[EM] Presidential debate ordering

2007-06-03 Thread raphfrk

  [EM] Presidential debate ordering
 Gervase Lam gervase.lam at group.force9.co.uk wrote:

 However, James Green-Armytage mentioned Reciprocal Pairing on this list
 in the past.? I rediscovered it in the following web page:

 http://fc.antioch.edu/~james_green-armytage/vm/reciprocal.htm

That is interesting.? However, the objective shouldn't be to have debaters
necessarily debate who they want to debate (as you point out).

 There is one problem I have with allowing the candidates to determine
 who they should debate with.
 snip
 The first front runner realises that in a head-to-head debate, he would
 do badly against the second front runner.? Therefore, the first front
 runner does not rank the second front runner.? This means that the two
 front runners will never debate with each other.

Another option is to allow each candidate pick 2 other candidates (via 
submitting a ranking).? The top 2 other candidates would then be paired 
with him.? He would also have to debate the candidates that pick him.

The reciprocal system could be used if there is 'overflow'.? If 4 candidates
want to debate with a front runner then only 2 are allowed (excluding the 
2 the candidate picked).? I would probably break the tie based on popularity 
of the candidates rather than their own rankings.

For example, assuming candidate A is most popular, B next and so on.

A: BCF
B: CDE
C: BEF
D: BAE
E: BCA
F: BAC

Everyone wants to debate with B, B's debates partners would be:

B picks C and D, so is paired with them as they rank B number 1 too.

A,E and F want to debate B.? A and E win as they are most popular.

This results in 4 debates for each candidate, which for a large number of
candidates is much less than N*(N-1)/2.

It is still alot of debating.? In a 6 candidate field, that it 24 debates.

If the number on the panel was increased to 4, then this could be reduced.

What about something like the following process.

Panel sizes are P

Each candidate submits a ranking

The matching is then

Each candidate 'enters' the room.

A candidate may join a non-full panel.

A candidate may replace a member of a panel as long as all other members of the 
panel either
- prefer the new candidate to the old candidate
- prefer one of the remaining candidates to both the new and to be replaced 
candidate

A candidate attempts to join the panel of its favourite and works down the list 
until he gets a spot.? If he fails, he forms his own panel.

I dunno if this is guaranteed to end though.

My thoughts are that once a panel member has a candidate they want to debate 
with, they have
no further say in how the panel is made up.

 Alternatively, may be James's Debate Inclusion method could be used
 instead:

 http://fc.antioch.edu/~james_green-armytage/vm/debate.htm

Interesting too.? There could even be multiple debate panels.? The final
panel before the election might be the first panel elected.

Another issue in this whole thing is how to force the candidates to 
participate.? No candidate will agree to debate with certain candidates
who they find (or claim to find) unsavory.

I guess if a large media organisation ran it, they might be able to swing it.
Who currently runs the US presidential debates ?



 


Raphfrk

Interesting site
what if anyone could modify the laws

www.wikocracy.com


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Re: [EM] Presidential debate ordering

2007-06-02 Thread Gervase Lam
 Date: Sat, 19 May 2007 16:38:03 -0700 (PDT)
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: [EM] Presidential debate ordering

 A few days ago, we had the Republican debates on TV, and I came to the
 conclusion that having ten people on the stage at once was an unmanageable
 mess.

 What I'd like to see is one-on-one, round-robin debates. Now, we could
 pair up the candidates randomly, but where is the fun in that? What I
 thought might be interesting is to have each candidate pick the order he
 wanted to debate every other candidate, and choose the order that best
 matches the aggregate preference.

 Anyone know the best way to do something like this?

My initial idea was to have a pairwise matrix ballot that contains all
the head-to-heads between each candidate.  Each candidate then votes
Approval style for the head-to-heads (including the head-to-heads
involving the voting candidate himself).

The voting is then tallied, with the head-to-heads that are Approved by
both the involved candidates listed first and then the head-to-heads
that are Approved by only one of the involved candidates.  Ties are
broken by the total number of Approval votes the head-to-heads (i.e. the
votes from candidates not involved in the head-to-head in question are
included).

However, James Green-Armytage mentioned Reciprocal Pairing on this list
in the past.  I rediscovered it in the following web page:

http://fc.antioch.edu/~james_green-armytage/vm/reciprocal.htm

I would do an initial Reciprocal Pairing.  This would get give the
'first pairings.'  I would then remove from each candidates' ballots the
candidates they have already debated with and then repeat the Reciprocal
Pairing.

As the candidates can't really be divided into 'stationary' and 'active'
groups, I would use something more like the 'Random-Order Method' that is
mentioned.  However, to lessen the effect of the paradoxes mentioned on
the web page, I would have the candidates enter the room in a pre-
determined order.  Maybe those who have already debated with the
candidates that they most preferred would enter the room first.

Wikipedia has also got an article on this that mentions further
variations, though not with any detail:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stable_marriage_problem

There is one problem I have with allowing the candidates to determine
who they should debate with.

Suppose there are two front runners.  In a poll, the first front runner
is deemed to be the Condorcet winner.  The second front runner would be
the Condorcet winner but for the first front runner.

The first front runner realises that in a head-to-head debate, he would
do badly against the second front runner.  Therefore, the first front
runner does not rank the second front runner.  This means that the two
front runners will never debate with each other.

One way around the problem is to somehow only count the candidate's
ballot that favours the head-to-head the most.  However, you then may
get the situation that all of the other candidates rank the first front
runner top on their ballots.  That would mean that the first front
runner may never get the chance to debate with the second front runner.

Alternatively, may be James's Debate Inclusion method could be used
instead:

http://fc.antioch.edu/~james_green-armytage/vm/debate.htm

Thanks,
Gervase.



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Re: [EM] Presidential debate ordering

2007-05-22 Thread Howard Swerdfeger


[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 A few days ago, we had the Republican debates on TV, and I came to the
 conclusion that having ten people on the stage at once was an unmanageable
 mess. At thirty seconds per answer, candidates were limited to faux anger
 and soundbites, while the cheers and applause gave it a gameshow feel.
 (Well, okay, so it was better than the debate on MSNBC, where you had
 questions like What do you hate most about America?)
 
 What I'd like to see is one-on-one, round-robin debates. Now, we could
 pair up the candidates randomly, but where is the fun in that? What I
 thought might be interesting is to have each candidate pick the order he
 wanted to debate every other candidate, and choose the order that best
 matches the aggregate preference. Unfortunately, I am not certain the
 fairest way to piece together incomplete debate orders (each candidate
 would have nine debates, but the total field would have a total of 45
 debates).
 
 Anyone know the best way to do something like this? It would be similar to
 scheduling a baseball season or other sporting event, so it would seem to
 have a use beyond just debates.
 

Interesting idea. 10 people on stage is to many. but 45 pair wise 
debates it a lot for the public to watch.

Perhaps there is a good middle ground say, 4-5 people on stage at once. 
and try to make sure that each candidate faces each candidate on stage once.


 Thanks!
 
 Michael Rouse
 
 
 
 election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

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Re: [EM] Presidential debate ordering

2007-05-22 Thread Juho
On May 22, 2007, at 16:41 , Howard Swerdfeger wrote:



 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 A few days ago, we had the Republican debates on TV, and I came to  
 the
 conclusion that having ten people on the stage at once was an  
 unmanageable
 mess. At thirty seconds per answer, candidates were limited to  
 faux anger
 and soundbites, while the cheers and applause gave it a gameshow  
 feel.
 (Well, okay, so it was better than the debate on MSNBC, where you had
 questions like What do you hate most about America?)

 What I'd like to see is one-on-one, round-robin debates. Now, we  
 could
 pair up the candidates randomly, but where is the fun in that? What I
 thought might be interesting is to have each candidate pick the  
 order he
 wanted to debate every other candidate, and choose the order that  
 best
 matches the aggregate preference. Unfortunately, I am not certain the
 fairest way to piece together incomplete debate orders (each  
 candidate
 would have nine debates, but the total field would have a total of 45
 debates).

 Anyone know the best way to do something like this? It would be  
 similar to
 scheduling a baseball season or other sporting event, so it would  
 seem to
 have a use beyond just debates.


 Interesting idea. 10 people on stage is to many. but 45 pair wise
 debates it a lot for the public to watch.

 Perhaps there is a good middle ground say, 4-5 people on stage at  
 once.
 and try to make sure that each candidate faces each candidate on  
 stage once.

There could be different criteria when organizing the debates:
1) Fix the size of the debate groups
2) Arrange each candidate the same number of pairwise debates with  
other candidates (typically one with each)
3) Give each candidate same number of minutes in TV

Criterion 3 is maybe a fair criterion for politics. In addition to  
this one could fix the size of the groups (allowing some to debate in  
smaller groups could be considered an advantage). These together mean  
that in most cases we would need to violate criterion 2. Some  
candidates might meet twice. Maybe that would be no major problem.  
They would have maybe little less to talk to each others at the  
second round and they could concentrate beating the others, which  
would not be quite fair. But they could also continue their previous  
fights and balance the situation this way :-). Would this method be a  
fair method?

Juho



 Thanks!

 Michael Rouse


 
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 list info
 
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 list info





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Re: [EM] Presidential debate ordering

2007-05-22 Thread Howard Swerdfeger

 Interesting idea. 10 people on stage is to many. but 45 pair wise
 debates it a lot for the public to watch.

 Perhaps there is a good middle ground say, 4-5 people on stage at  
 once.
 and try to make sure that each candidate faces each candidate on  
 stage once.
 
 There could be different criteria when organizing the debates:
 1) Fix the size of the debate groups
 2) Arrange each candidate the same number of pairwise debates with  
 other candidates (typically one with each)
 3) Give each candidate same number of minutes in TV
 
 Criterion 3 is maybe a fair criterion for politics. In addition to  
 this one could fix the size of the groups (allowing some to debate in  
 smaller groups could be considered an advantage). These together mean  
 that in most cases we would need to violate criterion 2. Some  
 candidates might meet twice. Maybe that would be no major problem.  
 They would have maybe little less to talk to each others at the  
 second round and they could concentrate beating the others, which  
 would not be quite fair. But they could also continue their previous  
 fights and balance the situation this way :-). Would this method be a  
 fair method?

Or even better then asking if its fairis it useful?


Taking a step back:
Firstly we can ask are selves two questions.
Are debates useful? and Why?

Then we need to set out to design a debate structure to maximize the 
attributes of the debate that are useful, or abandon the debate 
structure for something else that better meets the needs of the public.

So, I do Find debates useful for 3 reasons.
1. They inform me of candidates alleged positions on the issues
2. They offer some insight on the candidates ability to think logically 
and interpret/deconstruct an opponents position.
3. They offer some insight on the charisma of a candidate

I would say debates are most useful to me personally when each 
candidates positions are clearly stated. and ample time is granted to 
each opponent to fully explain why the opponents position is wrong. It 
should offer a variety of opinions but allow me to quickly skip over 
candidates I have eliminated or issues I feel are not important.

As such perhaps the debate could be pre-recorded over several days with 
each candidate given 30 minute opening/closing statements and 10-15 
minute answers on each question. followed by a 5 minute follow up.

The marathon debate should then be Indexed for easy retrieval on the 
Internet, or other similar media.

But then that requires abandoning the traditions set in place before the 
  printing press was common place. much less computers, and the Internet.

cheers,
How

 
 Juho
 

 Thanks!

 Michael Rouse


 
 election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for  
 list info
 
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[EM] Presidential debate ordering

2007-05-19 Thread mrouse1
A few days ago, we had the Republican debates on TV, and I came to the
conclusion that having ten people on the stage at once was an unmanageable
mess. At thirty seconds per answer, candidates were limited to faux anger
and soundbites, while the cheers and applause gave it a gameshow feel.
(Well, okay, so it was better than the debate on MSNBC, where you had
questions like What do you hate most about America?)

What I'd like to see is one-on-one, round-robin debates. Now, we could
pair up the candidates randomly, but where is the fun in that? What I
thought might be interesting is to have each candidate pick the order he
wanted to debate every other candidate, and choose the order that best
matches the aggregate preference. Unfortunately, I am not certain the
fairest way to piece together incomplete debate orders (each candidate
would have nine debates, but the total field would have a total of 45
debates).

Anyone know the best way to do something like this? It would be similar to
scheduling a baseball season or other sporting event, so it would seem to
have a use beyond just debates.

Thanks!

Michael Rouse



election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info