Re: [EM] STV when applied to choosing pizza toppings

2006-11-13 Thread raphfrk



From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 Does anyone have any comments in reference to this critique of STV as

 applied to choosing three pizza toppings?  The issue is whether it's
fair 

 to transfer the surplus votes from the winners before transfering
votes 

 from the losers.




In PR-STV, the number of wasted votes is reduced to



1/(Seats+1).



In your example, there are 156 votes. This means that the number

of wasted/disenfranchised voters is at most



156/3 = 52



The cost to "buy" a seat is always one Droop quota so it is fair

to everyone. The fact that it eliminates candidates last is actually 

a good thing for them as it allows candidates receive transfers so they 

can reach the quota.



  Those 56 NAP

 members who didn't vote pepperoni first may ALL have voted (yuk)

 anchovies as their second choice



But by not doing that the mushroom and onion voters got their first choice.

I am not sure it is fair to call them disenfranchised.



The fact that STV doesn't look at later choices is considered a feature called

"later no harm". This means that ranking later candidates can never hurt

your higher choices. This allows voters give their full list without fear that

they will hurt their first choice.







Raphfrk

Interesting site
"what if anyone could modify the laws"

www.wikocracy.com







Check Out the new free AIM(R) Mail -- 2 GB of storage and industry-leading spam and email virus protection.




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Re: [EM] STV when applied to choosing pizza toppings

2006-11-13 Thread James Gilmour
 Nathan Larson asked:
 
 Does anyone have any comments in reference to this critique 
 of STV as applied to choosing three pizza toppings? The issue 
 is whether it's fair to transfer the surplus votes from the 
 winners before transferring votes from the losers. 
 

The person who wrote the comments you quoted (below) does not understand
the origins of STV-PR or understand how it is generally intended to
work.  Instead, the writer shows a classical social choice approach to
interpreting the information on the ballot papers.  But the preferences
marked on an STV-PR ballot paper should not be interpreted in that way.
Instead, they should be seen for what they are, contingency choices, to
be brought into play ONLY in the event that the voter cannot be
represented by his or her first choice candidate.  STV-PR was not
devised in an attempt to identify some great community-wide consensus
(maximising some imputed social utility).  Rather, STV-PR was devised to
ensure that each significant point of view within the electorate was
represented fairly (as expressed by the voters' responses to the
candidates who had offered themselves for election).  Originally, the
intent was to maximise the diversity of representation rather than
maximise the consensus of representation, but there has been some de
facto shift in that by changes made to the counting rules (for the
extremes, compare Dáil Éireann STV rules with Meek STV rules)..

One of the undertakings normally given to voters in any STV-PR election
is: under no circumstances can a later preference harm an earlier
preference.  This is completely consistency with the 'contingency
choice' approach to marking preferences.  Any other approach would
discourage voters from marking all the preferences they really have or,
worse, open the door to tactical voting on a large scale.

Seen from this perspective, it will be clear that it is essential to
transfer any surplus before you consider the exclusion of the
candidate(s) with fewest votes.  Where the surplus is so small that it
could not change the order of the bottom candidates, some STV counting
rules provide for the transfer to be held in abeyance, but that doesn't
alter the general principle.

James Gilmour




 ---
 What you describe would indeed work, however
 
 Suppose the second choices of the 100 winner (pepperoni) votes were
 one half for mushrooms, one half for onions. This, if I follow the
 numbers correctly, means that mushrooms and onions would win (with 40
 and 56 respectively). But look: you have completely ignored the second
 (and third) choices of the folks who didn't vote for pepperoni as
first
 place. You just disenfranchised 56 voters. Why should only the
 pepperoni-first voters be the ones who get to exercise their second
and
 (possibly) third choices? Doesn't seem fair to me! Those 56 NAP
 members who didn't vote pepperoni first may ALL have voted (yuk)
 anchovies as their second choice. Clearly that would exceed the quota
 and anchovies would have garnered MORE votes that any of the
 non-pepperoni choices. But you trashed them. For shame!
 
 With smaller numbers the problems become more apparent. I am taking
the
 liberty of e-mailing you directly the essay I did some years ago.
 Enjoy! Meanwhile I'll think about constructing a counter example where
 there is no choice but an arbitrary choice (following your rules) that
 causes a different outcome.
 
 But not tonight. Too late.
 
 
 John
 
 John D. Stackpole, CPP, PRP Voice: 301.292.9479
 Parliamentary Services Fax: 301.292.9527
 11 Battersea Ln. [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Ft. Washington, MD 20744-7203


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Re: [EM] STV when applied to choosing pizza toppings

2006-11-13 Thread James Gilmour
Jonathan Lundell  Sent: 13 November 2006 16:27
 At 11:37 AM + 11/13/06, James Gilmour wrote:
 Rather, STV-PR was devised to
 ensure that each significant point of view within the electorate was
 represented fairly (as expressed by the voters' responses to the
 candidates who had offered themselves for election).  Originally, the
 intent was to maximise the diversity of representation rather than
 maximise the consensus of representation, but there has been some de
 facto shift in that by changes made to the counting rules (for the
 extremes, compare Dáil Éireann STV rules with Meek STV rules)..
 
 Would you elaborate, please, on what you mean by 
 diversity vs. consensus of representation, and how 
 Meek maximizes the latter over the former? Or 
 point me to something I should be reading?

This analysis of 'diversity vs. consensus' has not been written up
anywhere, but it is on my to do list, as an article for 'Voting
matters'.  Meantime I have copied the text from a post last March to
another list in which I was concentrating on how consequential surpluses
are transferred, and have added a bit at the end.

There are currently five different methods (of transferring
consequential surpluses) for use in STV-PR elections (leaving aside the
Cambridge, MA, rules which have their own peculiarities).

In the Dáil Éireann rules the surplus votes are carried as integer votes
on the appropriate number of ballot papers (each ballot paper of value 1
vote).  These ballot papers are selected only from the last parcel
received by the newly elected candidate, i.e. from the parcel that
created the surplus.  To minimise chance effects, the last parcel is
sorted into sub-parcels according the next available preferences
(candidates not yet elected) and a due proportion of ballot papers is
then taken from each sub-parcel.  This process inevitably involves an
element of chance that may or may not affect the outcome of the
election.

To eliminate the element of chance, ballot papers can be transferred at
fractional values, as suggested by Gregory in Australia in 1880; hence
this is known as the Gregory Method (GM).  All the papers in the last
parcel received are sorted according to next available preferences.  Any
that are non-transferable are set aside and the votes carried on those
papers are retained as part of the newly elected candidate's quota.  If
the total value of the transferable papers does not exceed the surplus,
the papers are transferred at their current value.  If the total value
of the transferable papers exceeds the surplus, the value of each paper
(all of one value) is reduced: the new transfer value of each ballot
paper equals the surplus divided by the number of transferable papers.

Some consider that taking only the last parcel received as inherently
unfair or defective or just a shortcut for manual counting and so
have devised methods to transfer ALL of a candidates ballot papers when
that candidate is elected with a surplus. These are the inclusive
methods of handling consequential surpluses.

The Inclusive Gregory Method (IGM) is used in the STV-PR elections to
the Australian Federal Senate and to some Australian State legislatures.
In this method, all of the ballot papers of a newly elected candidate
are sorted according to the next available preference and an AVERAGE
transfer value is calculated by dividing the surplus by the total number
of ballot papers then held by the newly elected candidate.
Non-transferable papers are set aside as non-transferable, taking with
them the proportionate share of the surplus.  This method (IGM) is
fundamentally flawed and should never be used because the process of
calculating an average transfer value for all ballot papers has the
effect of INCREASING the total contribution of some ballot papers to
more than 1 vote, and correspondingly decreasing the contribution of
some other ballot papers to less than 1 vote.  This violates the
principle of one person, one vote and should have been declared
unconstitutional.

The Weighted Inclusive Gregory Method (WIGM) overcomes the defect in IGM
described immediate above.  In this method, all of the ballot papers of
the newly elected candidate are sorted according to the next available
preference.  A 'surplus fraction' is first calculated: the 'surplus
fraction' equals the surplus divided by the candidate's total present
vote.  Then the 'continuing transfer value' of each paper is calculated:
equals the current value of the ballot paper multiplied by the surplus
fraction. Non-transferable papers are set aside as non-transferable,
taking with them the proportionate share of the surplus.  This method
ensures that each ballot paper contributes in total 1 vote to the
election.  WIGM has not yet been implemented for public elections
anywhere in the world.  It was proposed for STV-PR elections to the
Western Australia Legislature, but the Electoral Reform Bill was
withdrawn (for reasons not related at all to WIGM) - since

[EM] STV when applied to choosing pizza toppings

2006-11-12 Thread Nathan Larson
Does anyone have any comments in reference to this critique of STV as applied to choosing three pizza toppings? The issue is whether it's fair to transfer the surplus votes from the winners before transfering votes from the losers.
---What you describe would indeed work, however

Suppose the second choices of the 100 winner (pepperoni) votes were
one half for mushrooms, one half for onions. This, if I follow the
numbers correctly, means that mushrooms and onions would win (with 40
and 56 respectively). But look: you have completely ignored the second
(and third) choices of the folks who didn't vote for pepperoni as first
place. You just disenfranchised 56 voters. Why should only the
pepperoni-first voters be the ones who get to exercise their second and
(possibly) third choices? Doesn't seem fair to me! Those 56 NAP
members who didn't vote pepperoni first may ALL have voted (yuk)
anchovies as their second choice. Clearly that would exceed the quota
and anchovies would have garnered MORE votes that any of the
non-pepperoni choices. But you trashed them. For shame!

With smaller numbers the problems become more apparent. I am taking the
liberty of e-mailing you directly the essay I did some years ago.
Enjoy! Meanwhile I'll think about constructing a counter example where
there is no choice but an arbitrary choice (following your rules) that
causes a different outcome.

But not tonight. Too late.


John

John D. Stackpole, CPP, PRP Voice: 301.292.9479
Parliamentary Services Fax: 301.292.9527
11 Battersea Ln. 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Ft. Washington, MD 20744-7203



Nathan Larson wrote:

 Here is an example to illustrate how surplus votes would be transfered
 proportionately under STV. Suppose a state's NAP convention wants to
 order an extremely large pizza, but the coupon only allows three
 toppings. In accordance with the bylaws, everyone submits their
 preferential ballots and the tabulation is conducted using STV. The
 first choices are as follows:

 Pepperoni: 100 votes
 Onions: 26 votes
 Green peppers: 20 votes
 Mushrooms: 10 votes
 Anchovies: 0 votes

 The Droop quota is [Votes / (Toppings + 1) + 1], which simplifies to
 [156 / (3 + 1)] + 1, or 40.

 Pepperoni, with 100 votes, meets the 40-vote quota, so it is declared
 elected, and there are 60 surplus votes. Suppose that for the 100
 voters who picked pepperoni as their first choice, their second
 choices were as follows:

 Mushrooms: 50 second-choice votes
 Onions: 25 second-choice votes
 Anchovies: 25 second-choice votes

 The 60 surplus votes for pepperoni would be distributed
 proportionately, as follows:

 Mushrooms: +30 votes (50% of 60)
 Onions: +15 votes (25% of 60)
 Anchovies: +15 votes (25% of 60)

 The standings would then be as follows:

 Pepperoni: 40 votes (elected)
 Onions: 26 + 15 = 41 votes (elected)
 Green peppers: 20 votes
 Mushrooms: 10 + 30 = 40 votes (elected)
 Anchovies: 0 + 15 = 15 votes

 The decision, then, would be to buy a pizza with pepperoni, onions,
 and mushrooms. The surplus votes were transfered taking into account
 the second choices of everyone who chose pepperoni as their first choice.
-- Nathan Larson, CPA(H) 540-788-4945(C) 703-298-3838

-- Nathan Larson, CPA(H) 540-788-4945(C) 703-298-3838

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