FAC News - Friday, July 19, 2002 8:29 AM

PAS still has the people’s support

PAS still has the people’s support as yesterday’s Anak Bukit and Pendang by-elections has revealed.

In the Tenth General Elections in 1999, PAS managed 8,480 votes for Anak Bukit and 22,413 votes for Pendang. This time around, PAS secured 8,298 and 22,542 votes respectively. This is hardly much change over 1999.

This blows UMNO's theory that PAS no longer has the support of the Malays and that the Malays "had returned to UMNO". If it is true that the Malays have deserted PAS, then it must have been the Chinese who voted for PAS since the number of votes PAS secured almost remained the same.

The win for Anak Bukit and loss for Pendang was unexpected though as both sides had believed PAS would win Pendang easily while Anak Bukit was tough going. At one stage, while the votes were still being counted, PAS was leading in Pendang by 2,800 votes while in Anak Bukit it was trailing by about 700 votes.

Everyone thought that the final result would show PAS winning Pendang by at least 2,000 votes or so and losing Anak Bukit with between 1,000 to 1,500 votes. It was certainly a surprise when the final result came out the opposite.

Because of the belief that PAS may not be able to win the Anak Bukit State seat, special emphasis was placed on this seat, which was probably why PAS ended up winning it instead. To ensure that things were under control, an opinion poll was conducted amongst voters there.

Due to time constrains, the same thing was not done for Pendang. Pendang had almost three times the number of voters so more time would have been required to handle an opinion poll there.

PAS admitted, to a certain extent, the Anak Bukit opinion poll helped it to better understand the issues and it was able to address these issues more effectively. This is the first such an approach has been used in Malaysian elections and it is believed the opposition may adopt this approach for all future elections as it has been proved to be an effective tool for gauging voters’ sentiments.

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