[EM] voting reform effort in DENVER - PLEASE HELP

2006-06-11 Thread Jan Kok
Denver city councilwoman Kathleen MacKenzie is leading an effort to
get rid of their Plurality + delayed runoff election method, used for
electing city council members and a few other city officers, and
replacing it with IRV.  10 days ago I attended a meeting of that
group. There were about 12 people attending. At the moment, I'd say
there is about a 50% chance that they will be successful in enacting
some change.

I would like for Denver to adopt something better than plain old IRV.
Everyone attending the meeting except me was only supporting IRV. I
spoke for a total of maybe 5 minutes about other methods (mainly
approval) and they listened politely, but weren't much interested in
changing course.

I posted a message to their mailing list mainly pointing out some of
the problems with IRV, and briefly mentioning a few alternatives. Rob
Richie of Center of Voting and Democracy replied, and has posted
several other messages promoting IRV (although he says ideally he
would prefer proportional representation for the city council) and
generally helping the reform effort, for example, he posted a message
about voting machines and IRV.

I think a victory for IRV in Denver would be a step SIDEways for
voting reform in general. Yes, IRV is better than Plurality + delayed
top-two runoff. Yes, a victory for IRV would get the issue of voting
reform a little more into the public consciousness; certainly CVD
would use its resources to publicize it. The problem is that it could
entrench IRV even more firmly as the only alternative voting method
that anyone ever talks about or seriously considers as a replacement
for existing Plurality elections. US Rep Jesse Jackson's IRV bill
might get passed, and it might be impossible to change after that.

I think we need to get other methods into use - several of them. Let's
not get stuck with just one!

In any case, if you would like to influence the course of voting
reform in Denver,

HERE ARE SOME WAYS YOU CAN HELP:

1. Get on the irv-l mailing list, by signing up at www.irvdenver.org .
When I did that, it took several hours before I got a confirmation
message, so please go sign up NOW.

2. If you know anyone in Denver that might be willing to help, even if
it is just to lend their name in support, please contact them and ask
them to sign up.

3. Read the IRV Overview at www.irvdenver.org/docs/overview.pdf which
explains the Denver situation.

4. When you get onto the irv-l list, read some of the archive
messages. I posted a message about problems with IRV. I'll post (as
soon as I can) a comparison of IRV and Approval. Kathleen MacKenzie
has posted some time line and other info.

5. Post a message to irv-l saying what course of action you think they
should take, or which method(s) you support. If the message is brief,
you can just send it to me, and I will consolidate whatever messages I
get in the next few days and post them to the irv-l list as one
message. NOTE: most of the people on the irv-l list are political
activists, not mathematicians. Most are not very familiar with methods
other than IRV. Please don't get too technical with them.

That's all I can think of at the moment. Here are several alternative
voting methods that I think may be viable:

1. Proportional Representation. Rob Richie prefers it, several others
favor it, I fully support it (though I haven't studied it in any
depth), Gary Swing (a Coloradoan who has some expertise in PR)
supports it... Where there's a will, there's a way... By the way,
resistance to change from incumbent council members could be reduced
by merging districts into one common PR district when the incumbent
doesn't run for re-election, or loses an election.

1a. Asset Voting (which could be done with a Range Voting ballot -
just normalize...), or Fractional Approval Asset Voting (which can be
done with an Approval Voting style ballot).
http://math.temple.edu/~wds/homepage/multiwin.pdf . I'll mention this
to Rob Richie and the irv-l list as a SIMPLER way to achieve PR than
STV. Who knows, if Rob really wants PR but has been holding back
because he thinks STV is too complicated, maybe he will take an
interest in some version of Asset Voting.

1b. I just noticed this paper as well...
http://math.temple.edu/~wds/homepage/rerange.pdf - Reweighted Range
Voting. I'll need to read it before deciding whether to recommend it.

2. Approval Voting. It's as simple as it gets! Many voters may not
even notice the change. Because this is the simplest, cheapest change
(other than reverting to straight Plurality), I think this is equal or
better than IRV in viability.

2a. AV+. If people object to giving an identical vote to their
favorite and the lesser evil, we could propose AV+, which allows
voters to mark a candidate as Favorite, Approved, or nothing
(disapproved). Favorite and Approved votes are counted and reported
separately, but are added together for determining the winner. Any
existing voting machines can count AV+ ballots, and make sure that

Re: [EM] voting reform effort in DENVER - PLEASE HELP

2006-06-11 Thread raphfrk
Jan Kok [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

I think a victory for IRV in Denver would be a step SIDEways for
voting reform in general. Yes, IRV is better than Plurality + delayed
top-two runoff. Yes, a victory for IRV would get the issue of voting
reform a little more into the public consciousness; certainly CVD
would use its resources to publicize it.

It is a pretty general problem.  Even if everyone agrees there
is a problem, they might not be able to decide on a solution.

What about suggesting something like letting the voters decide on
a district by district basis.

Every election the voters would be asked what voting method they
want to use for the next election.

You are sorta back to where you started as you need to find a way
to decide on the voting system to use for the vote system vote.
However, plurity would not be quite so bad as a method to choose
the voting method as long as all that is being voted on is the
voting method.  Also, one of the options would have to be be no
change.

I think AV supporters would vote for IRV if it was one of the
top 2 methods as at the next vote choice vote, AV and IRV
could be the top 2 methods.

Separating out the choice of voting method from the choice of
government allows people to make a better choice for the voting
method and thus a better choice for government.

Districts which want to be part of PR-STV would be merged (though
still count as separate for choosing the voting method) and
Districts that want to be single seat staying as a single seat
district.

As an alternative, Mike Ossipoff made a suggestion for how to
handle a vote when you can't agree on voting procedure:

http://www.barnsdle.demon.co.uk/vote/noagree.html

However, that is likely not necessary as any voting system should
work reasonably here.  Also, there might be specific tactical
effects of such a hybrid voting system.

The problem is that it could
entrench IRV even more firmly as the only alternative voting method
that anyone ever talks about or seriously considers as a replacement
for existing Plurality elections. US Rep Jesse Jackson's IRV bill
might get passed, and it might be impossible to change after that.

Right.  However, the real problem is that it is hard to change the 
voting
system as the current winners are exactly the people who do best under
the current (no matter which) system.

The is an arguement that Labour (UK) are waiting until they are going
to lose an upcomming election before they change the voting system.  
Then
they benefit from the modified one.  (It is currently plurity in the
UK).  I am not sure how true that is, but I can imagine it being
considered.

1. Proportional Representation. Rob Richie prefers it, several others
favor it, I fully support it (though I haven't studied it in any
depth), Gary Swing (a Coloradoan who has some expertise in PR)
supports it... Where there's a will, there's a way... By the way,
resistance to change from incumbent council members could be reduced
by merging districts into one common PR district when the incumbent
doesn't run for re-election, or loses an election.

That is a really good idea about the incumbents.  Maybe when allowing
the voters to choose the voting system, make a rule so that changes
only take effect when the current incumbent loses/resigns/retires.

(or say 50% of the incumbents in a multi seat district).
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Re: [EM] voting reform effort in DENVER - PLEASE HELP

2006-06-11 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax
I've removed the Approval Voting address from the To: header since 
I'm banned there. Jan can forward this if he thinks it relevant to that list.

At 08:24 AM 6/11/2006, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Right.  However, the real problem is that it is hard to change the
voting
system as the current winners are exactly the people who do best under
the current (no matter which) system.

This is the persistence of inequities effect that I've described so 
many times. If a structural characteristic gives excess power to some 
faction (incumbents in this case), that faction will resist change, 
and since the characteristic gives them excess power This is not 
necessarily a matter of greed for power. People who are in positions 
of excess authority often believe that this is quite proper and 
necessary for the benefit of society. They might even be right, under 
some circumstances.

It was proposed that any electoral change take place when incumbents 
resign or are otherwise no longer running. However, were I an 
incumbent, I wouldn't touch that with a ten-foot pole. Why? Well, 
come the next election, if I had supported this, it *would* be raised 
that I protected my own position at the expense of democracy. After 
all, if it is a good idea for the future, why not now? No, I would 
argue against the reform. Unless I believed in it, in which case I'd 
support it from the beginning.

There is a better way. Focus on situations for reform where there is 
a majority failure, where third parties are actually spoiling 
elections, or would if they ran candidates. Under these conditions, a 
coalition of the third parties with the losing major party could have 
a majority and could be able to push through reform. It would be in 
their collective interest.

This requires organizing outside the parties, that is, there must be 
some metastructure which could coordinate the efforts of the 
individual parties, which might otherwise not be on particularly good 
speaking terms

CVD is a small group of people with some money. They made their 
strategic decision to support IRV, and they are utterly uninterested 
in democratic process when it comes to making strategic or tactical 
decisions. This is, in fact, typical of far too many democratic 
reform organizations. Democracy is good for public elections, they 
will say, but behind this is often simple self-interest. They don't 
like the present outcomes of public elections. If they really 
believed in democracy, they would apply it to their own process. But 
they *don't* believe in democracy, unless it produces the results 
they desire. They fear that democracy is a messy and inefficient 
process, and that it is unworkable, essentially. They only tolerate it.

I think differently. I believe that the central problem of democracy 
is that efficient democratic structures exist, both in practice and 
even more in theory, but there is no general knowledge about this. 
We, including social scientists in general, are blinded by the status 
quo. The more sophisticated among us know that direct democracy works 
quite well in small groups, but then we assume that because it is 
known to break down in large groups, for well-known reasons, there is 
no satisfactory method of extending the benefits of direct democracy 
to large constituencies, so we must compromise on electoral 
representative democracy in spite of its severe limitations and the 
fact that it was long considered not to be democracy at all. 
Democracy is the worst form of government except for all the 
others. This famous quotation from Winston Churchill assumes that 
democracy is electoral democracy, it is what Churchill knew. One 
living in a small town, say, under 1000 people, with Town Meeting 
government, would never say this.

We will have serious election reform when we reform the process by 
which we attempt to gain it. We will have true democracy when we have 
true democracy in the voluntary organizations we create and 
participate in. It starts with us. Instead, we organize 
undemocratically and attempt to get others to reform.

Sometimes we are successful, but somehow the reform doesn't 
accomplish the desired goals. It is not surprising. We are trying to 
scrub a dirty blanket with a piece of coal.

There are solutions to the problem of scale in democracy, and we do 
not need to change the laws to implement them. If we implement them, 
legal reforms, if they are still needed, will be almost trivial.

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Re: [EM] voting reform effort in DENVER - PLEASE HELP

2006-06-11 Thread Chris Benham
Jan Kok wrote:


I would like for Denver to adopt something better than plain old IRV.
  

Looking at the link, I was glad to see that they were proposing to 
implement IRV properly,
and not some abomination like automated Top-Two Runoff (TTR) or not 
allowing full ranking.


1. Proportional Representation. Rob Richie prefers it, several others
favor it, I fully support it (though I haven't studied it in any
depth), Gary Swing (a Coloradoan who has some expertise in PR)
supports it... Where there's a will, there's a way... By the way,
resistance to change from incumbent council members could be reduced
by merging districts into one common PR district when the incumbent
doesn't run for re-election, or loses an election.

1a. Asset Voting (which could be done with a Range Voting ballot -
just normalize...), or Fractional Approval Asset Voting (which can be
done with an Approval Voting style ballot).
http://math.temple.edu/~wds/homepage/multiwin.pdf . I'll mention this
to Rob Richie and the irv-l list as a SIMPLER way to achieve PR than
STV. Who knows, if Rob really wants PR but has been holding back
because he thinks STV is too complicated, maybe he will take an
interest in some version of Asset Voting.

1b. I just noticed this paper as well...
http://math.temple.edu/~wds/homepage/rerange.pdf - Reweighted Range
Voting. I'll need to read it before deciding whether to recommend it.

2. Approval Voting. It's as simple as it gets! Many voters may not
even notice the change. Because this is the simplest, cheapest change
(other than reverting to straight Plurality), I think this is equal or
better than IRV in viability.

2a. AV+. If people object to giving an identical vote to their
favorite and the lesser evil, we could propose AV+, which allows
voters to mark a candidate as Favorite, Approved, or nothing
(disapproved). Favorite and Approved votes are counted and reported
separately, but are added together for determining the winner. Any
existing voting machines can count AV+ ballots, and make sure that
voters don't mark a candidate as both Favorite and Approved.

2b. AV+PW (pairwise) An Abd Lomax invention, I think. Is this
Condorcet with equal rankings allowed and three levels (favorite,
approved and nothing)? If so, isn't there the possibility of circular
ties? If so, what is the completion method? Is there a simple way to
describe the method that ordinary people can grok? This method
probably requires the voting machines to store and send ballot images,
so it can't be done with primitive voting machines, but it should be
doable on voting machines that can handle IRV.

3. IRV/AV hybrid. (Thanks to Abd Lomax for bringing this idea to my
attention.) Use ranked ballots with equal rankings allowed. A ballot
like A=BC=D contributes one vote to A and one vote to B as long as
either A or B survives, then contributes one vote to C and one vote to
D as long as either of them survive. In each round, eliminate the
candidate with the fewest votes. If someone sees something horribly
wrong with this method, please say so on the EM list, before I
embarrass myself on the irv-l list by proposing this.

4. BTR-IRV (equivalent to Condorcet with Plurality completion). A
candidate is lowest ranked on a given ballot if he is mentioned in
last place among all surviving candidates, or he is not mentioned at
all on the ballot. In each round, eliminate the candidate who is
lowest ranked on the most ballots, until there is just one survivor.
(I've stated that a bit differently than before, but I think it's
equivalent, right? And there is a reasonably simple hand counting
procedure: count up the number of mentions of each candidate on all
the ballots, eliminating duplicate mentions on any ballot, and
subtract that from the number of ballots, to obtain the number of
ballots that don't mention each candidate. Then sort the ballots
according to last choices. In each round, eliminate the candidate who
is lowest ranked on the most ballots, and redistribute the ballots to
the last surviving choices.)

5. BTR-IRV/AV hybrid (The mongrel method? :-) It's tempting to think
this is equivalent to Condorcet with Approval completion, but I'm not
sure it is. This needs more thought... Would the counting procedure
given above for BTR-IRV work here and do the right thing?


  

The only alternative on this list that I agree is really better than IRV 
is PR

Elections should be decided directly by the votes of voters, and as far 
as practicably possible all voters
should have equal/power weight  in this process.  So I reject Asset 
Voting. Candidates should not be
super-voters.
Approval Voting doesn't  meet Majority for Solid Coalitions and is 
vulnerable to disinformation.

The one you give as IRV/AV hybrid  is  ER-IRV(whole) and in my view is 
far worse than standard
IRV because it is much more vulnerable to paradoxical Pushover-like 
strategy, as I pointed out with
an an example here a while ago.

I suggest  that if  you are looking for good 

Re: [EM] voting reform effort in DENVER - PLEASE HELP

2006-06-11 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax
Once again, this message is sent to a series of lists, including the 
Approval Voting list, where I'm banned. I've deleted that from the 
series, Mr. Kok can forward it if he thinks it relevant.

At 12:09 PM 6/11/2006, Chris Benham wrote:
Elections should be decided directly by the votes of voters, and as far
as practicably possible all voters
should have equal/power weight  in this process.  So I reject Asset
Voting.

All voters have equal/power weight under Asset Voting. Indeed, I 
could easily argue that nearly other method fails this to some 
degree. This is because of wasted votes, votes which did not choose a 
winner. Asset allows these votes to be recast deliberately and in 
consideration of the electoral context, by someone much more likely 
to be familiar with the consequences, and able to use the voter's 
power in negotiations, so much less voter power is wasted, if any.

  Candidates should not be
super-voters.

What if voters want to assign this power to candidates? 
Fundamentally, the position expressed here is that voters are not to 
be allowed this freedom.

Were it not prohibited, it would be a common-law right. It is quite 
clear that the prohibition of voluntary amalgamation of votes by 
voters is the major restraint preventing true democracy from existing 
outside of small groups.

Mr. Benham has not stated why vote delegation should not be 
permitted. Note that, ultimately, power *is* delegated, with any 
election method. To the winner or winners of the election. So why not 
during the election process itself?

If voters are to have equal power, literally, with no exceptions, 
then the only system that meets this requirement is Direct Democracy. 
As soon as you have representative democracy, you have effectively 
concentrated voting power into elected representatives. This is 
disguised when the system elects a peer assembly, since it seems that 
in that assembly all members have equal voting power. But this is 
only just when members have equal constituencies. If members have 
unequal constituencies, it would be more just if they had unequal voting power.

And if we are going to be concerned about the inequity of unequal 
constituencies, we should be concerned about the even more 
inequitable situation of comparing one representative, elected by 
unanimity, with another, elected by a mere majority or even a mere 
plurality. It is this inequity which allows under some conditions a 
minority party to control the assembly. It is this inequity which so 
famously can result in a President elected while getting a minority 
of the popular vote.

All this would disappear with proxy voting; Asset Voting is really 
proxy voting designed to create a peer assembly, when used multiwinner.

The alternatives that I've seen, the ones that Mr. Benham apparently 
supports, result in wasted votes and effectively disenfranchised voters.

Approval Voting doesn't  meet Majority for Solid Coalitions and is
vulnerable to disinformation.

As if any election method is not vulnerable to disinformation! Asset 
Voting, in fact, is the least vulnerable, since votes end up being 
ultimately distributed according to the decisions of trusted 
candidates who have better access to information than the general 
voter. With Asset Voting, a voter need make no strategic decisions; 
it is enough to find a single candidate that one trusts; but Asset 
also allows voters to distribute the trust among a set of candidates.


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Re: [EM] voting reform effort in DENVER - PLEASE HELP

2006-06-11 Thread Brian Olson
The approach I'm taking is to write all the good methods into law and  
allow the election official in charge (secretary of state, county  
clerk, etc) to pick from an approved method.

I've been writing something up sorta in the format of California Law  
which I think is almost ready and I plan to send to my state  
legislators this week.

http://bolson.org/voting/law/ElectionSystemsCode.html

Comments on that are welcome, and if we have boilerplate legalese-ish  
specifications of election methods that might help them be good to go  
wherever the law needs to be changed.

I'm promoting these methods in what I've written up so far:
Approval Voting
Yes/No Vote (for initiatives, judge retention, etc. Anything single- 
issue yes or no.)
Instant Runoff Normalized Ratings (because it's my baby)
Instant Runoff Voting (because IRVists will demand it)
Virtual Round Robin Tournament (aka Condorcet. with CSSD)
Single Transferrable Vote (with droop quota and meek reweighting. for  
multi-seat elections)

Brian Olson
http://bolson.org/



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Re: [EM] voting reform effort in DENVER - PLEASE HELP

2006-06-11 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax
At 03:45 PM 6/11/2006, Chris Benham wrote:
That assumes that the interests and/or preferences of voters are 
identical to the candidates they
vote for.

This is an argument against representative democracy, isn't it?

Mr. Benham is assuming, first of all, that candidates in an Asset 
Voting situation would be the same kind of candidates as we have 
today. In prior discussions of Asset, it has been pointed out that we 
would probably see *many* more candidates, so many that ballot design 
could become an issue. In Asset, as I'd implement it, one does not 
have to be a candidate to be elected. Candidates in Asset are 
really candidates for the position of elector; and they *may* elect 
themselves, or another candidate, or anyone eligible for the office.

The interests and preferences of voters are certainly not identical 
to that of anyone other than the voter. But they could be similar, 
and under Asset, the voters could vote for the candidate who they 
believe will most closely represent their interests. I've entered 
this discussion many times. I don't expect politicians to advance my 
personal interests. I expect them to consider the interests and 
welfare of the whole society and to come to their best judgement and 
decision regarding it. I assume that they will be, as professionals 
dedicated to the job, generally better informed than I. Surely 
information can shift preferences.

However, I do expect them to *listen*. And it could be that I know 
something they have overlooked. When a good politician has a large 
constituency, he or she will prudently have good staff to filter 
communication. Good is the key word here. It means staff that is 
trustworthy and knowledgeable enough to recognize new information 
from what is redundant


What if voters want to assign this power to candidates?
And what if they don't?

Then they vote for a candidate who thinks like them, who will not 
reassign their vote. Of course, that would be a weak action, when 
other voters can take stronger action. However, remember 
candidate-list? Some candidates could publish their preference order. 
It is even possible that preference order could be written into the 
law; that is, a candidate who publishes such an order would be 
constrained to follow it, until it was exhausted.

Fundamentally, the position expressed here is that voters are not 
to be allowed this freedom.

No, the shoe is on the other foot.

Mr. Benham is clearly arguing that votes should not be delegable. The 
only reason we don't clearly see this immediately as a loss of power 
for the voters is that we are accustomed to it. We are almost 
universally disempowered in this way. Has it ever occurred to us that 
people of wealth delegate authority when they can? If vote delegation 
is a bad idea, why is it universal in business? After all, the 
interests of proxies are not identical to the interests of the 
shareholders they represent.

But proxies attempt to serve the shareholders they represent, if they 
are worthy of the position. The same is true of politicians. Voters 
can choose the politicians who accomplish this the best. And they do. 
But this same process is not allowed to take place in public 
elections (it does take place in corporate elections). Why?

I have *never* seen a cogent explanation. It's like Approval Voting. 
Overvoting is prohibited, almost universally. Why?

Mr. Benham has not stated why vote delegation should not be permitted.
Because that is a completely different issue.

I must be confused. He argued against asset because it allows votes 
to be delegated to candidates. There is nothing in Asset that 
restricts candidates to those who will actually serve in the 
office. Indeed, Asset allows *all* candidates who receive votes to 
serve a function; they are, quite precisely, electors.

Note that, ultimately, power *is* delegated, with any election 
method. To the winner or winners of the election. So why not during 
the election process itself?

That doesn't make any sense at all.

To Mr. Benham. He's right in that sense.

   The voters have little power, occasionally getting to elect
representatives/office holders with no (or next- to- no) control 
over them between elections.
The power to choose these office-holders  (directly, by their votes) 
is obviously greater than
the power to choose who chooses.

It may be obvious to Mr. Benham, but it is not obvious to me, and, 
indeed, it is incorrect. The power to choose who chooses is greater, 
in general, than the power to choose. The power to choose, to be real 
power, is dependent on many factors that are quite often absent. 
Deliberative process is required for genuine choice to be exercised.

Asset can be used single-winner, and vote delegation is only relevant 
when a candidate does not gain a majority. If a majority of voters 
choose a candidate, that candidate wins, quite simply. (The simplest 
form of Asset is actually standard single-vote with revoting allowed. 
This could be