Re: Schreiver AFB warns about leapsec

2005-12-21 Thread Brian Garrett
- Original Message -
From: Tom Van Baak [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: LEAPSECS@ROM.USNO.NAVY.MIL
Sent: Tuesday, December 20, 2005 5:09 PM
Subject: Re: [LEAPSECS] Schreiver AFB warns about leapsec


   While you're at it let's change when leaps occur; not
   just at 23:59:59
   ...
  I second this too, 23:59:59 is  the  worst  time  to
  insert a leap second, since failing to implement  it
  leaves you with the wrong day  (month  and  possibly
  year) at the very second it occurs.

 Given the way Olympics are promoted these days,
 as well as stadium naming rights, billboards, web
 advertising, and google adwords, perhaps the ITU
 can get commercial sponsorship for future scheduled
 leap second events. Commercial interests have long
 since claimed trademarks on otherwise free letters,
 words, and symbols. So how about time itself?

 The income could be applied as grants to those trying
 to correctly implement and debug the growing global
 list of time interconnected technologies. And no small
 percent to astronomers so they have real-time precision
 access to UT1. Everyone is happy. (If this happens I will
 deny ever having suggested it).

 Coca-Cola is the official sponsor of the December 2005
 leap second. The one second pause that refreshes.

 Panasonic is the official sponsor of the June 2007
 leap second. Just slightly ahead of Earth time.

 /tvb

WWV...You give us 22 minutes, we'll give you 21 minutes and 60 seconds.


Brian


Re: Schreiver AFB warns about leapsec

2005-12-21 Thread Poul-Henning Kamp
In message [EMAIL PROTECTED], Francois Meyer writes:
On Tue, 20 Dec 2005, Poul-Henning Kamp wrote:

 In message [EMAIL PROTECTED]
on.fr, Francois Meyer writes
 :

 I second this too, 23:59:59 is  the  worst  time  to
 insert a leap second, since failing to implement  it
 leaves you with the wrong day  (month  and  possibly
 year) at the very second it occurs.

 That is probably one of the strongest arguments for retaining that
 moment of insertion:  That way computer bugs are more likely to
 be noticed.

UTC is not a debugging tool, it is an  international
standard. Software is an an issue  but  I  think  it
cannot justify in itself  that  leap  second  impact
should be as large as possible.

It must be wonderful to live in a world where software can just be
ignored or marginalized at whim, I really envy you.

--
Poul-Henning Kamp   | UNIX since Zilog Zeus 3.20
[EMAIL PROTECTED] | TCP/IP since RFC 956
FreeBSD committer   | BSD since 4.3-tahoe
Never attribute to malice what can adequately be explained by incompetence.


Schreiver AFB warns about leapsec

2005-12-20 Thread Poul-Henning Kamp
There is an interesting PowerPoint (sigh...) at Schriever AFB's GPS
support center:

https://www.schriever.af.mil/GpsSupportCenter/archive/advisory/Leap_Second_Event.ppt

Amongst the nuggets:

 Large error makes data unusable for some applications
 Eglin radar missed the leap second in 1998
 Thousands of observations had to be discarded
 Problem was also evident at Clear


 However, host system software receiving the 23:59:60 time hack may
 not know what to do.  System dependent response.


They clearly know what the problem with leap seconds is :-)

--
Poul-Henning Kamp   | UNIX since Zilog Zeus 3.20
[EMAIL PROTECTED] | TCP/IP since RFC 956
FreeBSD committer   | BSD since 4.3-tahoe
Never attribute to malice what can adequately be explained by incompetence.


Re: Schreiver AFB warns about leapsec

2005-12-20 Thread Rob Seaman
On Dec 20, 2005, at 1:30 AM, Poul-Henning Kamp wrote:There is an interesting PowerPoint (sigh...) at Schriever AFB's GPS support center:https://www.schriever.af.mil/GpsSupportCenter/archive/advisory/Leap_Second_Event.pptAgreed.  Very interesting.They clearly know what the problem with leap seconds is :-)Agreed, although they simplify leap seconds as being: - Needed to compensate for changes in earth’s rotationSuggest folks read the entire presentation, which delivers common sense advice without editorial comment.  (That's our job.)   The authors start by assigning the responsibility appropriately:- User’s realization of UTC could incorrectly step by one secondThey describe limits to the affected systems:- Leap second should not affect stand alone navigation or positioning (affects timing output of receiver)  - Adjustment transparent to users with GPS receivers in compliance with IS-GPS-200  - Some receivers may require manual adjustment by users  - Systems (military, civil, commercial) using GPS timing with a tolerance less than 1 second, might be [emphasis in original] impacted if leap second adjustment is not made properly (either automatically or manually)A hint that the issue may be more complicated than it appears: - Often, use of GPS timing in embedded systems is difficult to discern – consult your system engineers / expertsAn interesting observation:- Leap second occurs at an awkward time - New Years EveMaybe obscurity in scheduling and implementation is not a desirable characteristic after all.  Perhaps the problem would "solve itself" through market forces if leap seconds were simply required to occur on normal business days at 9:00 am EST, just in time for the opening of the NYSEand they deal with the consequences pragmatically, rather than trying to legislate physical reality out of existence: - Contact your UE manufacturer to determine if your UE is IS-GPS-200D compliant with respect to leap seconds - Ensure documentation, procedures and personnel are in place to deal with potential problems - Monitor your system through the leap second event - Report if you have problems - We need to document so we can correct the problem for next eventIn addition to pondering how well such preparations would succeed for events three orders of magnitude larger occurring only every several centuries, this reader is left wondering what the corresponding presentation would look like if it were describing remediation to the same systems to support DUT1  0.9s.Rob SeamanNational Optical Astronomy Observatory

Re: Schreiver AFB warns about leapsec

2005-12-20 Thread Rob Seaman

On Dec 20, 2005, at 4:12 AM, Poul-Henning Kamp wrote:


Maybe obscurity in scheduling and implementation is not a desirable
characteristic after all.  Perhaps the problem would solve itself
through market forces if leap seconds were simply required to occur
on normal business days at 9:00 am EST, just in time for the opening
of the NYSE.


They already happen during business hours in Asia.  Since most of the
US debt is owned by asia these days, it may even be a more efficient
market pressure venue.


I presume January 1 is a holiday for much of Asia, as well as in the
West.  The calendar for the Tokyo Exchange implies such (although
January 1 has fallen on a weekend for the past two years):  http://
www.tse.or.jp/english/guide/calendar.html.  Not aware of any world
holidays falling on July 1, but my (extensive) ignorance is no
guarantee.

So a quick estimate is that half of all leap seconds occur during the
observance of a major world holiday in the great majority of
localities, especially since North America, for instance, where the
leap second occurs during the evening of local December 31 also
observes New Year's Eve as a de facto holiday.  And, of course, two-
sevenths of the remaining leap seconds occur during weekends, and the
remainder occur outside normal business hours in two-thirds of the
timezones (including North and South America, Africa, and Europe
extending well east).  So yes, you can get leap seconds affecting the
far east during business hours, but this occurs only something like
36% of the time.  Would greatly appreciate knowledgeable comments
from list members in Japan or Australia.

This scheduling was a conscious design choice.  I'm asserting it may
not have been the right choice.

Rob Seaman
National Optical Astronomy Observatory


Re: Schreiver AFB warns about leapsec

2005-12-20 Thread M. Warner Losh
In message: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Francois Meyer [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
: On Tue, 20 Dec 2005, Rob Seaman wrote:
:
:  On Dec 20, 2005, at 1:30 AM, Poul-Henning Kamp wrote:
: 
:   There is an interesting PowerPoint (sigh...) at Schriever AFB's GPS
:   support center:
:  
:   https://www.schriever.af.mil/GpsSupportCenter/archive/advisory/
:   Leap_Second_Event.ppt
: 
:  Agreed.  Very interesting.
:  ...
:  An interesting observation:
: 
:  - Leap second occurs at an awkward time - New Years Eve
: 
:  Maybe obscurity in scheduling and implementation is not a desirable
:  characteristic after all.
:
: The same paradigm suggests a new definition of  UTC,
: strengthening its link to UT1  down  to  0.09s,  and
: switching from leap seconds  to  leap  tenths  of  a
: second. This aims at making leap  intervals  a  rule
: and not an exception. Tens of a second are  as  easy
: (or as difficult)  to  implement  as  leap  seconds,
: their instantaneous impact is  10  times  lower  and
: since only automated systems  are  really  affected,
: the increased frequency of their occurrence  is  not
: an issue.

I'd take issue that .1th of seconds are easier to implement,
especially given that most of the timing gear today would have to be
discarded because it isn't compliant.  All the time signals would need
to be redesigned.  A lot of software would need to be rewritten to
cope with the smaller offsets (not least ntp).  There's a huge
deployed base of gadgets that grok leap seconds as they are today and
that would become obsolete.

Not to mention that .1s jumps would make it harder to correlate data
back to TAI (the tables you'd need are more complicated).

.1s jumps would happen more often, so would be more unpredictable than
the leap seconds we have today.  My main beef with them is that we
have no way of knowing today, with certainty, if there will be a leap
second on June 30, 2006.  The schedule is essentially random, which is
a problem for devices that need to know utc-tai offset given an
approximate time.

I don't see how that would ever work.

Warner


Re: Schreiver AFB warns about leapsec

2005-12-20 Thread Tom Van Baak
Thanks for the link. I see the reference to it is on their
main page:

https://www.schriever.af.mil/GpsSupportCenter/advisories.htm

Also note the leap second photos they used in the power
point presentation came from:

How to Watch a Leap Second
http://www.leapsecond.com/notes/leap-watch.htm

/tvb
http://www.LeapSecond.com


- Original Message -
From: Poul-Henning Kamp [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: LEAPSECS@ROM.USNO.NAVY.MIL
Sent: Tuesday, December 20, 2005 00:30
Subject: [LEAPSECS] Schreiver AFB warns about leapsec


 There is an interesting PowerPoint (sigh...) at Schriever AFB's GPS
 support center:


https://www.schriever.af.mil/GpsSupportCenter/archive/advisory/Leap_Second_E
vent.ppt

 Amongst the nuggets:

  Large error makes data unusable for some applications
  Eglin radar missed the leap second in 1998
  Thousands of observations had to be discarded
  Problem was also evident at Clear


  However, host system software receiving the 23:59:60 time hack may
  not know what to do.  System dependent response.


 They clearly know what the problem with leap seconds is :-)

 --
 Poul-Henning Kamp   | UNIX since Zilog Zeus 3.20
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] | TCP/IP since RFC 956
 FreeBSD committer   | BSD since 4.3-tahoe
 Never attribute to malice what can adequately be explained by
incompetence.