[EM] Clone Defeats Revised Example

2000-02-29 Thread DEMOREP1

A revised example of clone defeats.

34 ABC
33 BCA
32 CAB
99

67 BC 32
66 AB 33
65 CA 34

AB, BC, CA   circular tie

Z, a 100 percent clone of B, is added after B

34 ABZC
33 BZCA
32 CABZ
99

99 BZ 0
67 BC 32
67 ZC 32
66 AB 33
66 AZ 33
65 CA 34

BZ, AZ, ZC
   AB, BC, CA  (same as above)
Another circular tie

The total or partial clone in the worst defeat should be removed (whether 
there is 3, 30 or 300 in a circular tie) (???)

Borda fans (if any)- do the Borda math with additional clones-- such as Z2 
after Z, Z3 after Z2, etc.




Re: [EM] Method definitions (partial reply)

2000-02-29 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF





  The translations of Condorcet's own words for his bottom-up
  iteration proposal have Plain Condorcet as their literal
  interpretation. Yes some of us, including me, believe that
  Mr. Condorcet meant more than Plain Condorcet, but what I
  call Plain Condorcet is the literal, simplest interpretation
  of that proposal, the name seems reasonable, to distinguish
  it from the more refined interpretations, that I call
  Cycle Condorcet interpretations, because, though they solve
  circular ties by dropping defeats, they won't drop a defeat
  unless it's the weakest defeat in some cycle. I fit Schulze
  into that category since Schulze, SSD,  SD are equivalent when
  there are no pairwise ties or equal defeats.

My understanding is that Condorcet only seriously considered the
situation of three candidates and complete rankings.  If so, we have
the same problem as before.  His words have been taken out of context
to appear to advocate Minmax(winning-votes) when in the context he was
using, margins was equal to winning-votes, and Tideman, Schulze and
many others are equivalent to Minmax.

Here's a translation:

on page LXVIII of his "Essai sur l'application de l'analyse a la
probabilite des decisions rendues a la pluralite des voix"
(Imprimerie Royale, Paris, 1785), Condorcet writes due to my own
translation:
From the considerations, we have just made, we get the general
rule, that in all those situations, in which we have to choose,
we have to take successively all those propositions that have
a plurality, beginning with those that have the largest,
 to pronounce the result, that is created by those first
propositions, as soon as they create one, without considering
the following less probable propositions.

On page 126, he writes due to my own translation:
Create an opinion of those n*(n-1)/2 propositions, which win
most of the votes. If this opinion is one of the n*(n-1)*...*2
possible, then consider as elected that subject, with which this
opinion agrees with its preference. If this opinion is one of the
(2^(n*(n-1)/2))-n*(n-1)*...*2 impossible opinions, then eliminate
of this impossible opinion successively those propositions, that
have a smaller plurality,  accept the resulting opinion of the
remaining propositions.

This makes it clear that, in Condorcet's top-down proposal,
and in his bottom-up proposal, he _isn't_ limiting his proposal
to 3 candidates.

As for assuming that he thinks everyone will rank all the
candidates, does he actually say that? If not then we can't
assume it. If he doesn't say one way or another, then we must
assume that his proposals apply whether or not there's truncation.
We can't read his mind, so we must go only by what he said.

Mike

(more tomorrow)


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[EM] Method definitions

2000-02-29 Thread Markus Schulze

Dear participants,

on page LXVIII of his "Essai sur l'application de l'analyse a la 
probabilite des decisions rendues a la pluralite des voix" 
(Imprimerie Royale, Paris, 1785), Condorcet writes due to my own 
translation: 
 From the considerations, we have just made, we get the general 
 rule, that in all those situations, in which we have to choose, 
 we have to take successively all those propositions that have 
 a plurality, beginning with those that have the largest, 
  to pronounce the result, that is created by those first 
 propositions, as soon as they create one, without considering 
 the following less probable propositions. 

On page 126, he writes due to my own translation: 
 Create an opinion of those n*(n-1)/2 propositions, which win 
 most of the votes. If this opinion is one of the n*(n-1)*...*2 
 possible, then consider as elected that subject, with which this 
 opinion agrees with its preference. If this opinion is one of the 
 (2^(n*(n-1)/2))-n*(n-1)*...*2 impossible opinions, then eliminate 
 of this impossible opinion successively those propositions, that 
 have a smaller plurality,  accept the resulting opinion of the 
 remaining propositions. 

**

I interpret the first quotation as follows: "Minimize the maximum
pairwise defeat that has to be ignored to get a complete ranking
of the candidates."

I interpret the second quotation as follows: "Maximize the minimum
pairwise defeat that has to be used to get a complete ranking of the
candidates."

Therefore I think that every election method, that minimizes the
maximum pairwise defeat that has to be ignored and maximizes the
minimum pairwise defeat that has to be used to get a complete
ranking of the candidates, is a possible interpretation of
Condorcet's words. Therefore I think that the Tideman method,
the Schulze method and many other election methods are possible
interpretations of Condorcet's words.

**

Example (3 Feb 2000):

   26 voters vote C  A  B  D.
   20 voters vote B  D  A  C.
   18 voters vote A  D  C  B.
   14 voters vote C  B  A  D.
08 voters vote B  D  C  A.
07 voters vote D  A  C  B.
07 voters vote B  D  A = C.

Then the matrix of pairwise defeats looks as follows:

   A:B=51:49
   A:C=45:48
   A:D=58:42
   B:C=35:65
   B:D=75:25
   C:D=40:60

1. The "strongest cycle" is C  B  D  C. The weakest pairwise
defeat of this directed cycle is C:D=40:60. Therefore the
ranking of the candidates should be compatible to all
pairwise defeats that are stronger than 40:60. That means
that the final ranking must include C  B and B  D.

2. If votes-against was used then A:C would be the weakest
pairwise defeat. Therefore he would ignore A:C=45:48. Then he
would ignore A:B=51:49. Then he would take A:D=58:42 into
consideration because otherwise it wouldn't be possible anymore
to get a complete ranking of the candidates. That means that
the final ranking must include A  D.

Therefore I conclude that every election method that is
compatible to Condorcet's words must result in a ranking that
includes C  B, B  D and A  D.

Markus Schulze
(this time without any virus)