Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-31 Thread Declan McCullagh
On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 12:29:47PM -0600, Harmon Seaver wrote:
Okay, but the thread was, I believe, about the destructive effects of
 subsidy. So lets yank back that 20 billion just given to the airlines. How would
 your flight have gone then? Would there even be one?

JetBlue launched fairly recently. What percentage of that subsidy did
it receive?

Sure, you can argue that airports get government subsidies, and that
may be true, but to argue that trains are generally better for
continental-scope travel is a bit of a stretch.

-Declan




Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-31 Thread Neil Johnson
On Thursday 30 January 2003 10:12 am, Declan McCullagh wrote:
 On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 07:32:10AM -0800, Marshall Clow wrote:
  3) Train - about 17 hours - $130 round trip.

Out here in the Midwest, we have people creating committees all the time to 
encourage Amtrak to add/change routes.

As my dad says, There's a lot of people who want to take a train ride, but no 
one who wants to ride a train.

Amtrak does go through my town on it's way to/from Chicago/California. Other 
than the fact our departure was delayed SIX hours because the train was that 
late, my wife and I had a nice trip to Chicago for our one year anniversary.

I remember an article in the paper (David Barry ?) in the 80's that thought 
that Amtrak would be perfect for moving missiles around because you could 
never guess what their schedule was going to be.


-- 
Neil Johnson, N0SFH
http://www.iowatelecom.net/~njohnsn
http://www.njohnsn.com/
PGP key available on request.




Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Marshall Clow
At 8:48 AM -0600 1/30/03, Harmon Seaver wrote:
On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 12:41:17AM -0800, Bill Frantz wrote:
 At 12:04 AM -0800 1/30/03, Tim May wrote:
 Sometime I take a bus when my car needs to be repaired. From my house
 to Santa Cruz, a total of 13 miles, it takes a minimum of 80 minutes by
 bus. For a working person, ... as soon as
 they can raise the money, they buy cars. Then that 80-minute each way
 trip drops to 20 minutes. And they can go when they wish, not when the
 bus schedule permits.

  I have had one case where taking the train was a big win over driving. 
[snip]  
   Exactly. Trains are great. I currently live 80 miles from both Milwaukee and
Madison.

I recently had to travel from San Diego to San Francisco.
I investigated three options (all times are door to door)
1) Flying - about 4 hours - $95 round trip.
2) Driving - about 8 hours - $60 round trip
3) Train - about 17 hours - $130 round trip.

Help me out here - why would I take the train?
-- 
-- Marshall

Marshall Clow Idio Software   mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Hey! Who messed with my anti-paranoia shot?




Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Bill Frantz
At 12:04 AM -0800 1/30/03, Tim May wrote:
Sometime I take a bus when my car needs to be repaired. From my house
to Santa Cruz, a total of 13 miles, it takes a minimum of 80 minutes by
bus. For a working person, ... as soon as
they can raise the money, they buy cars. Then that 80-minute each way
trip drops to 20 minutes. And they can go when they wish, not when the
bus schedule permits.

I have had one case where taking the train was a big win over driving.  I
was consulting in San Francisco, about 60 miles from my home.  I found that
if I rode the train, I could work as I rode, and turn my travel time into
billable hours. I also avoided the ruinous parking charges in downtown.
Given those facts, I would have taken the train even if the ticket price
hadn't been subsidized.

Cheers - Bill


-
Bill Frantz   | Due process for all| Periwinkle -- Consulting
(408)356-8506 | used to be the Ameican | 16345 Englewood Ave.
[EMAIL PROTECTED] | way.   | Los Gatos, CA 95032, USA




Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 12:41:17AM -0800, Bill Frantz wrote:
 At 12:04 AM -0800 1/30/03, Tim May wrote:
 Sometime I take a bus when my car needs to be repaired. From my house
 to Santa Cruz, a total of 13 miles, it takes a minimum of 80 minutes by
 bus. For a working person, ... as soon as
 they can raise the money, they buy cars. Then that 80-minute each way
 trip drops to 20 minutes. And they can go when they wish, not when the
 bus schedule permits.
 
 I have had one case where taking the train was a big win over driving.  I
 was consulting in San Francisco, about 60 miles from my home.  I found that
 if I rode the train, I could work as I rode, and turn my travel time into
 billable hours. I also avoided the ruinous parking charges in downtown.
 Given those facts, I would have taken the train even if the ticket price
 hadn't been subsidized.
 
   
   Exactly. Trains are great. I currently live 80 miles from both Milwaukee and
Madison. I wouldn't dream of commuting (or moving) to either, but if a train
were available, I'd take a job in either in a flash. And I'd choose a train for
longer trips, over a plane as well -- much more comfortable, safer, no bullshit
with security, etc. I also really like what they do with buses in Portland, OR
-- they have platforms for bikes, so you can both bike and bus around the city.
Yes, there's some unpleasant folks on buses, but there are on the street as
well. 
   The fact is that if trucks hadn't received such a huge subsidy via the public
highway system, trains would be self sufficient. Same with airports for the
airlines.  


-- 
Harmon Seaver   
CyberShamanix
http://www.cybershamanix.com




Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Tim May
On Wednesday, January 29, 2003, at 11:14  PM, James A. Donald wrote:


--
On 29 Jan 2003 at 21:08, Tyler Durden wrote:

Meanwhile, regulations and governments can give some
industries a head start, particularly if a jungle already
holds a nice warm niche for the output of those industries.
Thus Sematec helped US semiconductors to roar back from the
brink of extinction,


Sematec was a boondoggle and complete failure



I discussed Sematech in my last post. It was, as James says, completely 
unnecessary. As witnessed by the fact that no significant technologies 
or methods came out of it...and as evidenced by the fact that no 
technology startups are being spun out of Sematech. It existed mainly 
as a jobs program for Texas, which was suffering in the 1980s from 
the Oil Patch downturn (the so-called neutron buildings of Houston 
being a symptom: the people are destroyed but the skyscrapers remained 
standing...the joke took on a second wind when the Enron/Dynegy/etc. 
problems hit recently).

As befitting any jobs program, now there is a Sematech II being set 
up in depressed upstate New York. All the usual pork barrellers are 
saying it's just what's needed to help terminally ill Kodak!

Do the math.

 and the buying up (and

subsequent dismantling) of lite rail systems in the LA basin
in the 30s and 40s apparently had a major impact on the
rollout of vehicles Might we have seen much better public
transportation in that area if this capitalist coup-d'etat
hadn't occurred?


Public transport received, and continues to receive enormous
subsidies.


What can be said to Tyler Durden, a made-up movie character name who 
gets his economic theory from Who Framed Roger Rabbit?

Mass transit is usually the first thing given up by those with money. 
It's a form of the demographic transition which is the same reason 
Malthus was wrong.

Sometime I take a bus when my car needs to be repaired. From my house 
to Santa Cruz, a total of 13 miles, it takes a minimum of 80 minutes by 
bus. For a working person, if their time is worth very little or if 
they just cannot raise the $500 to buy a car and the $800 a year to 
insure it, then taking the bus is their only choice. But as soon as 
they can raise the money, they buy cars. Then that 80-minute each way 
trip drops to 20 minutes. And they can go when they wish, not when the 
bus schedule permits. And they can go other places the buses don't go 
(which is nearly everywhere in nearly everyplace I have lived). And so 
on.

In some dense urban areas, or in certain grid layouts, buses make 
sense. In which case they don't need to be subsidized. But in nearly 
all places they ARE subsidized...and they are filled with drooling 
retards, the halt and the lame, kids, oldsters too feeble to drive, and 
more drooling retards.

In an area as large as LA, freeways were the only way to let people 
(with money, which was nearly everyone) get from Point A to Point B. A 
series of bus transfers would have made for 2-3 hour bus trips in each 
direction.

The Red Line was in only a stretch in the downtown, and pushing out to 
the recreational areas near the beaches. It was fine for its time, 
e.g., the 1920s, but of little use once the city expanded in all 
directions.

The newer forms of mass transit in LA are better-suited than the Roger 
Rabbitt-famed Red Line was, but are still massively subsidized and 
mostly filled with drooling retards.




The moon shots did apparently accelerate the development of
semiconductors.


No they did not.


I have written so many pieces trying to disabuse people of this notion 
about going to the moon that I cringe at the thought of writing another 
one.

The Apollo spacecraft had as its MOST ADVANCED CHIP TECHNOLOGY a 
technology called DTL, standing for diode-transistor-logic. This is 
the technology which came after RTL (resistor-transistor-logic) and 
before TTL (transistor-transistor-logic). It is the technology of circa 
1961-2, when the specs were frozen and the contracts let out.

It did absolutely nothing to push chip technology in the slightest way.

This bullshit by statists about how the moon landing helped technology 
has got to stop.

(A side note should be made here about the fact that some
technologies have a very high activation energy
barrier...without a very intensive amount of capital, they
can't happen. Indeed, aren't we nearly at that point with
sub-0.13um technology? It is possible that further advances
just won't be possible without direct or indirect government
funding.)



Utter bullshit. Intel is very far along on 90 nm, 300 mm technologies, 
none of it funded by Big Brother. You will see products based on this 
before summer.

--Tim May



Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Tim May
On Thursday, January 30, 2003, at 08:11  AM, Marshall Clow wrote:


At 9:52 AM -0600 1/30/03, Harmon Seaver wrote:

Also, you didn't factor in the subsidies. Those prices would change 
greatly if
you took away the billions given to airlines recently, and the 100 
years of
subsidies to trucks. Travel times for the trains would be much, much 
better by
now as well. Look at Japan and Europe -- trains work extremely well.

That may be true, but I have to travel in the world as it is, not the 
world as it could be.
--

This is a terribly important point, and failure to understand this 
point is the source of more disagreements than I can count.

What if everyone thought that way? (Fallacy, as my actions will NOT 
affect the choices of others, a situation most evident in the standard 
Does it make sense to vote in elections? debate.)

If we all started driving electric vehicles, think of how we could 
change the world! (Fallacy, as my choice to drive or not drive an 
electric vehicle will not affect the choices of others, at least not to 
anything more significant than fifth or sixth order.)

You didn't factor in the benefit of saving the planet. (Fallacy. 
Saving the planet depends on a lot of things. Spending more for a less 
safe vehicle so as to affect the planet by one part in 10 to the 9 is 
not wise. Plus, the alternative fuels are not all they are cracked up 
to be.)

As Marshall said, things are what they are. Each actor should act as he 
sees fit. For most of us, this means maximizing returns (maximum 
expected utility, MEU) based on local, immediate choices.

This is often called the Prisoner's Dilemma. Or greed. Or self-interest.

But what if everyone thought that way?

Then I'd be a damned fool to think otherwise, wouldn't I? (Catch-22, 
paraphrased)




--Tim May, Citizen-unit of of the once free United States
 The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the 
blood of patriots  tyrants. --Thomas Jefferson, 1787



Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread mfidelman
On Thu, 30 Jan 2003, Bill Frantz wrote:

 I have had one case where taking the train was a big win over driving.  I
 was consulting in San Francisco, about 60 miles from my home.  I found that
 if I rode the train, I could work as I rode, and turn my travel time into
 billable hours. I also avoided the ruinous parking charges in downtown.
 Given those facts, I would have taken the train even if the ticket price
 hadn't been subsidized.

My favorite has always been the overnight train from Boston to Washington
(a trip I used to take fairly often).

To make a morning meeting the choices were (are):

- leave home around 6 for an 8pm or so flight, get in late, deal with
airport transportation, stay at a hotel

- leave home REALLY early in the morning to catch the first flight out

- go into Boston, have a nice dinner, take the train leaving around 10pm,
pay for a sleeper, wake up and watch the sunrise over Chesapeak Bay, have
breakfast brought to my compartment, get into Union Station around 7am,
hop the subway (note: you can also get off at BWI airport, if you have
business north of DC)

It's a great time-saver, and the cost ends up being about the same as a
plane, plus hotel, plus cabs or a rent-a-car.




Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Marshall Clow
At 11:12 AM -0500 1/30/03, Declan McCullagh wrote:
On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 07:32:10AM -0800, Marshall Clow wrote:
  3) Train - about 17 hours - $130 round trip.
 
  Help me out here - why would I take the train?

Recently I went from DC to SF. It took about five hours of flight time
each way on JetBlue, which sells round-trip direct tickets for
$200. It was very pleasant.

I could take the train next time. Amtrak assures me that I could leave
on Jan 30 and arrive on Feb 2 -- three full days of traveling, with
switching trains in New York and Chicago. Oh, I couldn't actually
find a train to SF (Amtrak says no service), so that'll only get me
as far as LA. And it's more expensive.

And don't forget 3 days of train food, and 2 nights of sleeping
on a train.

FWIW, Amtrak goes to Oakland, and there's a shuttle bus that takes
you from the train station to the BART station, which can get
you to downtown SF ;-)

-- 
-- Marshall

Marshall Clow Idio Software   mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Hey! Who messed with my anti-paranoia shot?




Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 07:32:10AM -0800, Marshall Clow wrote:
 [snip]  
Exactly. Trains are great. I currently live 80 miles from both Milwaukee and
 Madison.
 
 I recently had to travel from San Diego to San Francisco.
 I investigated three options (all times are door to door)
   1) Flying - about 4 hours - $95 round trip.
   2) Driving - about 8 hours - $60 round trip
   3) Train - about 17 hours - $130 round trip.
 
 Help me out here - why would I take the train?

  Comfort, for one. Vastly greater comfort, no hassles with airport thugs, etc.
Also, you didn't factor in the subsidies. Those prices would change greatly if
you took away the billions given to airlines recently, and the 100 years of
subsidies to trucks. Travel times for the trains would be much, much better by
now as well. Look at Japan and Europe -- trains work extremely well.


-- 
Harmon Seaver   
CyberShamanix
http://www.cybershamanix.com




Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Marshall Clow
At 9:52 AM -0600 1/30/03, Harmon Seaver wrote:
On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 07:32:10AM -0800, Marshall Clow wrote:
 [snip] 
Exactly. Trains are great. I currently live 80 miles from both Milwaukee and
 Madison.

 I recently had to travel from San Diego to San Francisco.
 I investigated three options (all times are door to door)
  1) Flying - about 4 hours - $95 round trip.
  2) Driving - about 8 hours - $60 round trip
  3) Train - about 17 hours - $130 round trip.

 Help me out here - why would I take the train?

  Comfort, for one. Vastly greater comfort, no hassles with airport thugs, etc.

The car is better than the train for that. There were three of us in the car,
and we could stop and eat whenever we wanted - with a much bigger choice
of food than the train offers. (Mmm, Harris Ranch)
[ And since there were three of us, my share of the travel expenses was $20! ]

Look again at the times - the train is less than 1/2 the speed of driving.
I've taken that train a couple times, as an adventure. These days, I have
better things to do with my time. (Playing with my kids, for example)

Also, you didn't factor in the subsidies. Those prices would change greatly if
you took away the billions given to airlines recently, and the 100 years of
subsidies to trucks. Travel times for the trains would be much, much better by
now as well. Look at Japan and Europe -- trains work extremely well.

That may be true, but I have to travel in the world as it is, not the world as it 
could be.
-- 
-- Marshall

Marshall Clow Idio Software   mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Hey! Who messed with my anti-paranoia shot?




RE: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Trei, Peter
 Harmon Seaver[SMTP:[EMAIL PROTECTED]] wrote
 
 On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 07:32:10AM -0800, Marshall Clow wrote:
  [snip]  
 Exactly. Trains are great. I currently live 80 miles from both
 Milwaukee and
  Madison.
  
  I recently had to travel from San Diego to San Francisco.
  I investigated three options (all times are door to door)
  1) Flying - about 4 hours - $95 round trip.
  2) Driving - about 8 hours - $60 round trip
  3) Train - about 17 hours - $130 round trip.
  
  Help me out here - why would I take the train?
 
   Comfort, for one. Vastly greater comfort, no hassles with airport thugs,
 etc.
 Also, you didn't factor in the subsidies. Those prices would change
 greatly if
 you took away the billions given to airlines recently, and the 100 years
 of
 subsidies to trucks. Travel times for the trains would be much, much
 better by
 now as well. Look at Japan and Europe -- trains work extremely well.
 
 Harmon Seaver 
 
Factor in the subsidies? OK, lets start with the $20 odd billion in
subsidies 
Amtrak has burned through since its inception. Back in '97 the average 
subsidy for a Chicago to Denver passenger was $650.

Counting in subsidies, that $130 round trip is probably over to $300, most
of it from taxpayers. It would be cheaper to close down the whole system,
and give passengers free (to them) bus or air tickets.

Cites: http://www.cato.org/dailys/5-22-97.html
  http://www.publicpurpose.com/ic-amtroute.htm

Peter Trei




Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 08:11:36AM -0800, Marshall Clow wrote:
 
 Also, you didn't factor in the subsidies. Those prices would change greatly if
 you took away the billions given to airlines recently, and the 100 years of
 subsidies to trucks. Travel times for the trains would be much, much better by
 now as well. Look at Japan and Europe -- trains work extremely well.
 
 That may be true, but I have to travel in the world as it is, not the world as it 
could be.
 -- 

   Well, yes, but the thread is primarily about the destructive effects of
subsidy. Sort of fantasizing what it would be in a libertarian dream world, I
guess.



-- 
Harmon Seaver   
CyberShamanix
http://www.cybershamanix.com




Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 01:28:54PM -0500, Trei, Peter wrote:
  
 Factor in the subsidies? OK, lets start with the $20 odd billion in
 subsidies 
 Amtrak has burned through since its inception. Back in '97 the average 
 subsidy for a Chicago to Denver passenger was $650.

  Uh huh, and what about the 20 billion the airlines got in just the last year
or two? And all the billions for airports for the 70 or so years before that?

 
 Counting in subsidies, that $130 round trip is probably over to $300, most
 of it from taxpayers. It would be cheaper to close down the whole system,
 and give passengers free (to them) bus or air tickets.
 
 Cites: http://www.cato.org/dailys/5-22-97.html
   http://www.publicpurpose.com/ic-amtroute.htm
 
 Peter Trei

   Yes, and we ought to get back all the billions spent on highways for the
truckers as well. Also on the military to keep oil cheap. 


-- 
Harmon Seaver   
CyberShamanix
http://www.cybershamanix.com




Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 11:12:17AM -0500, Declan McCullagh wrote:
 On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 07:32:10AM -0800, Marshall Clow wrote:
  3) Train - about 17 hours - $130 round trip.
  
  Help me out here - why would I take the train?
 
 Recently I went from DC to SF. It took about five hours of flight time
 each way on JetBlue, which sells round-trip direct tickets for
 $200. It was very pleasant.
 
   Okay, but the thread was, I believe, about the destructive effects of
subsidy. So lets yank back that 20 billion just given to the airlines. How would
your flight have gone then? Would there even be one?
   Yes, we have to live in the world as it is, but it's a bit absurd to put down
Amtrack when the airlines have become by far the most publically funded method
of travel. 
   Amtrack, publically funded? What a joke!


-- 
Harmon Seaver   
CyberShamanix
http://www.cybershamanix.com




Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Bill Stewart
At 11:30 AM 01/30/2003 -0500, Jamie Lawrence wrote:

I lived in San Francisco for 10 years. One job I had required me to have
a car so I could get to a data center in San Jose in cases of
emergency (never happened), so I bought a cheap beater. Spent $1000 on
the car, $400 a year on insurance, and about $3000/yr on parking and
parking tickets. It was eventually stolen, and I was incredibly happy
when it was. BART is actually not bad - one can work on the ride. MUNI
is miserable, but it usually works, at least.


Depending on where you live in the city, cabs can take care of the
emergency situations, and renting a car can take care of events
that you've got more advance notice about.  On the other hand,
San Francisco (like New York) has a special program to encourage
car ownership and parking consumption, called taxi medallions,
which are designed to make sure there are never as many cabs on the street
as the market will bear.

Caltrain was a nice way to commute for the ~5 years I was going
in that direction.  As Bill Frantz said, you can work on the train,
which does make up for the hurry-up-and-wait.
Amtrak in most of the US sucks, but from NYC-NewJersey-Washington,
it works pretty well - I found it was typically about 15 minutes
slower than flying, if I got one of the express trains.





Re: Who feigned Roger Rabbit?

2003-01-30 Thread Jim Choate

On Thu, 30 Jan 2003, Tim May wrote:

 This is a terribly important point, and failure to understand this
 point is the source of more disagreements than I can count.

 What if everyone thought that way? (Fallacy, as my actions will NOT
 affect the choices of others, a situation most evident in the standard
 Does it make sense to vote in elections? debate.)

False, your actions do effect others. If you didn't believe that why write
your manifesto? Why even get up in the morning?

 If we all started driving electric vehicles, think of how we could
 change the world! (Fallacy, as my choice to drive or not drive an
 electric vehicle will not affect the choices of others, at least not to
 anything more significant than fifth or sixth order.)

Actually it will, Schilling Point, Economy of Scale, Network Effects, etc.

 You didn't factor in the benefit of saving the planet. (Fallacy.
 Saving the planet depends on a lot of things. Spending more for a less
 safe vehicle so as to affect the planet by one part in 10 to the 9 is
 not wise. Plus, the alternative fuels are not all they are cracked up
 to be.)

Every little bit helps. The fallacy in your view is that it assumes
covertly that unless you can make a big change anything else is not worth
anything. You want it all or none.

 As Marshall said, things are what they are. Each actor should act as he
 sees fit. For most of us, this means maximizing returns (maximum
 expected utility, MEU) based on local, immediate choices.

The world is as we make it. Our decisions each and every day change the
way it is. If somebody simply decides not to pull a trigger the world
changes.

 This is often called the Prisoner's Dilemma. Or greed. Or self-interest.

False Comparison.

 But what if everyone thought that way?

Then people wouldn't be people. But the hallmark of people is that they
don't see the world the same way, even when viewing the -exact same
facts-. You fail to factor in opinion, which is based =precisely- on the
way -we want the world to be ideally-.


 --


  We are all interested in the future for that is where you and I
  are going to spend the rest of our lives.

  Criswell, Plan 9 from Outer Space

  [EMAIL PROTECTED][EMAIL PROTECTED]
  www.ssz.com   www.open-forge.org