[EM] 2000 Electoral College Minority Rule Math

2002-01-24 Thread DEMOREP1

2000 Electoral College Minority Rule Math --- or how an elitist ANTI- 
Democracy 3rd grade system from 1787 lingers on and on (regardless of the 
1860 election and the resulting horrific 1861-1865 Civil War).

PV - 2000 President Votes, EV Electoral College Votes (= Number of U.S.A. 
Rep. seats plus 2 (Senators) per State -- D.C. special 23rd Amdt), C 
Cumulative

PV/EV is low to high

 PV/EV   EV  CEV

DC   67298   3   3
WY   71242   3   6
HI   91988   4   10
AK   95187   3   13
ND   96085   3   16
VT   98103   3   19
RI   102278   4   23
SD   105423   3   26
DE   109176   3   29
NM   119721   5   34
ID   125404   4   38
WV   129625   5   43
MT   136995   3   46
NE   139404   5   51
MS   142026   7   58
NH   142270   4   62
NV   152356   4   66
AR   153630   6   72
UT   154151   5   77
OK   154279   8   85
ME   162954   4   89
SC   172988   8   97
KS   178703   6   103
CT   182441   8   111
IN   183275   12   123
AL   185141   9   132
TN   188744   11   143
AZ   191502   8   151
KY   193013   8   159
IA   193289   7   166
LA   196184   9   175  below average PV/EV

GA   198708   13   188 above average PV/EV
TX   200239   32   220
MD   202521   10   230
CA   203071   54   284  270 EV needed for President election.
NC   208214   14   298
VA   210727   13   311
NY   210916   33   344
NJ   212482   15   359
PA   213573   23   382
MO   214536   11   393
IL   215550   22   415
CO   217671   8   423
OR   219136   7   430
OH   223905   21   451
WA   226130   11   462
MA   227834   12   474
MI   235139   18   492
WI   236237   11   503
FL   238524   25   528
MN   243868   10   538
 
USA   196271   538   

MN/DC = 243868/67298 = 3.62

Thus the voters in the smaller States have above average power in electing 
Presidents (like their control of the U.S.A. Senate).

Somewhat different math in 2004 with revised 435 U.S.A. Rep. seats among the 
States (plus 100 EV for 50 States plus 3 EV for DC).

Outrage in defense of 1 person-1 vote Democracy ??? -- missing in action 
buried in apathy (especially in the indirect minority rule U.S.A. Congress).

Foreign folks look on in amazement/shock/fear about each election.

Which future President election may produce 1860 type political timebomb 
results ???




Re: [EM] 2000 Electoral College Minority Rule Math

2002-01-24 Thread Adam Tarr


Which future President election may produce 1860 type political timebomb 
results ???

Well, if any election *should have* produced an explosion of outrage, it 
was 2000, right?  That was when the minority-victory scenario actually 
played out.  And of course there was such an outrage, but it was mostly 
directed at the specific results (demanding recounts in Florida, looking at 
the poorly designed ballots, etc) as oppose to the fundamental 
problems.  Hillary Clinton talked about abolishing the Electoral College a 
few weeks later, but that's the last I head of that.  The movement has lost 
momentum, and it's a shame.  The easy group to blame is the media.

It's also easy to lose focus on any one reform when you look at the 2000 
election, since ANY reasonable reform (and some unreasonable reforms like 
IRV) would have caused the election to swing the other way.

The one thing that the 1860 election had that the 2000 election lacked was 
an explosive issue that broke on regional lines.  Bush may have lost the 
popular vote, but at least he broke 40% in every region of the 
country.  While the Electoral College distorted and watered down the power 
of many people's votes in 2000, it didn't blatantly disenfranchise an 
entire region like the 1860 vote did.

- Adam Tarr