visit Northern California in late summer firestorm season
(though we don't need fertilizer plants to start fires;
smaller accidents or stupid people can do the job just fine.)
At 03:07 PM 9/12/2004, J.A. Terranson wrote:
 http://www.muenster.org/uiw/fach/chemie/material/gif/oppau.jpg
Wow!  I had no idea ammonium nitrate (ANFO for all intents and purposes,
yes?) could produce that kind of result!  How much was there?
No FO, just AN all by itself.  NH4NO3 turns into N2 + 2H2O + O,
and the leftover O finds something productive to do,
like combine with another O into O2, or burn some nearby carbon,
and it's hot enough the H2O is gaseous also.
If you've got FO, it'll happily combine with the spare O,
producing lots of heat and speeding up the reaction.
The first earthquake-like event I experienced was when a
chemical plant across the river from where I lived blew up;
I think it was a fertilizer plant of some sort.
(I was in Delaware; the plant was in New Jersey, and it was ~1968.)
Fertilizer plants blow up real good; about the only thing better
are ammunition depots and maybe explosives plants,
and usually those are built to contain the explosion better.
(By the way, most people think of the Parthenon as an ancient ruin;
it was actually in very good shape, roof and all, until ~1850,
when the Greeks were using it as an ammunition depot during
one of their wars with the Turks and the Turks blew it up.)

Bill Stewart  [EMAIL PROTECTED] 



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread Tyler Durden
Variola wrote...
If it *were* a nuke, it would be easy to detect --from Vera
gamma-ray satellites staring at the earth to optical sensors
(there's a characteristic nonlinear time-course of optical emissions)
to fallout monitors, ground and plane based.
--and an underground test
that vents to the atmosphere doesn't make such a big cloud.
I had thought that one of the main tests was seismic...from what I 
understood, Seismic monitors in the US can detect nu-cu-lar tests (above or 
below ground) and even guess where and the size of the blast.

-TD
_
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Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread J.A. Terranson

On Sun, 12 Sep 2004, Thomas Shaddack wrote:

 On Sun, 12 Sep 2004, J.A. Terranson wrote:

  No big deal?  Who are they kidding?

 A 2-mile wide cloud is WAY too big to be caused by a single explosion,
 unless REALLY big.

Exactly.  And there aren't many things *that* big.

 The forest fire claim sounds more plausible in this
 regard. An existing cloud could be used for masking, though.

Wait a minute: since when does a forest fire create explosions?  Or have
enough ground force to push up a mushroom cloud?

 But a surface or atmospheric blast would produce a flash plowing through
 the entire EM spectrum; from long-wave radio to microwaves to hard gamma.
 That's something the satellites Up There can't miss even through a smoke
 cloud - at least if they are still operational or replaced by newer ones.

Agreed.  Except that _I_ do not have access to those sattelites, so I
don't know what it is they saw (or didn't see).

 (Remember the strong flashes of gamma bursts, originally discovered by
 satellites observing the nuclear test ban:
 http://science.nasa.gov/newhome/headlines/ast19sep97_2.htm.) Also a
 disruption of this kind would be perceivable in long range, possibly by
 quite many people.

And, lo, a *lot* of people noticed it.

 An underground blast, if not screwed up, wouldn't produce a cloud at all.

That I didn't know.


 However, both surface and underground blast would have a peculiar seismic
 signature. There is a network of both nonproliferation-surveillance and
 plain old scientific seismic stations all over the world. Something like
 that couldn't stay hidden for too long. Remember the day the the Kursk
 submarine became famous; the recording of the double signature, the
 explosion and shortly later following implosion, appeared online in couple
 days (or maybe even hours?) after the Event.

Yes, I do remember that.  I also remember everyone denying it at first.

 It's difficult to imagine a
 true nuclear blast would stay unreported for more than few days.

Agreed - we can only wait and see.  However, I do *not* expect that the
USG would want this out if it *is* a nuclear test - Shrub is facing a PR
nightmare if it is, since he is the one who pushed them into the nuclear
corner.

 Even if
 it would really be a nuke test and the politicians would want to be quiet
 about it, there are too many subjects outside of the direct US political
 control to either report the measurements or the eventual pressure to not
 report them.

 According to CNN, there was also a strong blast reported in the area of a
 missile base. We don't know how strong the blast was, and if it couldn't
 be just a conventional explosion, caused by eg. a combination of a
 forest fire and an ammo depot.

That of course brings us full circle: how many fuels can produce a blast
which results in a 2+ mile mushroom?  That's a *lot* of explosive force.

 There is also a possibility the senior officials with access to
 intelligence were injecting media with false information. Remember there
 are many subjects with different agendas here and a little psyops here and
 there is quite common.

 Let's not jump on the conclusions yet. Wait 2-3 days, optionally watch the
 traffic in conferences of geologists taking care of the seismic activity
 worldwide and in the vicinity of the area of interest. It's Saturday and
 many people who could know the answers are away from their instruments;
 let's wait what they will find on their screens on Monday morning.

Hey look here Shaddack: you're ruining a perfectly good conspiracy theory
here!  I'll have none of this well reasoned CRAP in *my* conspiracy
theory!  :-)

I, like many other, will be looking at this as it develops...  You may be
right, but, really, a *forest fire*

-- 
Yours,

J.A. Terranson
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
0xBD4A95BF

  ...justice is a duty towards those whom you love and those whom you do
  not.  And people's rights will not be harmed if the opponent speaks out
  about them.  Osama Bin Laden
- - -

  There aught to be limits to freedom!George Bush
- - -

Which one scares you more?



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread Bill Stewart
At 11:45 AM 9/12/2004, Major Variola (ret) wrote:
Time will tell, and it certainly could have been a nuke (they have
the SNMs), but if you do it, you talk about it, much like
the Indi/Pakis did.  And you can't hide a surface burst, or
even a large belowground test --and an underground test
that vents to the atmosphere doesn't make such a big cloud.
When the Israeli / South African nuke test was done,
they didn't talk about it, they pretended it hadn't happened,
and the US government, at least publicly, has continued to
pretend that we don't know that Israel has weapons of Mass Destruction.



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread Thomas Shaddack

On Sun, 12 Sep 2004, J.A. Terranson wrote:

 No big deal?  Who are they kidding?

A 2-mile wide cloud is WAY too big to be caused by a single explosion, 
unless REALLY big. The forest fire claim sounds more plausible in this 
regard. An existing cloud could be used for masking, though.

But a surface or atmospheric blast would produce a flash plowing through 
the entire EM spectrum; from long-wave radio to microwaves to hard gamma. 
That's something the satellites Up There can't miss even through a smoke 
cloud - at least if they are still operational or replaced by newer ones. 
(Remember the strong flashes of gamma bursts, originally discovered by 
satellites observing the nuclear test ban: 
http://science.nasa.gov/newhome/headlines/ast19sep97_2.htm.) Also a 
disruption of this kind would be perceivable in long range, possibly by 
quite many people.

An underground blast, if not screwed up, wouldn't produce a cloud at all.

However, both surface and underground blast would have a peculiar seismic 
signature. There is a network of both nonproliferation-surveillance and 
plain old scientific seismic stations all over the world. Something like 
that couldn't stay hidden for too long. Remember the day the the Kursk 
submarine became famous; the recording of the double signature, the 
explosion and shortly later following implosion, appeared online in couple 
days (or maybe even hours?) after the Event. It's difficult to imagine a 
true nuclear blast would stay unreported for more than few days. Even if 
it would really be a nuke test and the politicians would want to be quiet 
about it, there are too many subjects outside of the direct US political 
control to either report the measurements or the eventual pressure to not 
report them.

According to CNN, there was also a strong blast reported in the area of a 
missile base. We don't know how strong the blast was, and if it couldn't 
be just a conventional explosion, caused by eg. a combination of a 
forest fire and an ammo depot.

There is also a possibility the senior officials with access to 
intelligence were injecting media with false information. Remember there 
are many subjects with different agendas here and a little psyops here and 
there is quite common.

Let's not jump on the conclusions yet. Wait 2-3 days, optionally watch the 
traffic in conferences of geologists taking care of the seismic activity 
worldwide and in the vicinity of the area of interest. It's Saturday and 
many people who could know the answers are away from their instruments; 
let's wait what they will find on their screens on Monday morning.



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread ken
J.A. Terranson wrote:
On Sun, 12 Sep 2004, Thomas Shaddack wrote:
The forest fire claim sounds more plausible in this
regard. An existing cloud could be used for masking, though.

Wait a minute: since when does a forest fire create explosions?  Or have
enough ground force to push up a mushroom cloud?
[...]
That of course brings us full circle: how many fuels can produce a blast
which results in a 2+ mile mushroom?  That's a *lot* of explosive force.
Doesn't have to work like that. The mushroom cloud is not pushed 
up by blast, it's carried up by hot air rising, which is replaced 
by cooler air rushing in below.

There was a visible mushroom cloud at Hamburg in 1943 - I'm not 
sure but I suspect that that may have been the event that put the 
phrase into the language.

FWIW the BBC is now saying that the NKs are claiming it was a 
civil engineering explosion connected with a hydro project.

As with other list members I assume that if the explosion was 
nuclear someone would have detected EM from it immediately  
radioactive particles soon after.

And I also assume, perhaps with less justification, that at least 
some of those someones would have made the knowledge public - it 
must include at least military early warning organisation of 
China, Russia  the US, and very possibly Japan, SK, UK  maybe 
other countries as well, and also probably a number of space 
agencies and academic researchers.  Would they all conspire to 
suppress knowledge of NK nuclear explosion?

And if there was such a test, how long before China stomped all 
over them. Last thing they want is a looney dictator with nukes on 
their borders (If only to pre-empt Russia, US, or Japan 
intervening). Even if both the Chinese state capitalists and the 
North Korean absolute divine monarchy still use the locally 
redundant word Communist when describing themselves to us 
Western barbarians.

Sometimes my friend's enemy isn't my enemy's friend.


Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread J.A. Terranson

On Sun, 12 Sep 2004, Major Variola (ret) wrote:

 At 12:01 AM 9/12/04 -0500, J.A. Terranson wrote:
 No big deal?  Who are they kidding?

 JAT, any large explosion will create a mushroom cloud.  Its the
 blast wave reflecting off the ground that lifts the thing, plus the
 buoyancy of the hot gasses.

Yes, I understand all this - mushroom cloud != nuclear explosion.


 If it *were* a nuke, it would be easy to detect --from Vera
 gamma-ray satellites staring at the earth to optical sensors
 (there's a characteristic nonlinear time-course of optical emissions)
 to fallout monitors, ground and plane based.

Which _I_ do not have access to ;-)

 Time will tell,

Exactly.

 and it certainly could have been a nuke (they have
 the SNMs), but if you do it, you talk about it, much like
 the Indi/Pakis did.

If I were in Jong's slippers, I would not discuss it - I would just do it,
and let everyone draw their own [obvious] conclusion.  Remember, his
pattern has been to only discuss things (even when already obvious to
everyone else) only when _he_ felt like it.

  And you can't hide a surface burst, or
 even a large belowground test

This conflicts somewhat with a previously expressed opinion (Shaddack?).
I was under the impression that underground tests, unless performed with
very tiny nukes at very great depth, produced visible clouds from the
blast waves.

 --and an underground test
 that vents to the atmosphere doesn't make such a big cloud.

 Nukepunk


-- 
Yours,

J.A. Terranson
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
0xBD4A95BF

  ...justice is a duty towards those whom you love and those whom you do
  not.  And people's rights will not be harmed if the opponent speaks out
  about them.  Osama Bin Laden
- - -

  There aught to be limits to freedom!George Bush
- - -

Which one scares you more?



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread Dave Emery
On Sun, Sep 12, 2004 at 12:01:29AM -0500, J.A. Terranson wrote:
 No big deal?  Who are they kidding?


Has it occured to anyone this might be a covert US (or Chinese
or ) operation to destroy the PRK nuke test setup, say with cruise
missiles, stealth B2 bombers,  or a infiltrated sabotage team ?

That could produce a large explosion (but little radioactivity)...

And with obvious PRK preparations for a test far advanced (see
today's NYT) , I would think it was now or never for such a covert
attack.

Maybe that is why Dubya was completely shitfaced getting off the
helo at the WH on the way back from campaigning in Johnstown Pa this
past Thursday  ?   Too much pressure to keep that Jim Beam bottle in
the cabinet... one almost can't blame him...


-- 
   Dave Emery N1PRE,  [EMAIL PROTECTED]  DIE Consulting, Weston, Mass 02493



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread Tyler Durden
Ken Brown wrote...

And if there was such a test, how long before China stomped all over them. 
Last thing they want is a looney dictator with nukes on their borders (If 
only to pre-empt Russia, US, or Japan intervening). Even if both the 
Chinese state capitalists and the North Korean absolute divine monarchy 
still use the locally redundant word Communist when describing themselves 
to us Western barbarians.

I think this pretty much nails it. Actually, I was imagining that there was 
still enough relationship left between PRC and NK for the Chinese to say, 
Uh, a nuclear test would not be a good idea, meaning (in Chinese speak), 
No way you're gonna do that. I'm sure the Chinese at this point regard 
their relationship with NK as baggage, though I know the Chinese do 
re-patriate NK refugees, so they're at least maintaining pretenses.

-TD
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Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread Peter Gutmann
Eugen Leitl [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

About 4.5 kT of 50:50 ammonium nitrate/ammonium sulfate mix. One of the
largest, if not *the* largest nonnuclear explosions ever.

The largest man-made explosion is usually claimed to be Halifax (about 3000
tons of assorted HE's), but there are a pile of others that also count: Oppau,
Texas City, Port Chicago, Lake Denmark, Silvertown, Fauld (more explosives
involved than Halifax, but less loss of life, so Halifax seems to get all the
publicity), etc etc etc.

Peter.



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread Peter Gutmann
J.A. Terranson [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

Wow!  I had no idea ammonium nitrate (ANFO for all intents and purposes,
yes?) could produce that kind of result!  How much was there?

4,500 tons, of which only 10% detonated.

(The nitrate was desensitised with ammonium sulfate and stored outside,
whenever anyone needed any they'd drill holes and blast off chunks with
dynamite.  Ammonium nitrate has a complex chemical reaction that wasn't really
understood until after the Texas City disaster in 1947, there had previously
been fires in several bulk ammonium nitrate stores without any explosions.  At
Oppau it was assumed that amatol (a standard military explosive, ammonium
nitrate + TNT) had somehow got into the piles and that was what caused the
explosion).

Peter.



Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread Major Variola (ret)
At 06:23 PM 9/12/04 -0400, Tyler Durden wrote:
I had thought that one of the main tests was seismic...from what I
understood, Seismic monitors in the US can detect nu-cu-lar tests
(above or
below ground) and even guess where and the size of the blast.

Yes.  Seismic sensors see some foreshock activity before an earthquake
including the big ones.
A nuke starts instantly.  Standard S  P wave triangulation gives you
the location.   You can try to hide a blast (in sand; or in an excavated

void) but its tough.

At 06:50 AM 9/13/04 +0200, Eugen Leitl wrote:
About 4.5 kT of 50:50 ammonium nitrate/ammonium sulfate mix. One of the

largest, if not *the* largest nonnuclear explosions ever.

Ammonium sulphate would not have exploded.  Its the nitrate that is the
fun group.  It has an oxygen surplus, so anythign (like the rest of the
ship)
vaporized by the detonation would probaby burn.  Fuel oil is cheap;
aluminum dust is more energetic.

At 10:40 PM 9/12/04 -0700, Bill Stewart wrote:
No FO, just AN all by itself.  NH4NO3 turns into N2 + 2H2O + O,

Slow decomposition yields nitrous oxide, ie the fun oxide.
19th century chemistry.  (And anesthesiology!)

The first earthquake-like event I experienced was when a
chemical plant across the river from where I lived blew up;
I think it was a fertilizer plant of some sort.
(I was in Delaware; the plant was in New Jersey, and it was ~1968.)

The DuPont black powder  nitro plants in Delaware have three strong
walls, the weak side faces the river.  When they blow up, its much
safer.  Unless you're on
the river, of course.

The N Korean blast could have been their missiles blowing up due to
screw ups.  There's a lot of energy in the fuels.  Or it could have been

a test of their nuke-testing systems.

The media uses the phrase October surprise, if NK detonates just
before the elections.  Of course, others are working on their own
October gift to W.

When the WTC towers fell, it was something like a 3 on the Richter
scale.
Lots of gravitational energy.





Re: Forest Fire responsible for a 2.5mi *mushroom cloud*?

2004-09-13 Thread Major Variola (ret)
At 06:59 AM 9/14/04 +1200, Peter Gutmann wrote:
(The nitrate was desensitised with ammonium sulfate and stored outside,

whenever anyone needed any they'd drill holes and blast off chunks with

dynamite.

AN is extremely deliquescent; perhaps the sulphate was for that?
Removing chunks with dynamite is trying rather hard for a Darwin award.

When I was a teen I would save the instant-cold packs after soccer
games, and recrystalize the AN within.  It melts and gives off bubbles
but I never collected enough N20 nor did it detonate.